Missouri Tigers (4-2) vs Alabama Crimson Tide (3-2)Date : 10/13/2018
Time : 3:30 pm EST
Location : Bryant-Denny Stadium in Tuscaloosa, Alabama
Pick, Prediction, & Preview:
Missouri Tigers vs Alabama Crimson Tide
Missouri Tigers will travel to Bryant-Denny Stadium in Tuscaloosa, Alabama, to battle top ranked Alabama Crimson Tide on Saturday at 3:30 pm EST. The last time these two teams met was on December 6, 2014 as the Tide rolled to a 42-13 road win as they covered as two touchdown favorites to there the over was the play with the total was set at 49 points for the game. The Crimson Tide racked up over 600 yards in total offense in picking up the 65-31 road win versus the Arkansas Razorbacks int their last outing. The Tigers, on the other hand, suffered a last second loss on the road versus the Gamecocks by a 37-35 score as a field goal by the Gamecocks caused the tigers to lose two straight games.
Missouri Tigers's Latest Performance :
Missouri could not pull out a victory versus a Gamecocks team that was determined to get a win last Saturday as they dropped the contest due to a 33-yard field goal by Parker White to seal the victory. The Tigers on only went four for 16 on third down conversions for the game yet rushed for 286 yards for the game with Damarea Crockett leading the attack with 154 yards rushing on 20 carries and a score while Drew Lock struggled once again as he threw for only 204 yards and two picks in the loss. Their defense, which ranks 75th in total yards allowed with 392 yards total, allowed the Gamecocks 377 yards for the game while allowing them to convert eight for 19 third down conversions in the loss. They will have their work cut out for them versus Alabama in that the Tide is averaging 56 points per game while being ranked in the top five in every other major offensive catagory besides rushing to which they are ranked 27th in averaging 222 yards per outing.
Alabama Crimson Tide's Latest Performance :
Alabama took a 21-0 lead with two Tua Tagovailoa touchdown passes along with a rushing touchdown by Joshua Jacobs midway through the first quarter and never looked back as they had 639 total yards on the day with Tagovailoa having 334 yards along with four TD’s as Jerry Jeudy and Irv Smith combining for six catches for 258 yards along with three touchdowns in the win. the rushing attack was dominant as well with the Tide collecting 246 yards on the ground with Damien Harris having 111 yards rushing with two touchdowns. Arkansas had three turnovers for the game yet racked up 172 yards for the day for a 5.5 average. Alabama now turns its attention to the reeling yet potent offensive attack for Missouri that continues to rank in the top 30 in passing and rushing with 318 along with 212 yards, respectively, this season.
How Missouri Tigers & Alabama Crimson Tide Matchup.
Vegas Odds, Offshore Odds, & Odds ATS:
Missouri is 3-2 ATS while the OU is 4-0-1
Alabama is 3-3 ATS while the OU is 5-1
In-Depth Analysis of each team:
This should be a game that the Tide will win easily as Missouri is certainly struggling during this time of the year. Combine this with the fact that they are not getting the most out of Drew Lock and his play, the Tide will look to step up the pressure on the QB after they utilize their 51st ranked rush defense to neutralize the running game for the tigers that are putting up 212 yards per game. In all, this game may indeed be close for a half before Alabama pulls away in dominating fashion on Saturday.
Against The Spread Selection: Pick: Alabama Crimson Tide -28
My reason for the pick :
I will back the Tide in this contest in that they are simply the better all-around team. Also, with the tigers not catching a break in any way on either side of the ball lately, look for this to continue to they will fall hard on the road to Alabama this weekend while not being able to cover the points. Tagovailoa will certainly challenge Mizzou’s pass defense that is ranked 117th in the country in averaging 285 points per game.
Totals Selection: Pick: Over 74.5
My reason for the prediction :
Look for this to be yet another game to where the offense for Alabama will take control of the game before the half while allowing it to be the catalyst for breaking the game wide open in the second. As stated, the Tide is averaging 50 points per game thanks to their dominating rushing attack along with their stellar QB play this year. Of course, Missouri has a potent offensive attack as well and will find some creases versus the Alabama defense; Nonetheless, look for the over to be the play simply due to the fact that the Tigers will have all types of trouble matching the overall physicality that the Tide will bring to the table throughout the game.
Betting trends for Missouri Tigers:
- Over is 6-0 in Tigers last 6 games after accumulating more than 450 total yards in their previous game.
- Over is 4-0 in Tigers last 4 vs. a team with a winning record.
- Over is 5-0 in Tigers last 5 games following a straight up loss.
Betting trends for Alabama Crimson Tide:
- Over is 4-0 in Crimson Tide last 4 home games.
- Crimson Tide are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 conference games.
- Over is 6-1 in Crimson Tide last 7 games overall.