Louisville Cardinals (2-4) vs Boston College Eagles (4-2)Date : 10/13/2018
Time : 12:30 pm EST
Location : Alumni Stadium, Chestnut Hill, Massachusetts
Pick, Prediction, & Preview:
Louisville Cardinals vs Boston College Eagles
The Louisville Cardinals will travel to Alumni Stadium in Chestnut Hill, Massachusetts, for an ACC matchup against the Boston College Eagles on Saturday afternoon at 12:30 pm EST. The last time these two teams met was on October 14, 2017 as the Eagles picked up the 45-42 road win as they covered as 20-point road underdogs while the over was the play with the total being set at 60 points for the game. In their last outing, the Eagles, however, lost of the road at the hands of the NC State Wolfpack by a 28-23 score as they failed to get anything going on offense for the first three quarters en route to the loss. The Cardinals were blasted at home by a 66-31 score by the Georgia Tech Yellowjackets as the road team racked up 542 rush yards for the game while handing the Cardinals their third straight loss.
Louisville Cardinals's Latest Performance :
The Cardinals got blasted at home versus the Yellowjackets on Saturday as they were pounded in the run game to the tune of 542 yards for the game as QB Taquon Marshall rushed for 175 yards and two touchdowns while Tobias Oliver also had eight carries for 108 yards along with two touchdowns to lead the rushing attack for Georgia Tech that averaged 8.3 yards per carry. The Cardinals racked up only 113 yards per carry Jawon Pass ended with 370 yards passing along with two touchdown passes in the loss while Chatarious Atwell had 79 yards on four receptions with two touchdowns in the loss. The Cardinals have been terrible at stopping the run all season as they are allowing 231 yards for the year; Nonetheless, they will now face a BC team that is ranked 26th in the nation in averaging over 200 yards rushing per outing. They will certainly need to shore up their vulnerabilities within the defensive front in a hurry to prevent their fourth straight loss; However, linebackers Robert Hicks and C.J. Avery are both questionable with undisclosed injuries for this matchup while cornerback Chandler Jones is also questionable with a leg injury.
Boston College Eagles 's Latest Performance :
The Eagles entered their game with the Wolfpack averaging 223 yards on the ground, however, they were limited to only 120 yards for the game with Ben Glines leading the way with 90 yards on 16 carries and a TD. On the other hand, Anthony Brown ended with 198 yards passing with a touchdown pass in the loss as the Eagles went one for ten on third downs while holding the ball for only 18 minutes in the game. The 84th ranked rush defense allowed 225 yards on the ground to the Wolfpack while the passing game exceeded its pass yards per game average by almost 100 yards as Ryan Finley finished with 308 yards, two touchdowns and two interceptions. Despite collecting four turnovers for the game BC allowed the Wolfpack to covert ten of 15 third downs for the contest and were never able to recover. Running back AJ Dillion is questionable with an ankle injury and uncertain to suit up in this matchup.
How Louisville Cardinals & Boston College Eagles Matchup.
Vegas Odds, Offshore Odds, & Odds ATS:
Louisville is 1-5 ATS while the OU is 3-3
Boston College is 4-2 ATS while the OU is 4-2
In-Depth Analysis of each team:
The Bottom line is that the Cardinals are truly struggling on both sides of the ball. Their defense is allowing too many yards on the ground while they are allowing teams to put up 33 points per game. The Eagles have look to rebound from an awful outing as well while looking to establish themselves within the trenches versus Louisville early as this has been their kryptonite all season. With the physicality that the Eagles will bring, it will be difficult to feel as though the Cardinals can keep this game close on the road on Saturday.
Against The Spread Selection: Pick: Boston College -13.5
My reason for the pick :
I will back the Eagles in this matchup as they should be focused to get back on the winning track after losing two of their last three games after winning three straight to begin the season. In addition to this, we know from last week’s performance the troubles the Cardinals have with stopping the run. With that being the case, look for BC to establish the rushing attack early as this has been their bread and butter throughout the season. Of course, Dillion is questionable in this matchup, however, if Boston College remains physical at the point of attack, they will certainly cover versus a dismal Louisville squad.
Totals Selection: Pick: Over 61
My reason for the prediction :
I will back the over in this contest as it has been the play in the last two games for the Cardinals while being the result in the last three home games for the Eagles. Combine this with the fact that the Cardinals are struggling stopping the run which happens to be what the Eagles happen to do best, this game will be a high scoring matchup to where the Eagles will run away with the win after only a half.
Betting trends for Louisville Cardinals:
- Over is 4-0 in Cardinals last 4 games in October.
- Under is 5-0 in Cardinals last 5 vs. a team with a winning record.
- Cardinals are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 games after allowing less than 170 yards passing in their previous game.
Betting trends for Boston College Eagles :
- Over is 6-0-1 in Eagles last 7 games after allowing more than 450 total yards in their previous game.
- Over is 5-0 in Eagles last 5 games after allowing more than 280 yards passing in their previous game.
- Eagles are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games in October.