UNLV Runnin’ Rebels vs Utah State Aggies Preview, Prediction, and Free Pick 10-13-2018




UNLV Runnin’ Rebels vs Utah State Aggies Preview, Prediction, and Free Pick 10-13-2018

UNLV Runnin’ Rebels (2-3) vs Utah State Aggies (4-1)

Date : 10/13/2018
Time : 4:00 pm EST
Location : Merlin Olson Stadium, Logan, Utah

Pick, Prediction, & Preview:

UNLV Runnin’ Rebels vs Utah State Aggies

The UNLV Runnin’ Rebels will travel to Merlin Olson Stadium in Logan, Utah, for a showdown with the Utah State Aggies on Saturday afternoon beginning at 4 pm EST.  In their last matchup, the Aggies were picked up the 45-20 road win over the BYU Cougars last Saturday as they used a 21-7 first half lead to outscore the Cougars in the second half 24-13 en route to the road win.  The Runnin’ Rebels, on the other hand, were blown out at home by a 50-14 score as they allowed 502 total yards in the loss to the New Mexico Lobos while they were only able to collect 166 yards for the game as they lost their second straight game.  In their last meeting amongst each other, the Aggies picked up the 52-28 road win on October 21, 2017, as they covered as 3.5 road dogs while the over was the result with the total being set at 59 points for the game.  The underdogs are 4-1 ATS in the last five meetings amongst these two teams, overall.

 

UNLV Runnin’ Rebels's Latest Performance :

UNLV played horribly in their last matchup versus the New Mexico Lobos as they did not score until the final period when Max Gilliam threw two late interceptions to make the score a bit more respectable as the Rebels only collected 166 yards on the game as they rushed for 43 yards for a 1.6 yard per carry average.  For the game, the passing attack obtained 123 yards, two touchdowns, and an interception in the loss for UNLV as they had two turnovers while going three for 15 on third downs for the day in addition to only picking up 13 first downs.  On the other hand, the Lobos had 25 first downs while the defense allowed a total of 502 yards.  The 109th ranked rush defense for the Runnin’ Rebels gave up 252 rushing yards for the game while giving up 11.9 yards per catch in the contest.  Nonetheless, the Rebels possess the 6th ranked rushing attack in the country in averaging 279 yards per game while the Aggies are giving up 158 yards per game.

 

Utah State Aggies's Latest Performance :

Utah State had no problems in taking out the BYU Cougars last weekend as they got the scoring started by picking off Tyler Magnum for a pick six as it preceded to go downhill from there for the Cougars.  Jordan love threw for only 165 yards yet had four touchdowns for the game while the rushing attack for the Aggies racked up 223 yards total with Darwin Thompson racking up 109 yards on 17 carries for the game as the Aggies got the huge victory despite having 125 yards in penalties.  Their defense allowed only 39 yards on the ground while allowing 322 yards in the air as Mangum threw for two touchdowns along with a pick six while Talon Shumway led the receiving corps with 110 yards on five catches.  This week, the Aggies and their 44th ranked rushing attack will look to have success versus a Runnin’ Rebels defense that allows 206 yards per outing to their opponents.

 

How UNLV Runnin’ Rebels & Utah State Aggies Matchup.

Vegas Odds, Offshore Odds, & Odds ATS:

 

UNLV is 3-2 ATS while the OU is 3-2

Utah State is 5-0 ATS while the OU is 5-0

In-Depth Analysis of each team:

The Aggies are on a roll in winning their fourth straight game while the Rebels are losers of two straight games and desperately in need of a win.  if they are to pick up a win in this contest, they must be able to utilize their rushing attack versus a Utah State team that can be pushed around a bit in the trenches.  Nonetheless, the Aggies are second in the nation in points scored with 50 per game while giving up 23 points to their opponents.  On the other hand, the Rebels are averaging 31 points per game while allowing 32 points per outing.  With that being said, look for some points to be scored in this contest in what will be a back and forth game throughout as Utah State will certainly have a huge advantage on both sides of the ball.

Against The Spread Selection: Pick:  Utah State Aggies -26.5

My reason for the pick :

 

I will back the Aggies with the points in this game as the Rebels are very unreliable in stopping opponents from scoring, particularly, with them ranking in the 90’s and 100’s in points allowed, yards allowed, along with rushing yards allowed.  In all, I expect for the Aggies to show and prove in this matchup as UNLV is very inconsistent on both sides of the ball as the Aggies will expose this once again on Saturday.

 

 

Totals Selection: Pick:  Over 63

My reason for the prediction :

The over has been the play in each game of 2018 for Utah State this year while being the result in three of the last five games for UNLV.  Also, the over was the play in last year’s matchup as well thus allowing me to lean to the over in this matchup on Saturday.  Of course, with the Aggies averaging 50 points per game and sure to give up a score or two (or three), the over will certainly be the strong play as the total of 63 will be surpassed as has been the case with Utah State throughout the season.

Betting trends for UNLV Runnin’ Rebels:

    • Rebels are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing more than 40 points in their previous game.
    • Rebels are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games following an ATS loss.
    • Over is 4-0 in Rebels last 4 games after accumulating less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.

Betting trends for Utah State Aggies:

    • Over is 6-0 in Aggies last 6 games following a straight up win of more than 20 points.
    • Aggies are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games overall.
    • Over is 5-0 in Aggies last 5 games following an ATS win.

Falepa

A sports analyst and enthusiast, Filipa enjoys writing articles for NHL, NBA, NCAAB, and, of course, for NCAAF. In addition, he enjoys the true art of breaking down games in such as way as to locate certain trends that can impact future contests. With a willingness to research, construct, and relay information that any reader can understand, Filipa aims to provide the reader with interesting & indepth knowledge for upcoming sporting events.