Arizona Wildcats (3-4) vs UCLA Bruins (1-5)Date : 10/20/2018
Time : 10:30 pm EST
Location : Rose Bowl, Pasadena, California
Pick, Prediction, & Preview:
Arizona Wildcats vs UCLA Bruins
The Arizona Wildcats will take on the UCLA Bruins in a Pac 12 conference battle on Saturday night at 10:30 pm EST at the Rose Bowl in Pasadena, California. Arizona came out with the victory the last time these two teams met as they picked up the 47-30 home win while covering as 2.5 home dogs as the over has been the play in three straight games against these two teams. In their last outing, the Wildcats suffered a 42-10 road loss to the Utah Utes last Saturday as Utah went up 28-0 at the half as Tyler Huntley accounted for a rushing touchdown along with two passing TD’s to put the Utes on top on their way to the victory. The Bruins won their first game of the year in whipping up on a California Bears team by a 37-7 score as they sealed the win by outscoring the home team 24-7 in the second half. The Wildcats are 1-5 ATS in the last six games versus UCLA while the favorite is 9-2 ATS in the last eleven games, overall. Finally, the home team is 11-4 ATS in the last fifteen games.
Arizona Wildcats's Latest Performance :
The Wildcats were destroyed by the Utes in their last outing as they not only allowed 230 yards rushing for the game, but the Utah passing attack averaged 12 yards per catch as well. Rhett Rodrigues passed for 226 yards and a passing touchdown in the loss while Cedric Peterson ended with 63 yards and a TD to lead the receiving corps. A blowout loss has been the norm for the Wildcats on the road this season as they lost by 27 versus Houston earlier in the season in addition to falling to the Utes in their last outing. The would, however, get the 35-14 win on the road over the lowly Oregon State Beavers earlier in the season. Nonetheless, they picked up a 17 point win on the road versus the Bruins last year which could provide some confidence going into this matchup on Saturday.
UCLA Bruins's Latest Performance :
The UCLA Bruins went over the 30 point mark for the first time this season as they whipped up on the Cal Bears by a 37-7 score last weekend on the strength of their rushing game that collected 207 yards on the ground and was led by Joshua Kelley with 157 yards on 30 carries along with three touchdowns. The passing game, on the other hand, averaged 9.4 yards per catch as Dorian Thompson-Robinson passed for only 141 as Celeb Wilson had 92 yards on five catches in the win. The awful defense for the Bruins enjoyed five turnovers for the game while allowing just 310 yards to the Bears in addition to only permitting them to convert three of 14 third down conversions in defeat. They now will face an Arizona team that had been warming up by winning two straight yet has since lost two of their last three games overall.
How Arizona Wildcats & UCLA Bruins Matchup.
Vegas Odds, Offshore Odds, & Odds ATS:
Arizona is 3-4 ATS while the OU is 1-6
UCLA is 3-3 ATS while the OU is 3-3
In-Depth Analysis of each team:
Both these teams continue to struggle. And while the Bruins were fortunate enough to put one in the win column last week, I would not expect much from them against a much more offensive minded unit in Arizona. In other words, this will be a low scoring and competitive affair with the Bruins having the better, all-around defense while the Wildcats possessing the better, all-around offense as both will battle throughout the matchup. In all, it will be interesting to see which will establish themselves within the trenches first in which to control the pace of the game.
Against The Spread Selection: Pick: Arizona Wildcats +7
My reason for the pick :
While one could make a case that the Bruins are beginning to heat up a bit after a win against Washington and Cal, I will not be one of those people as I happen to believe that while the Bruins played hard in their past two wins, they were simply beneficiaries of what other teams may experience from time to time: Luck. With that being said, expect them to compete in this matchup as they do every week, however, also look for the Wildcats, who have covered in three of their last five games overall, to play solid as well versus a Bruins team that, despite winning two straight, has struggled this year with consistency on both sides of the ball.
Totals Selection: Pick: Under 56
My reason for the prediction :
Again, Arizona has the much better offense in ranking in the top fifty in total yards per game. On the other hand the Bruins are allowing just 19 points to their opponents in the last two games, thus allowing me to pick the under in this contest. Besides, both offenses are only putting up around 24 points per game on average with the Wildcats averaging a few points more due to their passing attack remaining solid throughout the year. In all, look for this matchup to be a low scoring affair where the defenses will certainly keep both offenses out of the endzone for much of the contest.
Betting trends for Arizona Wildcats:
- • Under is 4-0 in Wildcats last 4 games overall.
• Under is 6-0 in Wildcats last 6 conference games.
• Over is 5-0 in Wildcats last 5 games after scoring less than 20 points in their previous game.
Betting trends for UCLA Bruins:
- • Under is 4-0 in Bruins last 4 games after accumulating more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.
• Bruins are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing less than 20 points in their previous game.
• Bruins are 0-8 ATS in their last 8 games following a straight up win of more than 20 points.