Wake Forest Demon Deacons (3-3) vs FSU Seminoles (3-3)Date : 10/20/2018
Time : 3:30 pm EST
Location : Doak Campbell Stadium, Tallahassee, Florida
Pick, Prediction, & Preview:
Wake Forest Demon Deacons vs FSU Seminoles
The Wake Forest Demon Deacons will travel to Doak Campbell Stadium in Tallahassee, Florida, to take on the Florida State Seminoles in week eight ACC action on Saturday at 3:30 pm EST. Both teams are coming off conference losses as the Deacons laid an egg at home versus a motivated Clemson squad as the visitors cruised to a 63-3 win as the Tigers rushed for 471 yards in the game while Wake Forest only mustered 249 total yards for the contest. The Seminoles took one on the chin in losing on the road to the Miami Hurricanes in their last time out by a 28-27 score as they allowed a late N’kosi Perry touchdown pass to Brevin Jordan early in the fourth quarter which turned out to be the game winner. The last time these two teams met was on September 30, 2017 as the Seminoles picked up the 26-19 road win as the spread was a push while the under was the result as it has been in four of the last four meetings overall while being the play in five of the last six meetings at Doak Campbell between these two struggling squads. Also, the home team is 5-2-1 ATS in the last eight meetings, overall.
Wake Forest Demon Deacons's Latest Performance :
Wake Forest really exhibited why they are ranking at or near the bottom on defense versus their last opponent, the Clemson Tigers, as they allowed Travis Etienne (10 rushes, 167 yds, 3 TD’s), Lyn-J Dixon (10 rushes, 163 yds, 2 TD’s), and Adam Choice (10 rushes, 128 yds, TD) to dominate them on the ground as the Tigers averaged 11.8 yards per carry along with a total of 471 yards for the contest. Aside from this, the passing game put up 227 yards as Trevor Lawrence threw for 175 yards along with two TD’s in the win. The passing game was unproductive for Wake Forest as Sam Hartman threw for only 74 yards in the game as the attack averaged 2.7 yards per catch while the rushing game was their saving grace in producing 175 yards with Kendall Hinton having 92 yards on eleven carries in the loss. Wake Forest came into the game averaging well over 30 points per game, surprisingly enough, however, Clemson was well rested and ready to play, and it showed in every facet of the game. Wake has lost three of their last four games as they have allowed 40 points or more in three of these contests. They will look to curb this trend as they take on an FSU team that has struggled on offense in averaging 23 point per game for the year.
FSU Seminoles 's Latest Performance :
Florida State was up by a 27-17 score early in the fourth due to two touchdown passes by Deondre Francois along with a 74-yard punt return from D.J. Matthews; However, the Miami Hurricanes seemed to awake out of their slumber soon after in converting three straight touchdown passes by N’kosi Perry as the Hurricanes sealed the win while halting a two-game winning streak for the Noles in the meantime. François had only 129 yards on the day yet had two huge TD passes along with an interception while the rushing attack for FSU continued to struggle with Cam Akers rushing for 46 yards on 11 carries in the loss. Perry threw four touchdown passes for the game along with 204 yards total as the Hurricanes racked up only 306 yards for the day, however, the Seminoles finished with only 200 yards total. With the loss, FSU moved to 1-3 in the ACC Atlantic just one slot ahead of their next opponent, the Demon Deacons, as they will certainly be looking to get back on the winning track versus a team that is terrible on defense in ranking in the 100’s in every major defensive category.
How Wake Forest Demon Deacons & FSU Seminoles Matchup.
Vegas Odds, Offshore Odds, & Odds ATS:
Wake Forest is 1-5 ATS while the OU is 5-1
FSU is 2-4 ATS while the OU is 4-2
In-Depth Analysis of each team:
As stated, FSU has struggled on offense all year, however, expect for them to come out of their funk against a Wake Forest team that gives up 37 points per game along with a total of 500 yards per outing as well. Of course, the Demon Deacons have shined in the rushing attack in 2018 as they are ranked 20th in the nation, however, the Noles defense allows only 101 yards per game, good for 9th in the country. Nonetheless, if Hartman and the inconsistent passing game can get its act together, they may be able to take advantage of an FSU team that is ranked 111th in pass defense in allowing 271 yards per game.
Against The Spread Selection: Pick: FSU Seminoles -10.5
My reason for the pick :
I would only back the Seminoles in this instance in going against a Wake Forest team that gave up 63 points in their last outing while also allowing close to 40 a game to their opponents for the year. In other words, the Noles will certainly pad their awful offensive stats this week at home while picking up a huge conference win. Besides, this may be the only win that they may get for a couple weeks as they face Clemson at home in week nine while facing the Wolfpack and the Fighting Irish on the road in the coming weeks. In all, look for the home team to cover the spread against a struggling Wake Forest squad that has problems on both sides of the ball.
Totals Selection: Pick: Under 60
My reason for the prediction :
Of course, with the way in which to Demon Deacons have played on defense lately, it would be difficult (or next to impossible) to not take the over in this contest. However, I will go with the impossible as FSU has struggled on offense this year and while I believe that they will indeed cover the 10.5 points as favorites, due to their inconsistencies in running the ball and, at times, protecting Francois, I will back the under in what will be an easy win for the home team, yet, one that will not surpass the 60 point total.
Betting trends for Wake Forest Demon Deacons:
- Over is 6-0 in Demon Deacons last 6 games following a straight up loss.
- Over is 4-0 in Demon Deacons last 4 games after allowing more than 450 total yards in their previous game.
- Over is 6-0 in Demon Deacons last 6 games following an ATS loss.
Betting trends for FSU Seminoles :
- Under is 3-0-1 in Seminoles last 4 games after accumulating less than 170 yards passing in their previous game.
- Seminoles are 1-9-2 ATS in their last 12 conference games.
- Seminoles are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games following an ATS win.