Minnesota Golden Gophers (3-2) vs Ohio State Buckeyes (6-0)Date : 10/13/2018
Time : 12:00 pm EST
Location : Buckeye Stadium, Columbus, Ohio
Pick, Prediction, & Preview:
Minnesota Golden Gophers vs Ohio State Buckeyes
The Minnesota Golden Gophers will travel to Buckeye Stadium in Columbus, Ohio, to take on the third ranked Ohio State Buckeyes on Saturday afternoon beginning at 12 pm EST. The Buckeyes picked up a 49-26 win at home over the Indiana Hoosiers to remain undefeated on the season as they broke the game open in the second half in outscoring the Hoosiers 21-6 after going in at the half by a 28-20 score. The Golden Gophers lost their second straight game at the hands of the Iowa Hawkeyes at home as they fell by a 48-31 score last Saturday as their seemingly solid pass defense ranked 37th in the nation gave up 314 yards to the Hawkeyes on their way to the loss. These teams last met in 2014-15 to where OSU won both games, yet Minnesota covered the spread in both games. The under was also the play in both matchups.
Minnesota Golden Gophers 's Latest Performance :
The Golden Gophers fell to Iowa last weekend behind four touchdowns along with 314 yards by QB Nathan Stanley as the defense also allowed 106 yards on the ground. The Gopher defense also allowed the Hawkeyes to finish ten of 19 on third down conversions. The offense for Minnesota, on the other hand, collected 320 total yards for the game with Zack Annexstad throwing for 218 yards along with three touchdown passes as Tyler Johnson led the attack with 107 yards and a TD in the loss. The rushing attack averaged 2.8 yards with Mohamed Ibrahim collecting 62 yards on 13 carries. Minnesota’s offense only converted three of 11 third down conversions for the game while their rushing game along with their pass defense were very underwhelming in the loss. Look for them to perform much better versus an OSU squad that allows 144 yards on the ground while also passing for 365 yards per game on their oppenents thus far in the season. Annexstad is battling an ankle injury yet is probable for this matchup on Saturday.
Ohio State Buckeyes 's Latest Performance :
The Buckeyes found themselves in a battle versus the Indiana Hoosiers last weekend as they went up 28-20 at the half, however, Dwayne Haskins threw three touchdown passes in the second half to seal their sixth victory of the year. The QB ended with 455 yards, six touchdown passes along with two picks as Paris Campbell had 142 yards and two scores to lead the receiving corps. The rushing attack collected 154 yards in the contest with J.K. Dobbins leading the attack with 82 yards and a score as the Buckeyes averaged 3.2 yards per rush. The defense for OSU stuffed the rushing game for the Hoosiers in allowing only 84 yards while their 60th ranked pass defense allowed 322 yards to Peyton Ramsey along with three interceptions. The defense also allowed the Hoosiers only a 21% conversion rate on third down in addition to allowing them to keep the football for only 23 minutes for the game. Finally, the opportunistic defense for the Buckeyes recovered two fumbles in the win.
How Minnesota Golden Gophers & Ohio State Buckeyes Matchup.
Vegas Odds, Offshore Odds, & Odds ATS:
Minnesota is 3-2 ATS while the OU is 3-2
Ohio State is 3-3 ATS while the OU is 3-3
In-Depth Analysis of each team:
The Golden Gophers have dug a hole for themselves in quickly going 0-2 within the Big Ten to start the season. They now will attempt to get back on the winning track against an Ohio State team that is brewing with confidence after winning their last four home games by an average of 44 points. The offense for Minnesota has been dismal this season while their defense ranks in the top 40 in the country in pass/rush defense in 2018 as the unit will be pivotal in the Gophers getting the win in the contest.
Against The Spread Selection: Pick: Ohio State Buckeyes -29.5
My reason for the pick :
Ohio State has had success versus Minnesota in the past and with the success that they have experienced lately, look for them to cover the spread in this contest versus a team in the Gophers that are not only losers of their last two games, but, one to where their QB may not be 100% in this game due to injury. In all, the Buckeyes will lock down the visitors on their way to shining on offense once again as they have averaged at least 50 points at home this season.
Totals Selection: Pick: Under 59.5
My reason for the prediction :
I will back the under in this contest as I see the home team having a great night on the defensive side of the ball against the Gophers. And with the Gophers having a defense that can certainly stop teams from scoring at will, look for the Buckeyes to score some points, however, they will score just enough to cover the spread while allowing the Gophers to suffer their third straight loss.
Betting trends for Minnesota Golden Gophers :
- Golden Gophers are 0-4-1 ATS in their last 5 road games.
- Golden Gophers are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 conference games.
- Golden Gophers are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games following a double-digit loss at home.
Betting trends for Ohio State Buckeyes :
- Over is 4-0 in Buckeyes last 4 games in October.
- Over is 7-1 in Buckeyes last 8 games after allowing less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.
- Buckeyes are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games after scoring more than 40 points in their previous game