Washington State Cougars (4-1) vs Oregon State Beavers (1-4)Date : 10/06/2018
Time : 9:00 pm EST
Location : Reser Stadium, Corvallis, Oregon
Pick, Prediction, & Preview:
Washington State Cougars vs Oregon State Beavers
The Washington State Cougars will battle the Oregon State Beavers in week six Pac 12 college football action on Saturday night at 9 pm EST at Reser Stadium in Corvallis, Oregon. These two teams last met on September 16, 2017 as the Cougars got the 52-23 home win while covering the 19.5 points as favorites while the total of 66 was surpassed. The Cougars have covered the spread in three of the last four games amongst these two teams while the over has been the play in the last four games, overall. Oregon state suffered a 52-24 road loss to Arizona State last weekend as they were not able to cover the spread as 22-point road dogs while the Cougars would sneak by the Utes in a thriller at home to where they scored late in the game to pick up the 28-24 win.
Washington State Cougars's Latest Performance :
Washington State found themselves in a battle at home versus Utah in week five as they went down by three points in the beginning of the third period; however, Gardner Minshew showed his worth, once again, to the Cougars in finding Easop Winston for an 89 yard pass TD that would seal the victory for the home team allowing them to get back into the win column after a huge setback on the road to the USC Trojans the prior week. With that, Minshew threw for 445 yards along with three TD’s in the win while Winston (4 rec, 115 yds, TD) along with Dezmon Patmon (5 rec, 112, TD) led the receiving corps in the come from behind victory. The 129th rushing attack for the Cougars struggled once again in obtaining only 13 yards for the contest while the Cougars overcame committing 104 yards in penalties to get the win.
Oregon State Beavers 's Latest Performance :
After a 27-yard touchdown run by Jermar Jefferson put the Beavers within seven points of the Sun Devils of Arizona last Saturday, the defense allowed Manny Wilkins to throw two touchdown passes while the Sun Devils were also able to score two rushing touchdowns to put the game out of reach while handing the Beavers their third straight loss. The defense for the Beavers did not have their best game by any stretch in allowing 558 yards to ASU while their rush defense was nonexistent as they allowed a whopping 396 yards in the contest for 8.3 yards per carry. The offense for the Beavers racked up 261 yards on the ground with Jefferson having 254 yards along with two TD’s in the loss while Conor Blount threw for 145 yards and a touchdown. While the Oregon State offense has been middle of the road, their defense has really hurt them in 2018 as they are ranked in the lower tier in college football in every defensive category.
How Washington State Cougars & Oregon State Beavers Matchup.
Vegas Odds, Offshore Odds, & Odds ATS:
Washington State is 5-0 ATS while the O/U is 4-1
Oregon State is 2-3 ATS while the O/U is 4-1
In-Depth Analysis of each team:
Oregon State can indeed score some points as they are averaging 30 per outing, however, Washington state is 4th in the nation in total yards allowed per game with 274 while they are only allowing 21 points per game to their opponents. On the other hand, the Cougars are first in passing yards per game with 410 per outing and will certainly try the pass defense for the Beavers that allow 240 yards per game. Washington State may indeed get their running game cranked up in this game as the Beavers allow 304 yards per game to opponents.
Against The Spread Selection: Pick: Washington State -17
My reason for the pick :
I will back the Washington State Cougars in this Pac 12 battle simply because Oregon State’s defense will not be able to contain Minshew and his playmakers in Patmon and Winston throughout this contest. Combine this with the fact that they cannot stop the run either, the Cougars will look to utilize James Williams in this matchup to provide more of a balance to their offense. In all, look for the Cougars to play well in Corvallis this weekend as they are getting closer and closer to breaking the top 25 rankings.
Totals Selection: Pick: Over 65
My reason for the prediction :
As the stats suggest, the over has been the call in the last five games amongst these two squads while being the result in four of the first five games of the season for both teams. Of course, with the Beaver defense being so terrible, expect Minshew and the WSU offense to score early and often in this matchup while the Beavers will also put up some scores to make the game interesting early on. Nonetheless, the Cougars will exert their dominance in every way during the second half while surpassing the total set for the matchup in the end.
Betting trends for Washington State Cougars:
- Over is 4-0 in Cougars last 4 conference games.
- Cougars are 6-0 ATS vs. a team with a losing record.
- Cougars are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games overall.
Betting trends for Oregon State Beavers :
- Beavers are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 conference games.
- Over is 7-0 in Beavers last 7 games after allowing less than 170 yards passing in their previous game.
- Over is 8-1 in Beavers last 9 games overall.