Colorado Buffaloes (5-0) vs USC Trojans (3-2)Date : 10/13/2018
Time : 10:30 pm EST
Location : LA Memorial Coliseum, Los Angeles, California
Pick, Prediction, & Preview:
Colorado Buffaloes vs USC Trojans
The 22nd ranked Colorado Buffaloes will travel to LA Memorial Coliseum in Los Angeles, California, to battle their conference foe USC Trojans in week seven college football action on Saturday at 10:30 pm EST. These two teams last met on November 11, 2017 to where the Trojans picked up the 38-24 road win as they would jump out on the home team due to two early touchdown passes from Sam Darnold while Montez threw a pick six early to put Southern Cal up 20-0 at the half en route to the victory. Both teams are coming off week six wins as the Trojans picked up the 24-20 win over the Arizona Wildcats as the Trojan rushing attack was dominant with Aca’Cedric Ware having 173 yards along with two scores for their second straight win overall. The Buffaloes also picked up a conference victory as they picked up a 28-21 victory over the Arizona State Sun devils at home as the passing game averaged 9.9 yards per catch while Steven Montez had 328 yards and two touchdown passes in the win.
Colorado Buffaloes's Latest Performance :
Colorado trailed Arizona State 21-14 early in the third before Laviska Shenault Jr touchdowns with one being in the air in a 30-yard touchdown pass from Steven Montez to tie the game along with a one-yard touchdown run with :42 seconds remaining in the quarter to seal the victory for the Buffaloes. The defense for Colorado allowed 3.7 yards per rush to the Sun Devils while also giving up 222 yards in the passing game while only allowing the road team to hold the ball for 26:33 minutes in the game. And while the Buffaloes had a 3.7 yards per carry average on the ground (166 yards total) with Travon McMillian leading the team with 30 carries with 136 yards, Montez and the passing game was outstanding as they collected 328 yards on the day with Shinault ending with 127 yards along with two touchdowns in the win.
USC Trojans's Latest Performance :
The Trojans took a 17-0 lead into the half and despite being outscored 20-7 in the second was able to squeak out a win on the road versus the Arizona Wildcats last Saturday. And while quarterback JT Daniels had 197 yards on the night, Aca’Cedric Ware was the man of the day with 173 yards on the ground for the Trojans that racked up 253 total yards within their rushing attack that entered the game ranked 101st in the nation with 139 yards. Surprisingly, USC was able to get the win after racking up a ridiculous amount of penalty yards (197) while also having four fumbles in the contest. Nonetheless, their 5.4 yards per rush average gave way to more efficiency in their passing game as Josh Falo had three catches for 54 yards for a receiving crops that averaged 8.2 yards per catch. The 71st ranked defense for the Trojans was stingy in allowing only 98 yards on the ground while also allowing 232 passing yards, just above their 52nd rank nationally is allowing 218 yards per outing.
How Colorado Buffaloes & USC Trojans Matchup.
Vegas Odds, Offshore Odds, & Odds ATS:
Colorado is 4-1 ATS while the O/U is 1-4
USC is 1-4 ATS while the O/U is 3-2
In-Depth Analysis of each team:
Colorado was able to maintain their undefeated season on Saturday in a close game versus Arizona State and find themselves in first place within the Pac 12 south, however, USC resides in the second place slot and have seemingly gotten back on track from a horrible 1-2 start to the season. In all, this game will be interesting in that you have a Colorado team that averages 37 points per game squaring off against a Trojan team that gives up a total of 26 points per game. On the other hand, Colorado is allowing teams only 18 points per outing and with the Trojans averaging 33 points in their two-game winning streak, both teams will certainly be focused on the task at hand. Of course, combine this with the fact that conference standings are at stake, this should be an intriguing matchup on Saturday to which USC has dominated, yet, the Buffaloes have covered the spread in three of the last five matchups, altogether.
Against The Spread Selection: Pick: USC Trojans -7
My reason for the pick :
I will back the home team in this instance as they seem to be much better at home this season. It is for this season that I expect them to pull out a close victory over the Colorado Buffaloes on Saturday. It is important to note that in their last home game versus the Washington State cougars, they pulled out the 39-36 win in an exciting matchup. Of course, Colorado will score some points versus a USC team that is allowing 26.2 points per game to their opponents, however, the Trojans will also play solid in this game on their way to winning their third straight victory.
Totals Selection: Pick: Under 58
My reason for the prediction :
While Southern California has really stepped it up on the offensive end in the last two games, the fact is that the Colorado defense is ranked in the top 50 in stopping the rush and pass while the under has been the play in four of their five games this season (2-0 in their only two road games for the season). Being that the Buffaloes will have a bit more to play for as they are now the top ranked team within the Pac 12 south division, look for them to really pressure the run game for the Trojans that is ranked 110th in the nation despite their outstanding performance last Saturday. Also, Colorado is allowing 201 passing yards to their opponents this season and will certainly look forward to the challenge of facing Daniels and the USC passing game that is putting up 252 yards per game. In all, look for the Buffaloes to keep this game close as they certainly understand how dangerous the Trojans have been on the offensive end the past couple of weeks. With that being said, they will hunker down on the defensive end as the total will be low at this game’s conclusion.
Betting trends for Colorado Buffaloes:
- Under is 4-0 in Buffaloes last 4 games following a bye week.
- Buffaloes are 1-6-1 ATS in their last 8 games after accumulating more than 280 yards passing in their previous game.
- Buffaloes are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games following a bye week.
Betting trends for USC Trojans:
- Trojans are 0-4 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
- Trojans are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 home games.
- Over is 5-1 in Trojans last 6 home games.