Alabama Crimson Tide (5-0) vs Arkansas Razorbacks (1-4)Date : 10/06/2018
Time : 12:00 pm EST
Location : Donald W. Reynolds Razorback Stadium, Fayetteville, Arkansas
Pick, Prediction, & Preview:
Alabama Crimson Tide vs Arkansas Razorbacks
The top ranked Alabama Crimson Tide will take their undefeated record on the road to battle the Arkansas Razorbacks on Saturday afternoon at Donald W. Reynolds Razorback Stadium in Fayetteville, Arkansas, beginning at noon. These two teams met on October 14, 2017 as the Tide picked up the 41-9 home win as they did not cover the spread as 37-point home favorites while the total of 53.5 points was not surpassed for the game. Arkansas has covered the spread in three of the last four games amongst these squads while the under has been the play in three of the last four outings as well. In their last time out, the Razorbacks suffered the 24-17 road loss at the hands of the aggies of Texas A&M last Saturday as they were not able to contain the run for the Aggies as they allowed 176 yards on the ground in the loss. The Crimson Tide picked up the 56-14 home win over the Louisiana Lafayette Rajun Cajuns as they racked up over 600 yards in total offense while also rushing for 268 yards total in the win.
Alabama Crimson Tide's Latest Performance :
The Razorbacks were not able to overcome two touchdowns from Treveon Williams of Texas A&M as they allowed 176 total yards on the ground to the Aggies while Kellen Mond threw for 201 yards along with two interceptions in the win. Ty Storey threw for 193 yards and a touchdown pass along with an interception while the rushing attack was able to rack up only 55 yards for the game. Arkansas was able to possess the ball for a tad over 23 minutes for the game while converting on three of twelve third down conversions for the contest. The Razorbacks have struggled in the pass as well as in their rushing attack this year while their defense is allowing opponents 31 points per game thus far in the season.
Arkansas Razorbacks's Latest Performance :
Alabama’s matchup with the Rajun Cajuns was over after the first period after they took a 28-0 lead while cruising to their fifth victory of the year. As stated, the Tide racked up 268 rushing yards for the game with Najee Harris having 73 yards and a TD on the ground while the two-headed monster QB duo of Tua Tagovalloa and Jalen Hurts combined for 246 yards along with three TD’s in the win. Jaylen Waddle and Henry Ruggs III combined for eight catches for 254 yards and four touchdown passes for Alabama. The defense was dominant against the pass as the Cajuns were only able to obtain 88 yards in the air while the Tide’s 45th ranked rush defense gave up 202 yards on the ground for a 5.3 average for the game as Trey Ragas had 111 yards along with a TD in the loss for Louisiana Lafayette.
How Alabama Crimson Tide & Arkansas Razorbacks Matchup.
Vegas Odds, Offshore Odds, & Odds ATS:
Alabama is 3-2 ATS while the OU is 4-1
Arkansas is 1-3-1 ATS while the OU is 1-3
In-Depth Analysis of each team:
As stated, the Razorbacks continue to struggle on offense. Their defense on the other hand, is allowing over 30 per game to its opponents which is certainly not a great sign with the Crimson Tide coming to town and putting up 54 points per game while allowing just 13 points per contest to their opponents. In all, this game may be yet another dominant performance for Alabama who has maintain their top 30 ranking in every major offensive category this year while their defense ranks 5th in the country in points allowed.
Against The Spread Selection: Pick: Alabama Crimson Tide -35
My reason for the pick :
Again, it comes as no surprise that the Tide has been dominant thus far in the season, and with the Razorbacks continuing to struggle on offense, I happen to feel as though the Alabama will indeed cover the huge spread in this matchup, despite failing to cover in the past two games. Expect the rushing attack for Alabama to get going early as they will dominate in the trenches. Furthermore, the QB duo of Tagovalloa and Hurts will challenge Arkansas’ lackluster defensive secondary that ranks 93rd in the nation in giving up 247 yards per outing. In all, this game will be over rather early as Arkansas does not possess the talent to keep up with the number one team in the country.
Totals Selection: Pick: Under 56.5
My reason for the prediction :
While the Tide will cover the spread in this contest, they will also stifle the offense for the Razorbacks that have put up an average of only 12 points per game in their last three outings. In other words, Arkansas will have the desire to play well versus Alabama, however, they simply will not possess the experience, focus, and most importantly, the physicality that the Crimson Tide possesses in which to be competitive on Saturday. It is for this reason that I feel as if the total will fall slightly below the total for this game as the under is indeed the strong play.
Betting trends for Alabama Crimson Tide:
- Crimson Tide are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games on fieldturf.
- Crimson Tide are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games after allowing less than 170 yards passing in their previous game.
- Crimson Tide are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 conference games.
Betting trends for Arkansas Razorbacks:
- Under is 4-0 in Razorbacks last 4 games overall.
- Razorbacks are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games following an ATS win.
- Over is 6-1 in Razorbacks last 7 games following an ATS win.