South Alabama Jaguars (1-4) vs Georgia Southern Eagles (3-1)Date : 10/06/2018
Time : 3:30 pm EST
Location : Allen E. Paulsen Stadium, Statesboro, Georgia,
Pick, Prediction, & Preview:
South Alabama Jaguars vs Georgia Southern Eagles
The Jaguars of South Alabama will travel to Statesboro, Georgia, to Allen E. Paulsen Stadium to take on the Georgia Southern Eagles on Saturday afternoon at 3:30 pm EST for a week six Sun Belt conference showdown. Georgia State has dominated the series amongst these two teams as they covered the spread in the last four meets while getting the 52-0 home win last year. Georgia Southern is coming off a 28-21 home win versus the Arkansas state Red Wolves as they scored 14 critical points in the final period to get the close victory. The Jaguars scored only in the first quarter on the road versus the Appalachian State Mountaineers before allowing 45 unanswered points by the road team in taking the 52-7 loss, their second loss in a row and fourth in five games.
South Alabama Jaguars's Latest Performance :
South Alabama has had a tough season thus far and their 52-7 road loss versus Appalachian State made things even worse offensively as they racked up only 83 yards on the ground while having 225 passing yards along with converting four of 17 third downs in the loss. In turn, the defense allowed 517 total yards to the Mountaineers while allowing close to 350 yards on the ground along with 169 yards passing. The Jaguars defense is ranked in the 100-plus category in every defensive and just about every offensive category aside from passing yards per game as they put up 216 yards in that department, good for an 81st rank in the nation. Nonetheless, they are reeling at this point in losing their four games this year by an average of 25 points.
Georgia Southern Eagles's Latest Performance :
After only a 7-3 halftime lead, the Eagles outscored the Red Wolves of Arkansas State 21-18 to pick up the much-needed home victory in their last outing as they had 348 yards rushing in averaging 7.1 yards per carry. Shai Werts went only one for three in the passing game for 61 yards, however, he led the team in rushing with 113 yards and a TD while Wesley Kennedy III (11 rushes, 105 yds, TD) and Wesley Fields (10 rushes, 98 yds) also were essential to the rushing attack. Fields also had a 61-yard reception in the win for Georgia Southern. The defense for the Eagles, however, gave up 376 passing yards to the Red Wolves while also allowing them to rack up 117 yards on the ground for the game. Unfortunately, with linebackers Rashad Byrd and Chris Harris Jr being questionable with undisclosed injuries, things may get worse for the 29th ranked defense in the league in points allowed with 19.5 points allowed.
How South Alabama Jaguars & Georgia Southern Eagles Matchup.
Vegas Odds, Offshore Odds, & Odds ATS:
South Alabama is 2-1-1 ATS while the O/U is 4-0
Georgia Southern is 3-0 ATS while the O/U is 0-3
In-Depth Analysis of each team:
The Jaguars really need a win at this point in the season, however, it will certainly not be easy on the road versus the Georgia Southern Eagles this Saturday. As stated, the Eagles have dominated this matchup in the past and will certainly look to take their momentum from their last victory into this Sun Belt matchup to get a win while increasing their position within the division. In all, the Jaguars will certainly come to play, however, with limited playmakers on defense, they will find it difficult to deal with a tough rushing attack for the Eagles.
Against The Spread Selection: Pick: Georgia Southern -14
My reason for the pick :
As stated, the Eagles are a tough team to challenge due to their rushing attack. They have the perfect mix of talent, physicality, and sheer focus that allow them to operate this area of their offense with much-needed precision with each week that passes. It is for this reason that I will back them and the points at home as the Jaguars are simply not a good team on either side of the ball. In other words, teams have been running roughshod over them in 2018 and I see this trend continuing in this matchup as well as the Eagles will roll once again over this Jaguar squad in convincing fashion on Saturday.
Totals Selection: Pick: Over 55
My reason for the prediction :
The over has been the call in all South Alabama’s games this season and while the Eagles have not had a game which resulting in the over thus far, it will be fair to say that their defense has done very well versus many of the top tier teams in the league this year. In any event, I will back the over in the contest as I see the Eagles really controlling the trenches in this matchup. And with the Jaguars not able to stop anyone thus far, I cannot see them holding down this option attack for Georgia Southern this Saturday, thus leading me to take the over.
Betting trends for South Alabama Jaguars:
- Over is 4-0 in Jaguars last 4 games following a straight up loss of more than 20 points.
- Over is 4-0 in Jaguars last 4 games overall.
- Jaguars are 3-0-1 ATS in their last 4 games after scoring less than 20 points in their previous game.
Betting trends for Georgia Southern Eagles:
- Under is 4-0 in Eagles last 4 games after accumulating less than 170 yards passing in their previous game.
- Over is 4-0 in Eagles last 4 games in October.
- Under is 4-0 in Eagles last 4 games overall.