Georgia Southern Eagles (4-1) vs Texas State Bobcats (1-4)Date : 10/11/2018
Time : 7:30 pm EST
Location : Bobcat Stadium, San Marcos, Texas
Pick, Prediction, & Preview:
Georgia Southern Eagles vs Texas State Bobcats
The second-place team within the Sun Belt eastern division in Georgia Southern Eagles will travel to Bobcat Stadium in San Marcos, Texas, to battle the Texas State Bobcats on Thursday night at 7:30 pm EST. The Eagles are coming off a 48-13 home blowout win over the South Alabama Jaguars as their 7th ranked rushing attack obtained 298 yards on the ground en route to an easy conference victory. On the other hand, Texas State suffered the 42-27 loss at home at the hands of Louisiana Lafayette last Saturday as they could not recover after going down 28-0 at the half while allowing 327 yards on the ground to the Rajun Cajuns to suffer their third straight loss. These two teams met in 2014-15 to where the Eagles won both matchups while both covered the spread, yet, the under was been the play in both matchups, however.
Georgia Southern Eagles 's Latest Performance :
Georgia Southern kept rolling as they blew out the South Alabama Jaguars last Saturday. Shai Wertz threw for only 99 yards and a touchdown while the rushing game averaged 6.9 yards per rush with Wertz having 85 of those along with Monteo Garrett leading the attack with 91 yards on eleven carries. And despite having 83 yards in penalties while only converting two of eight third down conversions on the day along with possessing the ball for 27 minutes for the game, the Eagles were able to pick up the conference victory to remain undefeated in the Sun Belt. The 61st ranked rush defense for GSU allowed only 3.3 yards rushing to the Jaguars ground game while giving up only 197 yards in the air, just below their passing yards allowed average of 221 yards per game. Look for them to continue punishing their opponents with a rushing attack that averages 277 yards per outing.
Texas State Bobcats 's Latest Performance :
Texas State’s 77th ranked defense could not find any answers versus the Rajun Cajun rushing attack as Elijah Mitchell ran for 191 yards and three touchdowns in the win for Louisiana Lafayette while their passing attack averaged ten yards per catch. In all, the road team outgained the Bobcats in total yards by over 100 yards while converting eleven for 16 third down conversions for the contest. The Bobcats rushing attack racked up 124 yards with Tyler Vitt having 92 yards on 17 carries while he also threw for 296 yards and three touchdowns in the game. In all, the defense for the Bobcats have struggled all year in in allowing 33 points per game to their oppentns, something that could certainly haunt them in attempting to stop a punishing rushing attack for the Eagles.
How Georgia Southern Eagles & Texas State Bobcats Matchup.
Vegas Odds, Offshore Odds, & Odds ATS:
Texas State is 1-3-1 ATS while the O/U is 3-2
Georgia Southern is 5-0 ATS while the O/U is 1-4
In-Depth Analysis of each team:
This matchup will be of teams trending in different directions as the Eagles continue to play well while allowing their rushing attack to be the tip of the spear in their offense philosophy. Texas State, on the other hand, allows too many yards and points to their opponents and find themselves in a desperate position and in need of a win on Saturday. As stated, they will certainly find it difficult to accomplish this as their offense, ranked 83rd and 103rd in their rushing and passing attack, will attempt to do some work against an Eagles defensive unit that is ranked in the top 60 in pass and rush defense and has allowed their opponents an average of 17 points in their last two games. Meanwhile, their offense puts up an average of 38 points in 2018
Against The Spread Selection: Pick: Georgia Southern Eagles (off)
My reason for the pick :
Of course, the Georgia Southern Eagles will be my pick for this matchup as I totally respect the way in which they win in utilizing a solid rushing attack to put points on the board while also allowing their 20th ranked defense in points scored per game with 20 to lock down their opponents while limiting scoring opportunities. With that being the case, look for the Eagles to have another great showing versus a team that has allowed an average of 31 points per game to their opponents in their two home games this season.
Totals Selection: Pick: Under (off)
My reason for the prediction :
I will side with the under in this matchup simply because I feel as though the Eagles defense will total neutralizing a struggling offense for the Bobcats in this matchup while the tough and physical rushing attack for the Eagles will roll. Look for this game to be one where Georgia Southern will dominate in possession time while eating tons of clock on their way to yet another blowout win in San Marcos. Nonetheless, do not look for the total to surpass its set limit as has been the case in the past two meetings amongst these two teams.
Betting trends for Georgia Southern Eagles :
- Over is 5-0 in Eagles last 5 games in October.
- Eagles are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games on fieldturf.
- Eagles are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.
Betting trends for Texas State Bobcats :
- Over is 6-0 in Bobcats last 6 home games.
- Bobcats are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.
- Bobcats are 0-3-1 ATS in their last 4 games on fieldturf.