Boise State Broncos (5-2) vs Air Force Falcons (3-4)Date : 10/27/2018
Time : 7:00 pm EST
Location : Falcons Field, Colorado Springs, Colorado,
Pick, Prediction, & Preview:
Boise State Broncos vs Air Force Falcons
The Boise State Broncos will travel to Falcons Field in Colorado Springs, Colorado, for a Mountain West battle with the Air Force Falcons on Saturday at 7 pm EST. Air force has dominated this series in the past as they are 5-1 ATS in the last six meetings, altogether, while the underdog is 5-1 ATS in the last six games amongst these squads. The Falcons are coming off a 41-35 road win over the reeling UNLV Running Rebels as QB Isiah Sanders spearheaded the offensive attack with 217 yards and a passing touchdown along with 173 rushing yards with three rushing scores in the win. The Broncos blew out the Colorado State Rams at home by a 56-28 score as Brett Rypien threw for 308 yards total with four touchdown passes as Boise State cruised to victory. The last time these two teams met was on November 17, 2017 as the Broncos picked up the 44-19 road win as they covered as they also covered as 17.5 road favorites.
Boise State Broncos's Latest Performance :
Boise State has won three of their last four games along with two straight as they pounced on an inconsistent Rams team in their last outing as they jumped on them early and often in the first half as they were up 35-7 at the half while cruising to victory in the second. Rypien threw four TD’s in the win while AJ Richardson had six receptions and 137 yards along with two touchdowns catches to lead the corps. The rushing attack had 150 yards with Alexander Mattison having 85 yards along with a score in the win. Their defense would, however, allow 238 yard and two touchdown passes to KJ Carta Samuels for Colorado State while Izzy Matthews had 109 yards rushing along with a TD. Nonetheless, the Broncos continue to rank 39th in points allowed with 22 point per game for the year while, aside from rushing yards per game, the Broncos are ranked in the top 20 in total yards per game on offense, passing yards, along with total points.
Air Force Falcons's Latest Performance :
Air Force, after going 1-3 to begin the season, has since won two of their last three games while going 2-1 ATS during this time. They are also 2-1 at home this year as their offense averaged 29 points while the defense has allowed only 17.5 points at Falcons Field. The Falcons were in an offensive shootout in their last matchup versus the Aztecs as they were spearheaded by Sanders with three touchdowns along with 183 yards on the day along with Sanders throwing for 217 yards along with a TD in the win. Also, Ronald Cleveland led the receiving corps for the Falcons with 100 yards receiving and a touchdown. They are now ranked fourth in the Mountain West and will now face a Boise State team that is 3-1 on the road this year while its offense averages 35 points. The defense is allowing 23 points on the year.
How Boise State Broncos & Air Force Falcons Matchup.
Vegas Odds, Offshore Odds, & Odds ATS:
Boise State is 4-3 ATS while the OU is 4-3
Air Force is 4-3 ATS while the OU is 2-5
In-Depth Analysis of each team:
This will certainly be a high scoring matchup amongst these Mountain West teams as Air Force and its dominant rushing attack will face of versus Boise State and its high-flying passing game with Rypien and company. Air force is averaging 30 points per game with their rushing attack ranking 8th in the nation while the passing game for the Broncos are ranked 10th with 321 yards per game. And while the rush defense for the Broncos are allowing 122 yards per game, the pass defense for the Falcons are giving up 236 yards per outing. These with be an interesting matchup of two teams with very contrasting offensive styles.
Against The Spread Selection: Pick: Air Force Falcons +9.5
My reason for the pick :
I like the Falcons in this game as they are known to battle in the trenches in which to maintain their edge in the rushing game, as opposed to the Broncos who utilize their speed to get past defenses within their top notch passing attack. Again, I am very much in favor of a reliable rushing attack as opposed to passing game. And even though the Falcons are ranked 83rd in the pass defense, they have played very well at home this season and I expect these trends to continue in this contest on Saturday.
Totals Selection: Pick: Under 58
My reason for the prediction :
The under has been the play in three of the last five games for the Broncos while being the result in three of the last four games for the Falcons. I expect these trends to continue in Colorado Springs on Saturday as the Falcons will slow this game down enough to allow the under to be the strong play. Again, Air force knows how potentially dangerous Rypien and this offense can be. With that being said, look for them to focus even more on ball control in which to keep them off the field and utilize more of their running game.
Betting trends for Boise State Broncos:
- Broncos are 5-0 ATS vs. a team with a losing record.
- Broncos are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.
- Under is 4-0 in Broncos last 4 games on grass.
Betting trends for Air Force Falcons:
- Under is 5-0 in Falcons last 5 games on grass.
- Falcons are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
- Under is 6-1 in Falcons last 7 home games.