Oregon Ducks (5-1) vs Washington State Cougars (5-1)Date : 10/20/2018
Time : 7:30 pm EST
Location : Martin Stadium, Pullman, Washington
Pick, Prediction, & Preview:
Oregon Ducks vs Washington State Cougars
The 11th ranked Oregon Ducks will travel to Martin Stadium in Pullman, Washington, for a Pac 12 showdown with the 23rd ranked Washington State Cougars on Saturday night at 7:30 pm EST. These squads last met on October 7, 2017 as the Cougars picked up the 33-10 road win as they covered as 1.5-point road favorites. The Ducks are not only 0 for eight in the last eight games versus the Cougars, but, are 0 for four against the spread in their last four meetings at Martin stadium. In their last outing, the Cougars picked up the 56-37 road win over the Oregon State Beavers on October 6, 2018 as they preceded to outscore the Beavers 28-13 in the second half after going into the half up only four points. The Ducks pulled out the overtime win over the Washington Huskies in their last time out by a 30-24 home score as the Huskies seemed to have the game in hand with a Peyton Henry 22-yard field goal, however, CJ Verdell scrambled for a six-yard run in OT as the Ducks pulled out the huge victory. The underdog is 7-1 ATS in the last eight games.
Oregon Ducks's Latest Performance :
Oregon also won their second straight game in their last time out as they picked up a 30-27 home win over the 14th ranked Washington Huskies last Saturday while covering in their second straight game after going 0-4 ATS in their prior four games. After Washington tied the game late in the third quarter on a Jake Browning touchdown pass to Ty Jones, the game went into overtime with the Huskies going up three points on a Peyton Henry field goal; However, CJ Verdell scored on a six-yard run to give the Ducks the victory as the rushing game capped a day to where they racked up 177 yards. Verdell ended with 11 yards along with two touchdowns while QB Justin Herbert passed for 202 yards along with two scores as Dillion Mitchell had 119 yards on eight catches along with a touchdown for the Ducks. The Huskies dominated the 32nd ranked rushing defense for Oregon in putting up 194 yards while they also averaged 9.7 yards per catch in addition to going six for 13 on third downs.
Washington State Cougars's Latest Performance :
Washington State won their second straight game after a high scoring matchup with the Oregon State Beavers in their last outing as they covered the spread in their sixth straight game. Their passing attack was a dominant as ever as they collected 430 yards for the game for an average of 10.8 yards per catch as Gardner Minshew threw for five touchdowns while Davontaveon Martin had 119 yards on eight catches along with two TD’s. And while their 54th ranked rush defense was manhandled up front with Beavers being able to put up 276 yards on the ground for 5.5 yards per carry, Washington State outscored OSU 28-13 in the second half to pull away from a team that was four points away from tying the game at the half. The Cougars have not only been excellent at covering the spread, but, the over has been the result in five of the last six games for Washington State as well.
How Oregon Ducks & Washington State Cougars Matchup.
Vegas Odds, Offshore Odds, & Odds ATS:
Oregon is 2-4 ATS while the OU is 3-3
Washington State is 6-0 ATS while the OU is 5-1
In-Depth Analysis of each team:
This will certainly be an intriguing matchup as both the Ducks and the Cougars are 5-1 on the season along with being 2-1 in the Pac 12 north division. Currently, as the 2nd and 3rd place team, a win for the Ducks can allow them to step into first place in the division while the Cougars could use a win to climb the top 25 rankings while occupying the second place slot within the division. Both teams score over 40 points per game while the Cougars possess the number one passing game in the nation in averaging 414 yards per game. The Ducks will certainly have problems defending against this Wazzou passing attack as they give up 239 yards per game, good for 90th in the nation. However, the Ducks should fare well in the rush defense as the home team is ranked 128th in the country in rushing yards per game with only 74. The Ducks will bring in the 31st rushing attack that averages 210 yards per game while the Cougars are giving up 148 yards per game to their opponents this year. In all, look for this game to be a heavyweight fight to where they will be punches thrown throughout the game, yet none potent enough to knock the other team out.
Against The Spread Selection: Pick: Washington State Cougars -3
My reason for the pick :
I will have to give the edge to the Washington Cougars in this matchup in that they have had much success versus the Ducks in the past and possess a dangerous passing attack that I feel Oregon will have headaches defending. And while the Cougars will certainly get the most out of their passing attack in this game, the Ducks will certainly score some points as well as they will rely on their balanced offensive attack in which to keep the game tight throughout. Nonetheless, the Cougars will continue to roll as Minshew and company will simply be too much to handle for a Ducks team that gives up too many big plays within the defensive secondary.
Totals Selection: Pick: Over 66.5
My reason for the prediction :
I will back the over in this contest despite the under being the result in the last outing amongst these two teams. The fact is that both these teams are averaging over 40 points per game while their defenses are allowing only 23 points per game combined. However, with so much riding on this game such as rankings along with division implications, the focus will certainly be there for both squads. Nonetheless, with both teams being more offensive minded, look for both offenses to take center stage as this will be a back and forth affair to where momentum will shift back and forth throughout the duration of this game, thus causing the score to balloon pass 66.5 points.
Betting trends for Oregon Ducks:
- Under is 8-1 in Ducks last 9 road games.
- Under is 6-1 in Ducks last 7 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
- Ducks are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games following a bye week.
Betting trends for Washington State Cougars:
- Over is 4-0 in Cougars last 4 games after accumulating more than 280 yards passing in their previous game.
- Over is 4-0 in Cougars last 4 games after allowing more than 450 total yards in their previous game.
- Cougars are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.