Tennessee Volunteers (2-3) vs Auburn Tigers (4-2)Date : 10/13/2018
Time : 12:00 pm EST
Location : Jordan Hare Stadium, Auburn, Alabama
Pick, Prediction, & Preview:
Tennessee Volunteers vs Auburn Tigers
The Tennessee volunteers will travel to Jordan Hare Stadium in Auburn, Alabama, to face the 9th ranked Auburn Tigers for an all-important SEC east matchup on Saturday at 12 pm EST. Both teams are coming off conference losses as the Vols fell on the road to the Georgia Bulldogs by a 38-12 score as the Bulldogs opened a 17-0 lead at the half while outscoring Tennessee 21-12 in the second to seal the victory. Auburn had a terrible performance on the road versus Mississippi State as they fell by a 23-9 score as their offense could only muster three field goals by Anders Carlson in the loss. The last time these teams met was in November 9, 2013 as the Tigers picked up the 55-23 road win as they covered as 7.5 road favorites while the over was the play with the total being set at 56.5 points.
Tennessee Volunteers's Latest Performance :
The Volunteers were equally as dismal in their road loss to the Georgia Bulldogs last week as they went scoreless in the first half while getting two touchdown passes from Jared Guarantano, however, both two-point conversion failed to seal the victory for the Bulldogs. Guarantano ended with 143 yards in the game while the rushing attack only 66 yards as Ty Chandler rushed for only 27 yards yet would have 53 yards receiving with a TD in the loss. Tennessee came into the game ranked in the top 25 in pass defense and would give up 190 yards to Jake Fromm and the bulldog offense, however, their struggling rush defense allowed 251 yards to Georgia while allowing their offense to convert eight of 14 third down conversions. Tennessee has lost two straight with both being SEC games and find themselves in the cellar of the SEC east division. With that being the case, they will find it difficult to solve an Auburn defense that is talented up front while also looking to end heir streak of terrible play on offense versus a Vols defense that allows over 150 yards rushing per game.
Auburn Tigers 's Latest Performance :
Auburn’s offensive woes continued last Saturday on the road versus the Mississippi State Bulldogs as they were only able to put three field goals on the board in a 23-9 loss. And while they averaged 4-3 yards per rush for the day with Jatarvious Whitlow having 88 yards, the passing game only put up 214 yards with Jared Stidham went 19 of 38 passing. In addition to this, Auburn fumbled four time while losing two to the Bulldog defense while possessing the ball for only 18 minutes in the game along with converting three for 14 third down conversions. The pass defense for the Tigers pulled its weight in allowing only 69 yards in the air, however, the 50th ranked rush defense for Auburn allowed 349 yards on the ground as Fitzgerald had 195 yards along with two touchdowns in the contest. Offensive lineman Jack Driscoll continues to be questionable with a leg injury for the Tigers which could certainly affect offensive continuity in this matchup versus the Vols.
How Tennessee Volunteers & Auburn Tigers Matchup.
Vegas Odds, Offshore Odds, & Odds ATS:
Tennessee is 2-3 ATS while the OU is 2-3
Auburn is 2-4 ATS while the OU is 1-5
In-Depth Analysis of each team:
Again, both teams certainly need a win in this contest as both are struggling to score. On one hand, Auburn put up 34 points in their first four games of the season to only average 16.5 points in their last two games. On the other hand, the Volunteers are averaging only 19 points in their last three games, overall. In all, this will be a defensive game as Auburn will be looking to own the trenches versus Tennessee while the Vols will exert the same philosophy as their rushing attack is averaging 178 yards per game.
Against The Spread Selection: Pick: Auburn Tigers -15.5
My reason for the pick :
With Auburn being at home, I will back them in getting the win in this contest while covering the spread as they have been a different team at Jordan Hare this season. The first road game for the Vols was last weekend versus the Bulldogs and while the Tigers are a wholly different team, there is an indication that Tennessee will once again lay an egg as visitors. In all, look for the Tigers to rebound on the strength of their defense and running game in this matchup on Saturday as the win will keep the pressure on the Aggies of Texas A&M in the division.
Totals Selection: Pick: Under 47.5
My reason for the prediction :
The under has been the play in five of the last six games for Auburn and with Tennessee struggling on offense lately, look for the Tigers to control the trenches throughout this matchup. Also, Auburn will indeed score points versus a defense that allows 26 points per game, however, their defense is 31st in yards allowed per game with 341 yards per game. I will back the under in this contest as both teams have solid defenses, for the most part, yet their offenses will once again find it hard to move the ball throughout.
Betting trends for Tennessee Volunteers:
- Under is 4-0 in Volunteers last 4 games after allowing more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.
- Volunteers are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games after accumulating less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.
- Over is 6-1 in Volunteers last 7 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
Betting trends for Auburn Tigers :
- Under is 5-0 in Tigers last 5 games after accumulating less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.
- Under is 5-0 in Tigers last 5 games after scoring less than 20 points in their previous game.
- Tigers are 0-3-1 ATS in their last 4 games after allowing more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.