Penn State Nittany Lions (4-2) vs Indiana Hoosiers (4-3)Date : 10/20/2018
Time : 3:30 pm EST
Location : Memorial Stadium, Bloomington, Indiana
Pick, Prediction, & Preview:
Penn State Nittany Lions vs Indiana Hoosiers
The 8th ranked Penn State Nittany Lions will travel to Memorial Stadium in Bloomington, Indiana, for an all-important Big Ten showdown versus the Indiana Hoosiers on Saturday afternoon at 3:30 pm EST. The last time these two teams squared off on September 30, 2017, the Nittany Lions picked up the 45-14 home win while covering as 19-point favorites. Penn State is 3-0-1 ATS in the last four meetings while the home team is 5-1-1 ATS in the last seven meetings, overall. In their last matchup, Penn State fell at home to the Michigan State Spartans by a score of 21-17 as the Spartans regained the lead with only :19 seconds remaining in the fourth quarter with a Brian Lewerke pass to Felton Davis III to seal the victory. The Hoosiers, on the other hand, suffered a 42-16 home loss to the Iowa Hawkeyes last Saturday as the road team went up 21-10 score at the half while outscoring Indiana 21-6 in the second en route to the victory. The favorite is 3-0-1 ATS in the last four meetings.
Penn State Nittany Lions's Latest Performance :
The Nittany Lions have lost two straight Big Ten games and will love to get back into the win column with a win over another reeling team in Indiana on Saturday. Michigan State would recapture the lead over Penn State in their last matchup with :19 seconds remaining as the Lions would fall once again during the last seconds as they did the week prior to Ohio State, thus falling to 1-2 in the eastern division of the Big Ten. Trace McSorley was less than stellar with only 192 yards in the air and a touchdown pass to KJ Hamler, who finished with 66 yards on five catches for the game. On the other hand, Miles Sanders carried the team on his back for much of the contest in collecting 162 yards on the ground along with a TD for a Nittany Lions rushing attack that powered in 209 yards on the top ranked rush defense in the nation in the Spartans. Brian Lewereke went 24 for 52 for the day with 259 yards, 2 TD’s along with an interception for MSU as the Penn State defense allowed the visitors 418 yards of total offense.
Indiana Hoosiers's Latest Performance :
The Hoosiers were simply not able to keep up with the Iowa Hawkeyes at home in their last outing as they went down 21-10 at the half and were able to put up only six points for the remainder of the contest as they lost their second straight game along with their third in four outings to fall 1-3 in the east division of the Big Ten. QB Peyton Ramsey threw for 263 yards along with a TD and two interceptions as Ty Fryfogle paced the receiving corps with 71 yards and a touchdown while the rushing attack struggled in collecting only 67 yards for the contest for a 2.7 yards per rush average. The defense was torched by Nate Stanley of Iowa for 320 yards and six touchdowns while their 67th ranked rush defense allowed five yards per rush to the Hawkeyes with Toren Young ending with 98 yards in the victory for Iowa. The Hoosiers are 1-3 ATS in their last four games while their offense put up only 21 points during this time. The defense, on the other hand, allowed 36 points to their opponents during their current skid.
How Penn State Nittany Lions & Indiana Hoosiers Matchup.
Vegas Odds, Offshore Odds, & Odds ATS:
Penn State is 4-2 ATS while the OU is 4-2
Indiana is 2-5 ATS while the OU is 3-4
In-Depth Analysis of each team:
As stated, both these teams are in need of a win in which to get them back on track in the Big Ten. With that being the case, expect both Penn state and Indiana to be focused on the task at hand on Saturday. While the Nittany Lions are the choice to win this game simply in judging from past trends, their last two losses could possibly play on the psyche of the players moving forward. In other words, Penn State has lost two straight games to Big Ten teams due to last second errors, which could potentially have a psychological effect as to how they approach the season moving forward. Nonetheless, they can certainly be thankful that they remain in the top ten in rankings, which can certainly give them reason to persevere and pull out a victory on the road versus the Hoosiers, who have not played very well since starting the season at 3-0.
Against The Spread Selection: Pick: Penn State Nittany Lions -14
My reason for the pick :
Despite the Nittany Lions coming out on the losing end in their last two games, they continue to possess one of the most potent rushing attacks in the nation. McSorley and the passing attack has underwhelmed during their current skid, however, the Hoosiers give up more than 200 yards in their pass defense, yet another benefit for the visitors on Saturday. In all, expect PSU to get back on track with a win versus the struggling Indiana Hoosiers this weekend as they will look to play a much better, all-around game after they were stung by the Buckeyes and Spartans two weeks in a row.
Totals Selection: Pick: Over 61
My reason for the prediction :
I will back the over in this contest as the Nittany Lions will return to form both offensively and defensively. Before the OSU game, the over was the result in four straight game as they were averaging 55 points per outing. Since then, they have regressed in putting up only 21 points per contest. On the other hand, the over has been the play in three of the last four games for the Hoosiers as they are allowing opponents 36 points per game during this time. In all, expect the Nittany Lions to once again, exert their dominance over a team that they have ruled in the past while allowing the total to surpass 61 points for the game in the meantime.
Betting trends for Penn State Nittany Lions:
- Nittany Lions are 0-5-1 ATS in their last 6 games after scoring less than 20 points in their previous game.
- Over is 5-0 in Nittany Lions last 5 road games.
- Over is 4-0 in Nittany Lions last 4 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
Betting trends for Indiana Hoosiers:
- Over is 4-0 in Hoosiers last 4 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
- Hoosiers are 0-7 ATS in their last 7 games following a straight up loss.
- Hoosiers are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games after scoring less than 20 points in their previous game.