Toledo Rockets (3-4) vs Western Michigan Broncos (6-2)Date : 10/25/2018
Time : 7:00 pm EST
Location : Waldo Stadium in Kalamazoo, Michigan
Pick, Prediction, & Preview:
Toledo Rockets vs Western Michigan Broncos
The Toledo Rockets will travel to Waldo Stadium in Kalamazoo, Michigan, on Thursday night for a MAC showdown versus the Broncos of Western Michigan at 7 pm EST. The last time these two teams met was on November 24, 2017 as the Rockets picked up the 37-10 win while also covering the spread, yet Western Michigan has dominated ATS in their three prior games versus Toledo, overall. The Broncos are coming off a 35-10 road win over the Central Michigan Chippewas last Saturday as they shut out the home team early to go up 28-0 at the half while cruising to victory. The Rockets suffered a 31-17 home loss to the Buffalo Bulls in week eight as they were shut out in the second half while the Bulls dropped 24 points during this time to take control of the game and get the win. The home team is 4-1 ATS in the last five meetings amongst these teams while the underdog is 9-3 ATS in the last 12 games, overall.
Toledo Rockets's Latest Performance :
The Rockets of Toledo went of 17-7 at the conclusion of the first half of their last matchup versus Buffalo yet disappeared on both sides of the ball in the second half as they were blanked by a Bulls defense that allowed them only 295 yards on the day as their rushing attack put up 158 yards for a 5.4 yards per carry average led by Bryant Koback having 81 yards and a score. The passing game was led by Eli Peters who threw for 128 yards and a score in addition to an interception while Deontae Johnson led the receiving corps with 97 yards on two catches along with a TD catch. Toledo turned the ball over four times while only converting one of 12 third downs for the game. Despite their dismal offensive performance, they are ranked 17th in the country in averaging 39 points per game for the year.
Western Michigan Broncos's Latest Performance :
The Broncos picked up an easy victory over the Chippewas on last Saturday as they put up 305 rushing yards for the game behind LeVante Bellamy who had 145 yards on 19 carries along with a TD. The passing game took a back seat to the rushing attack as Jon Wassink had only 51 yards on the day yet scored three rushing touchdowns in the victory. The defense recorded three turnovers in the contest while giving up 147 yards to the offense for Central Michigan for a 3.3 yards per carry average. After being winners of six straight games, Western Michigan looks to continue its success against a Toledo squad that has lost both its road games in 2018 by only an average of twelve points.
How Toledo Rockets & Western Michigan Broncos Matchup.
Vegas Odds, Offshore Odds, & Odds ATS:
Toledo is 2-5 ATS while the OU is 5-2
Western Michigan is 3-5 ATS while the OU is 3-5
In-Depth Analysis of each team:
After starting the season 0-2, the Broncos have been flying high in winning their last six games by an average of a tad under 40 points per game while its defense has allowed only 19 points per contest during this time. Toledo, on the other hand, has a potentially dangerous offense, however, has only averaged 21 points per game during their two-game skid. Nonetheless, they have lost their only two road games on the year by 24 points combined with their last road defeat being at the hands of Eastern Michigan by a 28-26 score.
Against The Spread Selection: Pick: Western Michigan Broncos -3.5
My reason for the pick :
I will ride with the Broncos in this matchup as, aside from their loss to Syracuse to begin the 2018 campaign, have really played particularly at home ever since in averaging 47 points per game in Kalamazoo while allowing their opponents just a 12 points average. Toledo continues to be up and down on the offensive and defensive end and will likely struggle in this matchup as well. In fact, the Rockets are 0-3 ATS versus MAC opponents this year while allowing 31 points in all. Look for the Broncos to shine once again in picking up their seventh straight win in this MAC contest on Thursday.
Totals Selection: Pick: Over
My reason for the prediction :
The over will indeed be the strong play in this matchup as the Broncos are clicking on all cylinders on offense while the Rockets are continuing to give up points like candy on the defensive end. Again, the Rockets have a potentially dangerous offense and I am sure that they will put some points on the board during this contest. However, the Broncos will run the score up early and often thus handing the Rockets their third straight loss when all is said and done.
Betting trends for Toledo Rockets:
- Rockets are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games overall.
- Rockets are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 conference games.
- Rockets are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games after allowing more than 280 yards passing in their previous game.
Betting trends for Western Michigan Broncos:
- Broncos are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 Thursday games.
- Broncos are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games after accumulating less than 170 yards passing in their previous game.
- Over is 8-1 in Broncos last 9 games following a straight up win of more than 20 points.