Wake Forest Demon Deacons (3-4) vs Louisville Cardinals (2-5)Date : 10/27/2018
Time : 12:00 pm EST
Location : Cardinal Stadium, Louisville, Kentucky
Pick, Prediction, & Preview:
Wake Forest Demon Deacons vs Louisville Cardinals
Two cellar teams within the Atlantic division of the ACC will meet up on Saturday afternoon as the Wake Forest Demon Deacons will travel to Cardinal Stadium in Louisville, Kentucky, to battle the Louisville Cardinals for a noon start time. The last time these teams met, the Demon deacons picked up the 42-32 home win as they covered as 2.5 points underdogs. In fact, the underdogs are 4-0 ATS in the last four meetings amongst these two squads while the under has been the play in four of the last five games, overall. The Demon Deacons are coming off a 38-17 road setback versus the Florida State Seminoles as they began the game on an outstanding note in going up 10-7 after the first period; However, their offense went cold after that as they ended up dropping their second straight contest and fourth in five games. The Cardinals also dropped a road contest to the Boston College Eagles by a 38-20 score as their offense was shut out in the second half after going in at the half only down by four points en route to their fourth straight loss.
Wake Forest Demon Deacons's Latest Performance :
Wake Forest also continues to endure a rough season as they suffered a 38-17 road defeat to the Florida State Seminoles in their last outing as Sam Hartman began the game throwing a nine yard pass to Jack Fruedenthal to make the score 10-0 early on, however, the passing game ended with only 227 yards, two touchdowns, along with an interception in the game while the rushing game averaged only 2,1 yards on the ground. In other words, the Deacons were simply not able to get much going in this contest as they are now averaging ten points per game in their last two outings. They may, however find some success versus a Louisville team that has struggled on the defensive end in giving up 33 points per game this season while allowing over 400 yards of total offense to their opponent per outing.
Louisville Cardinals's Latest Performance :
Louisville continued their disastrous season versus the Boston College Eagles as they picked up their fourth straight loss in a 38-20 defeat on the road last Saturday as they were blanked in the second half by a BC defense that allowed them only 217 yards for the game. The passing attack for the Cardinals ended with 170 yards as Jawon Pass threw for 170 yards and an interception while Dez Fitzpatrick led the receiving corps with 50 yards on four catches in the defeat. Their rush defense let them down once again as they allowed 251 yards total to the Eagles while also allowing 8.1 yards per catch. Louisville has not won an ACC contest this year as they have been outscored by a 159-78 margin.
How Wake Forest Demon Deacons & Louisville Cardinals Matchup.
Vegas Odds, Offshore Odds, & Odds ATS:
Wake Forest is 1-6 ATS while the OU is 5-2
Louisville is 1-6 ATS while the OU is 4-3
In-Depth Analysis of each team:
Both these teams are awful on defense in allowing well over thirty points per game. On the other hand, their offenses have been dismal in putting up only 20 points per game for the Cardinals while the Deacons, which possess a 30-point average for the year, has put up only 20 points in their last two matchups. Nonetheless, there may indeed be some points scored in this matchup due to the Deacons having a corps of talented playmakers around Hartman that can certainly make the difference.
Against The Spread Selection: Pick: Wake Forest Demon Deacons -2.5
My reason for the pick :
Louisville have lost their last two games at home by a 94-55-point margin and I expect these trends to remain the same in this matchup as the Deacons will cover with the plus points over a Louisville team that continues to struggle on both sides of the ball this year. Of course, Wake Forest has not had much consistency in each of these areas as well, however, I trust them much more to get the job done on the road in taking advantage of a Cardinals teams that lacks the experienced and physicality to win on a weekly basis. In all, this game will be a battle within the trenches that the road team will indeed win consistently.
Totals Selection: Pick: Under 64
My reason for the prediction :
This total, despite their horrible defenses, is simply too much to ask for two offenses that continue to struggle due to inconsistency up front along with a shaky, inexperienced group for Louisville that stinks it up on a weekly basis. Wake Forest, as stated, has a decent corps of receivers that they can rely on in which to keep the chains moving, however, I will certainly back the under in this contest as the defenses, as atrocious as they may be, will play much better versus below average offenses this weekend.
Betting trends for Wake Forest Demon Deacons:
- Over is 4-0 in Demon Deacons last 4 games after allowing more than 280 yards passing in their previous game.
- Over is 5-0 in Demon Deacons last 5 games on fieldturf.
- Demon Deacons are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 conference games.
Betting trends for Louisville Cardinals:
- Over is 5-0 in Cardinals last 5 games in October.
- Cardinals are 14-3 ATS in their last 17 games after accumulating less than 275 total yards in their previous game.
- Cardinals are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following an ATS loss.