Notre Dame Fighting Irish (5-0) vs Virginia Tech Hokies (3-1)Date : 10/06/2018
Time : 8:00 pm EST
Location : Lane Stadium, Blacksburg, Virginia
Pick, Prediction, & Preview:
Notre Dame Fighting Irish vs Virginia Tech Hokies
The 7th ranked Notre Dame Fighting Irish will be visiting Lane Stadium in Blacksburg, Virginia, to meet the 23rd ranked Virginia Tech Hokies on Saturday night at 8 pm EST. The two teams last met on November 19, 2016 as the Hokies picked up the 34-31 road win. Virginia Tech also picked up a win in their last time out versus the Duke Blue Devils as they got the 31-14 road win as they covered as 6.5 road underdogs while the Fighting Irish outscored the Stanford Cardinal at home 17-3 in the second half as they picked up the 38-17 win while they also covered the spread as 4.5 home favorites.
Notre Dame Fighting Irish's Latest Performance :
The Fighting Irish pounded the Cardinal on the ground in their last outing for 272 yards with Dexter Williams leading the way with 161 yards on 21 rushes along with a TD. Ian Book led the passing attack for Note Dame with 278 yards along with four touchdown passes as Miles Boykin had 144 yards on 11 carries and a touchdown. The Irish dominated in time of possession with 34:23 minutes while the rushing game averaged 4.9 yards per carry as Note Dame dominated the line of scrimmage in the second half en route to a huge win. Finally, the defense for the Fighting Irish allowed only 2.3 yards per carry to Stanford while giving up only 174 yards passing as Kevin Costello threw for a TD and an interception in the loss.
Virginia Tech Hokies 's Latest Performance :
The Hokies jumped out on the Blue Devils by taking a 17-7 halftime lead behind two Ryan Willis touchdown passes while he passed for another touchdown in the second half to Phil Patterson to seal the victory. Steven Peoples scored in the third period on a six-yard run as the rushing attack collected only 81 total yards for the game while Willis ended the game by throwing for 332 yards along with three touchdown passes as Dalton Keene led the receiving corps for the Hokies with 82 receiving yards and a score for Virginia Tech. The 5th ranked rush defense allowed only 71 yards to the Blue Devils while giving up 256 yards in the air as Duke averaged 6.6 yards per pass play in the loss.
How Notre Dame Fighting Irish & Virginia Tech Hokies Matchup.
Vegas Odds, Offshore Odds, & Odds ATS:
Notre Dame is 3-2 ATS while the O/U is 2-3
Virginia Tech is 3-1 ATS while the O/U is 2-2
In-Depth Analysis of each team:
Both the Irish and Hokies are pounding teams on the ground this year with Notre Dame ranking 43rd in the nation while the Hokies are 41st overall. Virginia Tech is ranked 5th, however, in stopping the run while the Fighting Irish is 43rd in the country in rush defense. What will make this game interesting is the fact that both teams are averaging well over 30 points per game but are giving up an average of 18 points to their opponents this year. In other words, this game will be a battle of wills as both will need to step up on the offensive end to ensure that they establish their rushing attacks to set the overall pace of the game.
Against The Spread Selection: Pick: Virginia Tech +6.5
My reason for the pick :
I will give the edge in this matchup to the Virginia Tech Hokies at home as they have the better defense that is geared to stop a team such as the Fighting Irish on the ground. And while they may be exploited in the back end of their defense by an Irish passing attack that is putting up 276 yards per game, I happen to believe that they will make some plays on defense in which to keep the game close throughout. The Hokie offense, on the other hand, is ranked in the top 30 in points per game with 38 points, however, the Irish are allowing 19 points per outing to their opponents and will be up for the challenge on Saturday night. In all, look for the home team to keep this game exciting as they will certainly have the chance to pull out an outright victory in the end.
Totals Selection: Pick: Under 57
My reason for the prediction :
I really do not see the total being surpassed in this outing as you have two run-oriented teams squaring off against each other with each team having a stout defense. Combined with the fact that both teams are seeking to increase their position in the rankings, this will be a huge game for both squads moving ahead. It is for this reason that I expect this to be a tight and competitive matchup for the duration. In all, I will back the under in this contest as both defenses have really locked down opposing offenses late in games in 2018 so the under will indeed be the strongest pick in this matchup.
Betting trends for Notre Dame Fighting Irish:
- Over is 7-1 in Fighting Irish last 8 games after allowing less than 275 total yards in their previous game.
- Under is 6-1 in Fighting Irish last 7 games after accumulating more than 450 total yards in their previous game.
- Under is 5-1 in Fighting Irish last 6 games in October.
Betting trends for Virginia Tech Hokies :
- Hokies are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games on grass.
- Under is 8-1 in Hokies last 9 vs. a team with a winning record.
- Hokies are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 home games vs. a team with a winning road record