Duke Blue Devils (5-2) vs Pittsburgh Panthers (3-4)Date : 10/27/2018
Time : 3:30 pm EST
Location : Heinz Field, Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania
Pick, Prediction, & Preview:
Duke Blue Devils vs Pittsburgh Panthers
The Duke Blue Devils will travel to Heinz Field in Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania, for an ACC showdown with the Pittsburgh Panthers on Saturday afternoon at 3:30 pm EST. The Blue Devils are coming off a 28-14 home loss to the Virginia Cavaliers as they were shut out in the first half while only possessing the ball for 23 minutes in the matchup as they are losers of two of their last three outings. The Panthers suffered the 19-14 road loss to the Fighting Irish of Notre Dame last Saturday as they actually possessed a lead for much of the game, however, an Ian Book touchdown pass late in the fourth sealed the victory for the home team as the Panthers have lost three of their last four games, overall. The last time these teams met was on October 21, 2017 as the Panthers picked up a 24-17 road win while covering as 9.5-point underdogs. Pitt has also dominated this series ATS as they are 3-0 in the last three meetings. In their last outing at Heinz Field, the Panthers came away with the 56-14 win while also covering as 9.5 points home favorites.
Duke Blue Devils's Latest Performance :
Pitt lost their third game in four outings as they suffered the 19-14 road loss to Notre Dame as they capitalized on two turnovers for the Irish by going up 14-6 early in the third quarter on a 99-yard kickoff return by Maurice Ffrench. Nonetheless, due to two Ian Book touchdown passes, the Fighting Irish was able to pick up the victory while the Panthers suffered their second straight loss and fourth in five games. Kenny Pickett threw for only 126 yards passing while the rushing attack, which finished with 116 yards total, was led by Quadree Ollison with 50 yards on 16 carries while Darrin Hall had 62 yards for the game on nine carries. And while the Pitt offense continues to be up and down on the season, their defense has continued to allow their opponents to score as they have given up at least 38 points in three of their last four game as they were 1-3 during this time.
Pittsburgh Panthers's Latest Performance :
The Cavaliers shutout the Blue Devils in the first half and despite allowing 14 points in the second half were able to pick up a conference win last Saturday. Bryce Perkins threw for 189 yards total with a touchdown pass while also leading the team in rushing with 61 yards along with two rushing touchdowns for the game. The defense for Virginia recorded two turnovers on the day while allowing the Blue Devils a 2.1 yards per carry average on the ground as the home team held the ball for only 23 minutes in the loss. Daniel Jones threw for 240 yards, a TD, along with two interceptions in the loss as the passing game averaged 6,2 yards per catch. The loss was the second in three games for the Blue Devils, overall.
How Duke Blue Devils & Pittsburgh Panthers Matchup.
Vegas Odds, Offshore Odds, & Odds ATS:
Duke is 4-3 ATS while the OU is 3-4
Pittsburgh is 3-4 ATS while the OU is 3-4
In-Depth Analysis of each team:
With the Panthers struggling on offense, they will look to right the ship versus an equally reeling team in the Blue Devils on Saturday afternoon. Expect both teams to put some points on the scoreboard in this matchup, however, Duke may have an edge in that the Panthers are allowing 411 yards per game to their opponents this year. The Panthers are dismal on the offensive side; however, their rushing attack is ranked 48th in the country in putting up 191 yards per game and will certainly challenge Duke shaky defensive unit that has been equally as inconsistent group this season.
Against The Spread Selection: Pick: Duke Blue Devils -2.5
My reason for the pick :
Despite the Blue Devils going through a rough patch lately by losing two of their last three games, I continue to believe that they are indeed the better team at this point in the season and will prove this on the road against an inconsistent Panthers squad. Keep in mind that Duke is undefeated on the road this year while Pitt has been much more effective at home than they are on the road. However, Duke will be looking to increase its positioning in the coastal division in this matchup over a reeling Pitt team that, like them, cannot seem to put points on the board. In all, expect the Blue Devils to make a bit more plays than the home team in this matchup while covering the small spread on the road.
Totals Selection: Pick: Under 47
My reason for the prediction :
I will back the under in this contest as you will pit together two struggling offenses versus two inconsistent defenses. And with Duke only averaging around 18 points per game along with the Panthers putting up 23 points in their last three outings, I can certainly envision the under as being the play at the game’s conclusion. The under has been the case in three of the last five games for the Panthers while being the result in the last three games for Duke.
Betting trends for Duke Blue Devils:
- Blue Devils are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 road games.
- Under is 5-0 in Blue Devils last 5 vs. a team with a losing record.
- Blue Devils are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.
Betting trends for Pittsburgh Panthers:
- Panthers are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games in October.
- Over is 3-0-1 in Panthers last 4 games after accumulating less than 275 total yards in their previous game.
- Panthers are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games after allowing less than 20 points in their previous game.