Army Black Knights (5-2) vs Eastern Michigan Eagles (4-4)Date : 10/27/2018
Time : 12:00 pm EST
Location : Rynearson Stadium, Ypsilanti, Michigan
Pick, Prediction, & Preview:
Army Black Knights vs Eastern Michigan Eagles
The Army Black Knights will travel to Rynearson Stadium in Ypsilanti, Michigan, to battle the Eastern Michigan Eagles on Saturday afternoon at 12 pm EST. The Black Knights are coming off a slim 31-30 home win versus the Miami Red Hawks as they would need a defensive stand to end the game to win their third straight outing. The Eastern Michigan Eagles won their second straight as they beat the Ball State Cardinals on the road by a 42-20 score as they jumped out to a 21-6 lead at the half en route to the victory. The last time these teams met was on October 14, 2017 as the Black Knights picked up the 28-27 home win while the Eagles covered as 4.5-point underdogs. The over has been the play in the last five meetings amongst these two teams, overall.
Army Black Knights's Latest Performance :
The Army Black Knights needed all four quarters to come up with a win over the Miami RedHawks last Saturday as QB Cam Thomas (26 rushes, 137 yards, TD) along with Darnell Woolfork (22 rushes, 96 yards, 2 TD’s) paced the rushing attack that racked up 347 yards for a 4.7 yards per carry average. Their defense, however, allowed four TD’s by Gus Ragland as he went 30 of 53 for 329 yards in the game, yet only allowed them to convert five of 18 third down conversions while the Red Hawks held the ball for a tad more than 23 minutes for the contest. Army came into the game ranked 79th in its pass defense in allowing 229 yards per game and were horrible in this outing as well; Nonetheless, they have won three straight games to where they are 2-1 ATS during this time. Furthermore, Army has scored 30 or more points during their winning streak while allowing its opponents an average of 15 points per game.
Eastern Michigan Eagles's Latest Performance :
Eastern Michigan has won two straight MAC conference games yet continue to reside in the 4th place slot within the West division. During those two wins, they are averaging 31 points per game while their defense has allowed 23 points per outing. In addition to this, the Eagles have covered the spread in three of their last four contests while the under has been the result in three of the last four as well. Nonetheless, the over was the play in their last outing as they picked up the 42-20 road win over the Ball State Cardinals as their offense cranked up early with two rushing touchdowns along with a pass TD from Tyler Wiegers to put them up 21-6 at the half. The second half was more of the same as Wiegers threw for two more touchdown passes as the offense racked up 420 total yards for the game as the passing attack accounted for 257 of those. The rushing attack averaged 3.3 yards per carry for 163 yards for the day with Shaq Vann having 63 yards along with a touchdown in the game. Line Latu led the receiving corps with 86 yards on three catches and a TD as the attack averaged 9.2 yards per catch. The defense allowed only 157 passing yards while collecting two turnovers in the contest, yet, gave up 227 yards on the ground as their 112th rush defense was manhandled at the point of attack once again. They may struggle yet again with the Black Knights having the 2nd ranked rushing attack in the nation in averaging 318 yards per game.
How Army Black Knights & Eastern Michigan Eagles Matchup.
Vegas Odds, Offshore Odds, & Odds ATS:
Army is 4-2-1 ATS while the OU is 4-3
Eastern Michigan is 6-2 ATS while the OU is 3-5
In-Depth Analysis of each team:
Army has played great lately as their rushing attack has certainly turned things up a notch as the team has won three straight while the defense has been just as effective in stifling opponents within the trenches. The have, however, gotten stung in the pass secondary which may not bode well as they battle eastern Michigan and their 38th ranked passing attack that averages 258 yards per outing. Look for Wiegers to look for Latu along with Blake Banham to keep the defense for the Black Knights on its heels; However, Army will provide the Eagles with a huge does of their triple option attack throughout this matchup.
Against The Spread Selection: Pick: Army Black Knights +1.5
My reason for the pick :
I will back the Black Knights in this contest as they have the more dominant rushing attack that seems to be more punishing with each week that passes. Also, the Eagles run defense is horrible which means that Army could very well eat a bunch of clock as they convert third down conversions due to their ability to run the ball effectively. And while the Eagles will put up a fight at home, look for Army to get their fourth straight win in this contest as they will dominate in the trenches once again en route to a huge victory as they are 2-1 in their last three road outings.
Totals Selection: Pick: Over 48.5
My reason for the prediction :
The Eagles offense had struggled prior to their last outing with Ball State as they did not crack the 30-point mark in five straight games where the under was the play in four of those five contests. However, their breakout game versus the Cardinals will indeed provide a spark for them in this matchup as their passing game will take advantage of an Army pass defense being ripe for the pickings. Army, on the other hand, will run roughshod over the 112th ranked rush defense for the Eagles as the over will certainly be the strong play as both teams will have numerous opportunities to put points on the board throughout.
Betting trends for Army Black Knights:
- Over is 5-0 in Black Knights last 5 games in October.
- Black Knights are 3-0-1 ATS in their last 4 games after allowing more than 280 yards passing in their previous game.
- Black Knights are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following an ATS loss.
Betting trends for Eastern Michigan Eagles:
- Eagles are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games in October.
- Over is 5-0 in Eagles last 5 vs. INDEP.
- Eagles are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 games following a straight up win of more than 20 points.