Arizona State Sun Devils (3-2) vs Colorado Buffaloes (4-0)Date : 10/06/2018
Time : 4:00 pm EST
Location : Folsom Field, Boulder, Colorado
Pick, Prediction, & Preview:
Arizona State Sun Devils vs Colorado Buffaloes
The 22nd ranked Colorado Buffaloes will host the Arizona State Sun Devils on Saturday afternoon at 4 pm EST at Folsom Field in Boulder, Colorado, for an all-important Pac 12 showdown. The last time these two teams met was on November 4, 2017 when the Buffaloes suffered the 41-30 road loss as the Sun Devils covered the spread as 6.5 home favorites. The Sun Devils are coming off a 52-24 home win over the Oregon State Beavers last Saturday as they covered the 22 point spread as home favorites while Colorado picked up the 38-16 conference victory at home versus the UCLA Bruins last weekend as they also cashed in on the spread as nine-point favorites. The home team is 5-0 ATS in the last five meetings amongst these two teams while the favorite is 8-1 ATS in the last nine meetings, overall. The Sun Devils are 7-2 ATS in the last nine meetings.
Arizona State Sun Devils's Latest Performance :
The Sun Devils went up 31-17 in their last outing versus the Oregon State Beavers at the half due to three touchdown runs by Eno Benjamin while Manny Wilkins also threw a 19-yard strike to Kyle Williams to gain control of the game while cruising in the second half. Benjamin ended the game with 312 yards on 30 rushes along with three touchdowns while Wilkins had 162 yards with three touchdown passes in the win for Arizona State as they halted a two-game losing streak. N’Keal Harry also chipped in 84 yards on five receptions along with a TD for an offense that racked up 558 yards of total offense for the game while converting seven of twelve third down conversions. The defense for Arizona State was not great at all versus the run as the Beavers collected 261 yards on the ground for an average of 4.9 yards per rush while the passing game only put up 140 yards on an ASU defense that allows only 202 yards in the air per game.
Colorado Buffaloes 's Latest Performance :
The Buffaloes were stuck in a fight at home versus the Bruins in their last outing, yet they went up by a 14-13 score at the half. They would, however, weather the potential storm in the second half by outscoring the road team 24-3 in the second half due to a rushing attack that collected 209 yards for the game for an average of 4.4 yards per rush. Travon McMillian (21 rushes, 102 yards, TD) along with Steven Montez (11 rushes, 82 yards, 2 TD’s) led the rushing attack for the game while Montez threw for 237 yards and a touchdown pass in the win for Colorado. Leiviska Shinault jr led the receiving corps with 126 yards and a TD as the offense converted on eight of 14 third down conversions. The 64th ranked rush defense for Colorado allowed 151 yards on the ground to the Bruins yet their 41st ranked pass defense allowed only 3.9 yards per pass play to UCLA in the win.
How Arizona State Sun Devils & Colorado Buffaloes Matchup.
Vegas Odds, Offshore Odds, & Odds ATS:
Arizona State is 4-1 ATS while the O/U is 3-2
Colorado is 3-1 ATS while the O/U is 1-3
In-Depth Analysis of each team:
ASU will certainly be looking to keep pressure on Colorado within the Pac 12 South division as they seek to advance to the second place slot with a win on Saturday; however, the Buffaloes look to stay atop the division rankings by taking out an ASU team that has played well on both sides of the ball thus far in 2018. These teams are very similar in that they each are averaging over 30 points per game, yet, the Buffaloes possess the slightly better offense as they are ranked in the top 40 in pass/rushing yards per game. The strength of both defenses lie in their ability to defend the pass as they each are allowing 195-200 yards per outing to their opponents.
Against The Spread Selection: Pick: Colorado Buffalos -3
My reason for the pick :
I will back Colorado in this game as they have the more explosive offense while also having a pass defense that can neutralize the playmakers for the Sun Devils in which to get the win. ASU has not won a road game this year, however, they played well in covering the spread over the highly ranked Washington Huskies in week four. With that being said, the Buffs are 1-1 ATS at home this year as they were able to cash in as nine-point favorites versus UCLA, as stated. Again, I will ride with the home team in this due to their ability to score while also stopping opponents when needed in allowing only 17.8 points to their opponents.
Totals Selection: Pick: over 64.5
My reason for the prediction :
I will also pick the over as the strong play in this game as both teams will find ways in which to score in this contest. Combine this with the fact that I expect a tight matchup throughout, I see this contest as being a back and forth affair to where the offenses will trade scores periodically while the score will continue to balloon. In all, look for an exciting, offensive minded showcase in this Pac 12 matchup as the total will indeed be surpassed.
Betting trends for Arizona State Sun Devils:
- Sun Devils are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 conference games.
- Over is 5-1 in Sun Devils last 6 games after accumulating less than 170 yards passing in their previous game.
- Over is 5-1 in Sun Devils last 6 games after accumulating more than 450 total yards in their previous game.
Betting trends for Colorado Buffaloes :
- Buffaloes are 0-4-1 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
- Buffaloes are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
- Under is 9-1 in Buffaloes last 10 games after accumulating more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.