Washington Huskies (4-1) vs UCLA Bruins (0-4)Date : 10/06/2018
Time : 7:30 pm EST
Location : Rose Bowl, Pasadena, California
Pick, Prediction, & Preview:
Washington Huskies vs UCLA Bruins
The 10th ranked Washington Huskies will invade the Rose Bowl in Pasadena, California, as they will take on the winless UCLA Bruins on Saturday night at 7:30 pm EST in a Pac 12 showdown. The Huskies destroyed BYU in week five by a score of 35-7 as they would go up 35-0 before the Cougars scored in the final period en route to an easy home victory. The Bruins, on the other hand, went 0-4 on the year as they suffered a 38-16 loss in a conference battle on the road versus the Colorado Buffaloes last weekend as they were outscored 24-3 in the second half after being down by only one at the half. These two teams last met on October 28, 2017 as the Huskies picked up the 44-23 home win as they covered as 18 points favorites while the over was the play with the total being set at 59.5 points for the game. The favorite is 4-0 STS in the last four meetings amongst these teams.
Washington Huskies's Latest Performance :
The Huskies had an easy day at the office versus the BYU cougars as they converted nine for twelve third down conversions while collecting 464 yards of total offense for the game with 187 yards on the ground. Salvon Ahmed (10 rushes, 86 yards, 2 TD’s) and Myles Gaskin (14 rushes, 81 yards, TD) led the rushing attack while Jake Browning threw for 277 yards along with a touchdown pass. Aaron Fuller led the receiving corps with 107 yards on eight catches for the Huskies 41st ranked passing attack. The 10th ranked defense in yards allowed for Washington gave up only 194 total yards to the Cougars while allowing 34 yards on the ground in the victory. In all, teams have scored less than ten points versus the Huskies in three of their five games in 2018.
UCLA Bruins 's Latest Performance :
UCLA got a touchdown pass from Dorian Thompson Robinson in the first quarter along with two JJ Molson field goals to end a solid first half versus the Colorado Buffaloes in week five only to allow three touchdowns in the second half to the home team to suffer yet another loss on the season. They averaged 5.4 yards per carry on the ground however Thompson Robinson only threw for 138 yards along with a TD pass for the game. Joshua Kelly led the rushing attack with 124 yards on 12 carries for an offense that racked up only 289 yards for the game while their defense allowed the Buffs to collect 477 total yards with 209 on the ground along with 268 passing yards as Steven Montez had a TD pass in the win for Colorado. UCLA is allowing teams to score 38 points per game while allowing 423 yards per outing to their opponents thus far.
How Washington Huskies & UCLA Bruins Matchup.
Vegas Odds, Offshore Odds, & Odds ATS:
Washington is 2-3 ATS while the O/U is 0-5
UCLA is 1-3 ATS while the O/U is 2-2
In-Depth Analysis of each team:
Browning, Gaskin, and Fuller are dangerous weapons for an offense with tremendous upside. The Bruins, on the other hand, have struggled in every defensive category thus far in 2018. In fact, they have given up at least 38 points in their last three games while averaging only 17 points during this time. They will find it difficult to move the ball and score versus a Washington defense that ranked first in points allowed with only 11 per game while being 8th in pass defense in allowing 155 yards per outing. The Bruins, not surprisingly, ranks 100 or worse in all four major offensive categories while averaging only 312 yards per game.
Against The Spread Selection: Pick: Washington -20
My reason for the pick :
I will ride the Huskies in this matchup as the Bruins are clearly not talented enough to compete with a Washington team that has playoff on their mind in 2018. Their defense has been lights out all season and unless their focus is not in the right place, this should be a blowout very early. It would be important to note that the Huskies are 1-1 on the road this year with a loss at Auburn along with a 21-7 win at Utah in week three while the under was the play in each game.
Totals Selection: Pick: Under 50.5
My reason for the prediction :
I will back the under in this contest as it has been the play in all five of the Huskies games this season which leads me to believe that this matchup versus a dismal UCLA offense will follow the same trend. In other words, the Huskies will once again lock down the Bruins as they are simply terrible on offense while the road team will score just enough points to cover the spread while protecting their lead with tough, physical defense. In all, the under will indeed be the strong play with a struggling UCLA offense versus an experienced and strong defense for the Huskies.
Betting trends for Washington Huskies:
- Huskies are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.
- Under is 5-0 in Huskies last 5 games overall.
- Under is 4-0 in Huskies last 4 games after accumulating more than 450 total yards in their previous game.
Betting trends for UCLA Bruins :
- Bruins are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 home games.
- Bruins are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games overall.
- Bruins are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games following a straight up loss of more than 20 points.