Texas A&M Aggies (5-3) vs Auburn Tigers (5-3)Date : 11/03/2018
Time : 12:00 pm EST
Location : Jordan Hare Stadium, Auburn, Alabama
Pick, Prediction, & Preview:
Texas A&M Aggies vs Auburn Tigers
The Aggies of Texas A&M will visit Jordan Hare Stadium in Auburn Alabama, to battle the Auburn Tigers on Saturday at 12 pm EST for an SEC West battle. The Aggies are coming off a 28-13 road setback versus the Mississippi State Bulldogs last Saturday as the strength of their offense, their rushing attack, only put up 61 yards for the game while its defense allowed 143 yards to the home team en route to their first loss in four outings. The Tigers halted a two-game losing streak in their last time out by picking up a 31-16 win at the Ole Miss Rebels. Auburn picked up the 42-27 road win over the Aggies in their last time out on November 4, 2017 as the Tigers covered as 14.5-point favorites. The road team is 6-0 ATS in the last six meetings amongst these teams while the underdog is 4-1 ATS in the last five game, overall.
Texas A&M Aggies's Latest Performance :
Texas A&M entered their last matchup versus the Bulldogs winners of their last three games to where their average margin of victory being five points. Nonetheless, they were stung by a motivated Mississippi State team as Nick Fitzgerald had two touchdown passes on the day while rushing for another two scores as the Bulldogs got back on the winning track. Fitzgerald passed for 241 yards total while rushing for 88 yards on 16 carries in the contest as the A&M defense allowed 384 total yards. Kellen Mond threw for 232 yards, a TD, along with an interception in the loss as he has thrown five TD passes along with six interceptions in his last five outings. Nonetheless, the Aggies must bring their A game on the road, where they are losers of two of their last three, to battle an Auburn team that is beginning to gain some momentum and are 4-2 at Jordan Hare on the season.
Auburn Tigers 's Latest Performance :
Auburn regained its form versus the Rebels last weekend as they hammered Ole Miss on the ground to the tune of 269 yards led by Jatarvious Whitlow who had 170 yards on 19 carries while Jared Stidham passed for a touchdown on 215 yards in the air. Seth Williams led the receiving corps with 83 yards on two receptions for a passing attack that averaged 9.8 yards per catch. And while the defense allowed only 3.2 yards per carry to Ole Miss, they gave up 324 passing yards to Jordan T’amu while also giving up a touchdown pass.
Nonetheless, the Rebels had no answers for a physical rushing attack for Auburn and they will seek to duplicate those results versus an Aggies team that is allowing just 87 yards per game this year. Stidham will certainly need to step up at various points during this game to light a fire under an inconsistent passing attack for Auburn that is putting up only 217 yards per game, good for only 86th in the country.
How Texas A&M Aggies & Auburn Tigers Matchup.
Vegas Odds, Offshore Odds, & Odds ATS:
Texas A&M is 6-2 ATS while the OU is 3-5
Auburn is 3-5 ATS while the OU is 2-6
In-Depth Analysis of each team:
The Aggies can very well be in a tough spot in this game. They did not play well at all on the road versus the Bulldogs in their last outing. On the other hand, they remain on the road this weekend to face a Tigers team that ran all over Ole Miss in their last touting. Of course, both defenses are stout in most defensive categories, however, A&M has been inconsistent in the backend of their defense as they are giving up 242 yards in the air to opponents this year. This is my reasoning for stating that Stidham must be solid in this matchup for Auburn to pull out a victory. On the other hand, Mond has thrown three touchdown passes alongside three interceptions in his last three road games and must test this 63rd ranked pass defense for Auburn in which to get the Aggies out of their current funk.
Against The Spread Selection: Pick: Auburn Tigers -4
My reason for the pick :
While both teams having been inconsistent lately and, some would argue, throughout the year, I will back the Tigers to cover in this matchup as they have played much better at home. Furthermore, with the Aggies struggling on the offensive end, look for Auburn to compound this by bringing the pressure early and often on Mond in which to speed up his clock within the pocket. Of course, A&M will make the game interesting, however, expect for the home team to pull away late in the game while allowing Auburn to slip out with a slim victory.
Totals Selection: Pick: Under 49
My reason for the prediction :
While the over was the play in the last matchup amongst these teams, the fact is that both these offenses struggle from inconsistency. With that being said, I will back the under to be the strong play in this matchup as it has been the case in the last four games for the Aggies while also being the result in five of the last six games for Auburn (3-1 at home). In all, this game will be won in the trenches to which both teams will be fighting hard to control for much of the game.
Betting trends for Texas A&M Aggies:
- Under is 4-0 in Aggies last 4 conference games.
- Under is 4-0 in Aggies last 4 games overall.
- Aggies are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games on grass.
Betting trends for Auburn Tigers :
- Over is 3-0-1 in Tigers last 4 games following a bye week.
- Tigers are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing less than 20 points in their previous game.
- Tigers are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games following an ATS win.