Oklahoma State Cowboys (5-3) vs Baylor Bears (4-4)Date : 11/03/2018
Time : 12:00 pm EST
Location : McLane Stadium, Waco, Texas
Pick, Prediction, & Preview:
Oklahoma State Cowboys vs Baylor Bears
The Oklahoma State Cowboys will travel to McLane Stadium in Waco, Texas, to battle the reeling Baylor Bears on Saturday at 12 pm EST for Big 12 action. The Cowboys are coming off a huge 38-35 home win over the Texas Longhorns in their last outing to where Taylor Cornelius was the catalyst in throwing three touchdown passes en route to the victory, thus halting a two-game losing skid. The Bears were dominated on the road by West Virginia as they suffered a 58-14 loss as they allowed almost 400 yards to the Mountaineers in the air as Will Grier torched their 83rd ranked pass defense for three touchdown passes. The Cowboys took the 59-16 home win over the Bears as they covered as 26 points home favorites, yet Baylor has covered in the two games prior. The under is 4-1 in the last five meetings in Waco while the home team is 12-4 ATS in the last 16 games amongst these two teams, overall.
Oklahoma State Cowboys 's Latest Performance :
Texas struggled in defending the pass as Taylor Cornelius threw for three touchdowns and 321 yards in the contest while the rushing attack put up 181 yards for 3.5 yards per carry as Justice Hill had 92 yards on 23 carries. Tylan Wallace led the receiving corps with 222 yards along with two touchdown passes in the victory. The win for the Cowboys stopped their bleeding as they lost three of four games prior to their matchup with Texas. Also, during their skid, the Cowboys were only 1-3 ATS while allowing 30 or more points in each of those games to their opponents.
After such a promising start to the season, OSU has fallen hard and have a tough road ahead in facing Oklahoma, West Virginia, along with TCU to end the season. Nonetheless, their offense ranks in the top 50 in every offensive category and will need to gain some headway versus a Baylor defense hat has been shaky as of late.
Baylor Bears 's Latest Performance :
Will Grier threw for 353 yards and three touchdown passes as David Sills V along with Gary Jennings Jr both went over 100 yards receiving or the game as the Mountaineers beat up on the Baylor Bears. The Bears also allowed Tevin Bush and the rushing attack for WVU to average 5.2 yards per carry. Baylor could simply get nothing going on offense as their high-powered offense was limited to 287 yards total for the game as their rushing attack averaged 2.3 rushes per carry while the passing attack only had 205 yards.
Corey Brewer threw three interceptions in the loss for the Bears. In all, Baylor has lost three of their last four games as this defense has allowed 45 pints per game to their opponents in their last four games. Their offense has struggled all year and are averaging only 15 points in their last two outings. Nonetheless, their passing attack has been the most effective for Baylor this year and will be matchup up with a Cowboys defensive unit that allows 256 yards in the air per outing.
How Oklahoma State Cowboys & Baylor Bears Matchup.
Vegas Odds, Offshore Odds, & Odds ATS:
Oklahoma State is 4-4 ATS while the OU is 5-3
Baylor is 2-5-1 ATS while the OU is 6-2
In-Depth Analysis of each team:
Both the Cowboys and Bears need a win in this contest and will certainly bring the focus and intensity into this battle on Saturday afternoon. With that being said, the Cowboys certainly have a leg up as they continue to possess a potent offensive attack while the Bears have been very inconsistent on the defensive end lately. However, Brewer and the passing game have continued to be relatively solid throughout the season and with OSU giving up 256 yards in the air per game, we will certainly be looking at an interesting game in the making.
Against The Spread Selection: Pick: Baylor Bears +8
My reason for the pick :
I will back the Bears with the points in this matchup as they are playing at home where they are 3-1 on the year along with the fact that the Cowboys have been shaky in the back-end of their defense in allowing too many big plays within the passing attack for opponents. With that being the case, look for the home team to cover the points while also having a chance to win outright versus an Oklahoma State team that has struggled recently despite their last win.
Totals Selection: Pick: Over 68
My reason for the prediction :
The over has been the play in the last matchup amongst these teams while also being the play in three of the last four games for the Cowboys. Also, the over has been the result in three of the last four games for the Bears as well. All this means is that both defenses have played inconsistently lately and they will certainly give up points early and often in this contest. Expect these trends to continue versus to potent offenses on Saturday. In all, the over is indeed the strong play as this will be a high-scoring affair to where momentum will bounce back and forth.
Betting trends for Oklahoma State Cowboys :
- Cowboys are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games after allowing more than 280 yards passing in their previous game.
- Over is 14-4 in Cowboys last 18 games after allowing more than 280 yards passing in their previous game.
- Cowboys are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games after accumulating more than 450 total yards in their previous game.
Betting trends for Baylor Bears :
- Over is 4-0 in Bears last 4 games after accumulating less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.
- Bears are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games after accumulating less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.
- Bears are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 home games.