Vanderbilt Commodores (3-5) vs Arkansas Razorbacks (2-6)Date : 10/27/2018
Time : 12:00 pm EST
Location : Donald W. Reynolds Razorback Stadium, Fayetteville, Arkansas
Pick, Prediction, & Preview:
Vanderbilt Commodores vs Arkansas Razorbacks
The Vanderbilt Commodores will travel to Donald W Reynolds Razorback Stadium in Fayetteville, Arkansas, to face the Arkansas Razorbacks on Saturday afternoon at 12 pm EST. The Razorbacks picked up their first win in six outings by beating up on the Tulsa Golden Hurricane by a 23-0 score as they pounded Tulsa on the ground by picking up 196 total yards on the ground in the win. The Vanderbilt Commodores were edged at home by the Kentucky Wildcats by a 14-7 score last Saturday as Benny Snell Jr scored the winning touchdown for Kentucky to break a 7-7 tie while sending the Commodores to their third straight loss and fifth in six outings, overall. These teams met last on October 29, 2011 as the Vandy suffered the 31-28 home loss to the Razorbacks yet covered as eight-point home underdogs.
Vanderbilt Commodores 's Latest Performance :
Vanderbilt has lost its last three games while going 1-3 in their last four outings, altogether. They would cover in their last matchup versus the Kentucky Wildcats at home as they suffered the seven-point loss. Vandy actually scored first in this game with a Kyle Shurmur touchdown pass in the first quarter to CJ Bolar; however, Terry Wilson and Benny Snell Jr would seal the victory for the home team while their defense held the Commodores to 2.2 yards rushing. Shurmur finished with 216 yards and a TD in the loss. In Vandy’s three road games this year, they are 1-2 ATS while being 0-3 SU as they have lost each game by an average of 13 points. It will also be fair to point out that aside from their 41-13 road loss to Georgia on October 6th, their remaining three games only saw them lose by a combined 12 points. Vanderbilt will run into issues containing a physical rushing attack for Arkansas as they are ranked 102nd in defending the run.
Arkansas Razorbacks 's Latest Performance :
Arkansas finally got a win in their matchup last weekend as they whipped up on the Tulsa Golden Hurricane with Razorbacks only racking up 329 yards for the day while QB Connor Noland throwing for only 124 yards, a TD, along with a pick. However, the rushing game was the catalyst for the win as the Razorbacks racked up 196 yards on the ground with Rakeem Boyd going for 99 yards on 22 rushes. Nonetheless, Arkansas continues to rank 68th in the country in averaging 172 rushing yards per game while its passing attack averages 197 yards per outing, good for only 102nd . The fact is that the Razorbacks have only averaged 22 points per game versus SEC teams this year while giving up 40 points during those contests.
How Vanderbilt Commodores & Arkansas Razorbacks Matchup.
Vegas Odds, Offshore Odds, & Odds ATS:
Vanderbilt is 4-4 ATS while the OU is 2-6
Arkansas is 4-3-1 ATS while the OU is 3-5
In-Depth Analysis of each team:
A matchup between the cellar dwellers within the SEC will take place amongst Vandy and Arkansas on Saturday with both teams looking to win their first SEC game of the year. Arkansas has gained a bit of swag in winning their first game in six outings while Vandy continues to endure deflating losses to where they certainly had their opportunities to win; However, offensive inconsistency has prevented them from being a force within the division in 2018. In all, this will be a game to where the home team will attempt to get their running game going versus a terrible rush defense for Vandy. On the other hand, the road team will unleash Shurmur and the passing attack on the Razorbacks as they allow 268 yards passing per game, good for 111th.
Against The Spread Selection: Pick: Arkansas Razorbacks +1.5
My reason for the pick :
As I stated many times before, I respect a solid rushing attack more than anything. And with these two struggling teams getting together, Arkansas not only has the home field advantage, but are also the better, more efficient rushing squad as well. Besides, Shurmur and Vandy’s passing attack has been hit or miss this year which means that can be very unreliable. It is for this reason that I will take the Razorbacks at home with the plus points to cover while also having the chance to win outright in the end.
Totals Selection: Pick: Under 52.5
My reason for the prediction :
The under has been the play in all four road games for Vandy this year while also being the result in four of the last six games, overall, for the Razorbacks. Combine this with the fact that both teams are averaging in the mid to low 20’s in points per game, I will look for this to be a low scoring matchup amongst two teams that continue to look for their identity in a tough conference. Besides, they are continuing to develop their talent so expect both offenses to continue to struggle.
Betting trends for Vanderbilt Commodores :
- Under is 5-0 in Commodores last 5 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.
- Commodores are 1-9 ATS in their last 10 games after accumulating less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.
- Over is 6-1 in Commodores last 7 games after scoring less than 20 points in their previous game.
Betting trends for Arkansas Razorbacks :
- Razorbacks are 0-11 ATS in their last 11 games following a straight up win.
- Razorbacks are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games following an ATS win.
- Razorbacks are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 games following a straight up win of more than 20 points