Appalachian State Mountaineers (5-1) vs Georgia Southern Eagles (6-1)Date : 10/25/2018
Time : 7:30 pm EST
Location : Allen E. Paulson Stadium, Statesboro, Georgia
Pick, Prediction, & Preview:
Appalachian State Mountaineers vs Georgia Southern Eagles
In a game that will likely decide the Sun Belt Champions, the Appalachian State Mountaineers will travel to Statesboro, Georgia, to Allen E. Paulson Stadium to face the Georgia Southern Eagles on Thursday night at 7:30 pm EST. The Mountaineers are 3-0 ATS in the last three meetings against the Eagles as they picked up the 27-6 victory on November 9, 2017 as the under was the play as it has been in the last four games amongst these squads. The Eagles are coming off a 48-31 road win over the New Mexico State Aggies last Saturday as their rushing attack was as bruising as ever in racking up 389 yards on the day while holding the Aggies to only 148 yards on the ground. App State was 27-17 home winners versus the Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin Cajuns as they pulled away in the second half with a rushing touchdown by Marcus Williams Jr along with a field goal by Chandler Staton to seal the victory. The favorite is 4-0 ATS in the last four games versus these teams.
Appalachian State Mountaineers's Latest Performance :
Appalachian State has won five straight since losing to the Nittany Lions of Penn State in their first outing of the year by a 45-38 score. They have been on a tear since as they have outscored their opponents by a margin of 231-49. In all, the Mountaineers will be looking to unseat the top team within the Sun Belt in the Eagles on Saturday while also looking to neutralize a powerful rushing attack that has ran roughshod over opponents in 2018. Appalanchian State ran wild on the Ragin Cajuns in their last outing for 266 yards led by Darrynton Evans who had 183 yards on 26 rushes along with a TD in the victory while Zack Thomas threw for only 106 yards yet had a touchdown and an interception in the contest. App State’s rush defense allowed 140 yards for the game while its pass defense gave up seven yards per catch to Louisiana Lafayette. Nonetheless, they will certainly have their work cut out for them in attempting to stop a rushing attack that is predicated on controlling the trenches consistently for four quarters.
Georgia Southern Eagles's Latest Performance :
The Eagles and their punishing rushing attack ran all over the Aggies in their last outing as Logan Wright paced the running corps with 136 yards total along with two scores while Wesley Kennedy III also rushed for two scores while ending with 97 yards in the victory. And while New Mexico State nearly outgained the Eagles in total yards, they were done in by three turnovers for the game while simply not being able to contain the rushing attack for Georgia Southern which held the ball for almost 35 minutes in the game. It will be interesting to see how their 5th ranked rushing attack responds to the Mountaineers rush defense that is allowing only 112 yards per game. Also, App State has allowed less than ten points per game during their last five games.
How Appalachian State Mountaineers & Georgia Southern Eagles Matchup.
Vegas Odds, Offshore Odds, & Odds ATS:
Appalachian State is 5-1 ATS while the OU is 4-2
Georgia Southern is 6-1 ATS while the OU is 2-5
In-Depth Analysis of each team:
As stated, this game will certainly be an interesting one in that you have two teams that are the cream of their division while also vying for the top spot within the Sun Belt. Both teams have played well both on the road and at home this year, however, the Mountaineers had success versus the Eagles last year that saw the under cash in due to their effectiveness in calming the run just long enough to where they could pick up the victory. Of course, they will have to do this yet again in Statesboro, where it could get much more difficult in a place to where the Eagles are undefeated on the year.
Against The Spread Selection: Pick: Georgia Southern +9.5
My reason for the pick :
I will back the home team in this contest simple because they will attempt control time of possession in which to limit scoring opportunities for a Mountaineer team that has been just as dominant on the offensive end. And while both teams will put some points on the board due to there overall effectiveness in running the football, I see the Eagles having an edge in this area. With that being the case, 9.5 points are certainly a lot of points for a Georgia Southern team as underdogs that are, in addition, in front of their home crowd while also being undefeated in Statesboro this year.
Totals Selection: Pick: Under
My reason for the prediction :
Like last year’s matchup amongst these squads, I see the under as being the play in this contest as well with both defenses understanding the gravity and importance of this matchup as they will certainly ensure that the game does not get out of hand as both offenses can definitely be dangerous. In all, look for each team to battle back and forth for control of the line of scrimmage throughout this intriguing matchup. In other words, both will look to get their running games started early and often as this will certainly eat tons of clock, thus causing the under to be the strong play in the end.
Betting trends for Appalachian State Mountaineers:
- Mountaineers are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 road games.
- Mountaineers are 6-0 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
- Mountaineers are 9-1 ATS in their last 10 games overall.
Betting trends for Georgia Southern Eagles:
- Eagles are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 home games.
- Eagles are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games on grass.
- Eagles are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 Thursday games.