Kansas State Wildcats (3-4) vs Oklahoma Sooners (6-1)Date : 10/27/2018
Time : 3:30 pm EST
Location : Gaylord Family Oklahoma Memorial Stadium, Norman, Oklahoma
Pick, Prediction, & Preview:
Kansas State Wildcats vs Oklahoma Sooners
The Kansas State Wildcats will travel to Gaylord Family Oklahoma Memorial Stadium in Norman, Oklahoma, for a Big 12 battle versus the surging Oklahoma Sooners on Saturday afternoon at 3:30 pm EST. The last time these teams met, the Wildcats covered the spread as 14.5-point home underdogs as the Sooners picked up the 42-35 win. Overall, the Wildcats are 5-2-1 ATS in their last eight meetings in Norman while the road team is 7-2 ATS in the last nine games. The Sooners are coming off a 52-27 shellacking of TCU on the road as they outscored the home team 24-3 in the second half to cruise to victory, atoning for their three-point loss to the Longhorns in the Red River Rivalry two weeks earlier. The Wildcats were able to destroy the Oklahoma State Cowboys last Saturday by a 31-12 score as they outscored the Cowboys 28-6 in the second half after a 6-3 Oklahoma State lead at the half to get the victory. The over is 8-2 in the last ten meetings between these two teams.
Kansas State Wildcats's Latest Performance :
Kansas State picked up a huge win over the Cowboys last weekend as they limited their high-powered offense to only two field goals along with a Taylor Cornelius one-yard touchdown run for the day. The Wildcats turned it up in the second half as Alex Barnes had four rushing touchdowns to seal the victory for a Kansas state team that had been up and down all year yet had won their last three games prior to their matchup with Oklahoma State. Nonetheless, the 45th ranked rushing attack for Kansas State will certainly test the resolve of a sometimes-shaky rush defense for Oklahoma that allows 150 yards per game. With running back Trey Sermon being questionable for the Sooners this weekend with a leg injury, expect K-State to pin their ears back to stuff the rushing attack and get to Murray early and offense.
Oklahoma Sooners's Latest Performance :
Oklahoma may have lost to Texas on October 6th, however after a week off, they came out on a winning note as they whipped up on the TCU Horned Frogs as they racked up over 500 yards for the game with Kyler Murray taking center stage throwing for four touchdown passes with CeeDee Lamb leading the receiving corps with 91 yards and a score. Kennedy Brooks led the rushing attack for the Sooners, which averaged 6.9 yards per rush for the game, with 168 yards and a score. The defense held the Horned Frogs to well under 300 yards total for the game while limiting them to only four for 14 third down conversions. The Sooners and the second place Mountaineers are both 3-1 in the Big 12 with the top seeded Longhorns remaining undefeated in the conference at 4-0. With a showdown with West Virginia in the final week of the season, expect for them to continue winning while also having a great performance on the road versus the Mountaineers to end the season and possibly regaining the top spot at the end of the season.
How Kansas State Wildcats & Oklahoma Sooners Matchup.
Vegas Odds, Offshore Odds, & Odds ATS:
Kansas State is 4-3 ATS while the OU is 3-5
Oklahoma is 3-4 ATS while the OU is 6-1
In-Depth Analysis of each team:
The Wildcats lost by seven to the Sooners last year but enters this matchup with much confidence after beating up on a Cowboys team that was considered as an offensive juggernaut on the level of the Sooners. As stated, the K-State rushing game is the tip of the spread for their success, so, expect them to go at the Sooners in this matchup for control of the trenches. Oklahoma will have Murray manning the offense as he will certainly use his arms and legs to ensure that the Sooners remain in the game despite what the game plan may be for the Wildcats.
Against The Spread Selection: Pick: Kansas State Wildcats +24.5
My reason for the pick :
I will back the road team in this matchup as the Wildcats will look to perform in much the same way they did last week versus a Cowboys squad that resembles the Sooners in many ways. Besides, 24.5 points is a bit too much for the Sooners, in my opinion, when one considers how dominant Kansas State was in their last matchup. I feel as though the sportsbooks were simply too enamored with the offensive display that the Sooners put forth versus what was thought of as being a dominant TCU defense.
Totals Selection: Pick: Over 64
My reason for the prediction :
The Wildcats will put some points on the board in this matchup as Oklahoma can certainly be taken advantage of within both their passing and rushing defense. With that being the case, expect them to keep this game close by their ability to answer the offensive barrage they will face versus Murray and the Sooner offense. Also, keep in mind that the Wildcats held the high scoring offense of West Virginia to only 35 points as they lost 35-6 in Morgantown on September 22nd.
Betting trends for Kansas State Wildcats:
- Under is 5-0 in Wildcats last 5 games following a straight up win.
- Under is 4-0 in Wildcats last 4 games after accumulating more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.
- Wildcats are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games on grass.
Betting trends for Oklahoma Sooners:
- Sooners are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games after allowing less than 170 yards passing in their previous game.
- Over is 6-0 in Sooners last 6 games after scoring more than 40 points in their previous game.
- Sooners are 0-5 ATS vs. a team with a losing record.