Michigan State Spartans (5-3) vs Maryland Terrapins (5-3)Date : 11/03/2018
Time : 7:00 pm EST
Location : Maryland Stadium, College Park, Maryland
Pick, Prediction, & Preview:
Michigan State Spartans vs Maryland Terrapins
The Michigan State Spartans will travel to Maryland Stadium in College Park, Maryland, to battle the Terrapins on Saturday afternoon at 12:00 pm EST. The Spartans are coming off a huge 23-13 home win over a confident Purdue Boilermaker team in their last outing as their defense was the tip of the spear in limiting the high-scoring Purdue offense to only 339 yards total for the game with David Blough throwing three huge picks in the meantime. The Terrapins won their second contest in three games as they picked up a 63-33 home win versus a struggling Illinois Fighting Illini team. The Terrapins racked up over 700 yards total while the Maryland offense had 431 rush yards for the contest. The Spartans won the last matchup amongst these teams at home by a 17-7 score, yet Maryland covered as 14 points underdogs. The under is 4-0 in the last four meetings.
Michigan State Spartans's Latest Performance :
Michigan State came into their matchup with Purdue losers of two of their last three games while gong 1-3 ATS in their last four games, overall. Also, during this stretch, they were allowing 22 points per game while the offense put up only 15 points as the Spartans were slight underdogs at home versus the Boilermakers. Nonetheless, their defense was the catalyst for the win last Saturday as David Blough, which came into the game throwing 13 TD;s compared to only two interceptions, threw three picks and no touchdowns in the matchup. Aside from this, the Spartan defense, ranked 1st in rush yard allowed per game, only gave up 62 yards on the ground to Purdue while limiting its dangerous passing game to only 5.7 yards per catch. Rocky Lombardi threw for 318 yards along with two touchdowns for the Spartans with Jalen Nailor led the receiving corps with 70 yards and a score. The rushing attack racked up 108 yards with LJ Scott having 52 yards on 15 carries in the huge win.
Maryland Terrapins's Latest Performance :
Maryland has switched between wins and losses in their last six games. During their three wins, the offense has averaged 46 points per game while in their losses, they are only putting up 11 points. On the other hand, their defense has been just as inconsistent in that they allowed 18 points per game during the teams last three wins while giving up 33 points in the losses during this time. Nonetheless, the Terrapins stand in the fourth place slot within the Big Ten East standings at 3-2 after picking up a blowout victory versus the Illinois Fighting Illini as Kaseem Hill threw for 265 yards along with three TD’s to three difference receivers. Dontay Demus led the receiving corps for the Terrapins with 69 yards on two catches while the rushing attack was led by Javon Leake with 140 yards along with three touchdowns in the victory.
Despite the victory, the defense allowed almost 500 yards of total offense for the Illini as the rushing attack was allowed 232 yards on the ground while their passing attack averaged 8.2 yards per catch. In all, the Terrapins continue to be up and down on the season, particularly within their rush defense that is allowing 158 yards on the ground per game to their opponents. Michigan State is ranked only 121st in the nation in rushing offense this season yet may find success versus a squad that was hammered by an Illinois team that struggled in the run all season.
How Michigan State Spartans & Maryland Terrapins Matchup.
Vegas Odds, Offshore Odds, & Odds ATS:
Michigan State is 3-5 ATS while the OU is 4-4
Maryland is 5-3 ATS while the OU is 4-4
In-Depth Analysis of each team:
Brian Lewerke is probable for this contest as he missed the last game with a shoulder injury, which should add some confidence to a 45th ranked passing attack for Michigan State. They will, however, have some difficulties in passing the ball with Maryland coming into the game with the 22nd ranked passing defense. On the other hand, the Spartans are ranked 121st in the nation in putting up just 108 yards per outing while the Terrapins come in with the 58th ranked rush defense in allowing just 152 yards per game. This will certainly be a battle as both teams will be looking to get a much-needed win as they both stand at 3-2 in the division. Maryland is 4-1 ATS in their last five home games while the Spartans are 2-1 ATS in their last three road games.
Against The Spread Selection: Pick: Maryland Terrapins +1
My reason for the pick :
I will back the home team in this instance in that Maryland, despite its inconsistencies on both sides of the ball this year, remains a dangerous team, particularly at home. And while the Spartans may indeed get QB Lewerke back from injury for the contest, look for Maryland to bring the pressure in which to test out that shoulder to see if he can indeed hold out. In all, Maryland’s defense has played lights out at home and expect this to continue versus an up and down Michigan State team on Saturday.
Totals Selection: Pick: Under 46.5
My reason for the prediction :
The under was the play in the last time out amongst these two teams while being the play in the last three games for the Spartans. On the other hand, the under was the result in two of the last three games for the Terrapins as well, thus allowing me to feel as though the total will remain low in this game. Keep in mind that the Spartans possess a solid defense and while Maryland has been up and down all season, they are allowing only 24 points per game for the season. It is for this reason that the under is the strongest play in this instance.
Betting trends for Michigan State Spartans:
- Spartans are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games following a straight up win.
- Over is 6-1 in Spartans last 7 games after allowing less than 20 points in their previous game.
- Spartans are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games following an ATS win.
Betting trends for Maryland Terrapins:
- Terrapins are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games after accumulating more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.
- Terrapins are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games after scoring more than 40 points in their previous game.
- Terrapins are 1-10 ATS in their last 11 games following a straight up win of more than 20 points.