Florida Gators (5-1) vs Vanderbilt Commodores (3-3)Date : 10/13/2018
Time : 12:00 pm EST
Location : Vanderbilt Stadium, Nashville, Tennesseee
Pick, Prediction, & Preview:
Florida Gators vs Vanderbilt Commodores
The 16th ranked Florida Gators will travel to Vanderbilt Stadium in Nashville, Tennessee, for an SEC battle versus the Vanderbilt Commodores on Saturday beginning at 12 pm EST. The last time these teams met was on September 30, 2017 as the Gators picked up the 38-24 home win as they covered as 9.5 home favorites while the over was the play as the total was set at 39.5 points for the game. In their last outing, the Gators picked up the 27-19 home win over the LSU Tigers as they collected three turnovers for the game with a pick six to get the hard-fought victory. The Commodores, on the other hand, suffered the 41-13 road loss versus 2nd ranked Georgia Bulldogs as they allowed over 500 yards in total offense en route to their third loss in four games. The over is 5-1 in the last six games versus these two teams while the road team is 8-2 ATS in the last 10 meetings. Finally, the Gators are 4-1 ATS in the last five meetings in Nashville.
Florida Gators's Latest Performance :
The Gators took control of the trenches versus LSU in their last contest as they were able to limit their rushing attack to only 180 yards for a 4.4 yard per carry average. Joe Burrow would also struggle for the Tigers as the Gators defense limited him to only 192 yards passing along with two picks in the game with one being returned by Brad Stewart to seal the victory for Florida. In all, LSU committed three costly turnovers while allowing the Gators to rush for 215 yards with Lamichael Perine having 85 yards along with two touchdowns in the victory. Felipe Franks only went 12 for 27 in the game with 161 yards yet threw a touchdown pass to Moral Stephens that put the Gators up 14-10 late in the second quarter. Florida will take its 182 yard per game rushing attack on the road to face a Vandy team that has been dominated at the line of scrimmage this season in giving up 165 yards per game on the ground.
Vanderbilt Commodores's Latest Performance :
Georgia dominated the Commodores at home in their last time out as they put up 560 yards of total offense as Jake Fromm threw for 276 yards along with three touchdown passes while Terry Goodwin led the receiving corps with 95 yards and a score in the win. Elijah Holyfield led the rushing attack that obtained 219 yards on the ground with 64 yards and a TD on six rushes as the Bulldogs averaged 6.4 yards per carry in the game. The defense for UGA only allowed the Commodores to convert three for twelve third down conversions while giving up 138 rushing yards along with 183 passing yards for the game as Kyle Shurmur went 14 for 28 for the game while Ke’Shawn Vaughn led the rushing attack with 79 yards total. Vandy has struggled on both sides of the ball this year, yet, will hope to do much better, albeit versus a dominant defense in Florida that allows only 14.8 points per game to their opponent.
How Florida Gators & Vanderbilt Commodores Matchup.
Vegas Odds, Offshore Odds, & Odds ATS:
Florida is 5-1 ATS while the OU is 3-3
Vanderbilt is 3-3 ATS while the OU is 1-5
In-Depth Analysis of each team:
Florida has won four straight and would love nothing better than to beta a struggling Vandy team at home on Saturday to keep pace with the Bulldogs, who have a tough challenge ahead of them in facing LSU in Baton Rouge this weekend. Look for both teams to come out with focus in this game as Vandy certainly needs a win after losing three of their last four games while the Gators will want to hold up their end of the bargain by winning over a struggling team that, quite frankly, should be pretty handedly.
Against The Spread Selection: Pick: Florida Gators -7
My reason for the pick :
I will give the edge to the Gators in this matchup as they are simply the better team at this point in the season. Add to the fact that they have a dominant defense that managed to limit LSU’s punishing rushing attack to under 200 yards last week, I will certainly expect them to come out and dominate in the trenches from the start in picking up a win while covering the points as well.
Totals Selection: Pick: 50.5
My reason for the prediction :
With the Gators defense along with the way Vandy is struggling on offense, I will choose the under to be the play in Saturday’s matchup amongst these two teams. Also, the Gators are not really an offensive juggernaut as they are only putting up 20 points in their last two games, however, expect them to cover the spread while holding Vandy’s offense to under twenty points in this contest as they have done four of six times this season with their opponents.
Betting trends for Florida Gators:
- Gators are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 games on fieldturf.
- Gators are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games overall.
- Over is 4-1 in Gators last 5 games after allowing less than 20 points in their previous game.
Betting trends for Vanderbilt Commodores:
- Over is 4-0 in Commodores last 4 games after allowing more than 280 yards passing in their previous game.
- Commodores are 0-4-1 ATS in their last 5 games in October.
- Commodores are 1-8-1 ATS in their last 10 conference games.