Baylor Bears (5-4) vs Iowa State Cyclones (5-3)Date : 11/10/2018
Time : 3:30 pm EST
Location : Jack Trice Stadium, Ames, Iowa
Pick, Prediction, & Preview:
Baylor Bears vs Iowa State Cyclones
The Baylor Bears will travel to Jack Trice Stadium in Ames, Iowa, on Saturday to battle the Iowa State Cyclones beginning at 3:30 pm EST. The Bears are coming off a confidence building win at home versus the Oklahoma State Cowboys as they picked up the 35-31 win as Charlie Brewer threw one of his two touchdown passes on the night to Denzel Mims to seal the victory in the final seconds, thus halting a two-game losing streak.
The Cyclones have won four straight games with their last being a 27-3 road victory over the Kansas Jayhawks as Brock Purdy threw three touchdown passes for the game while the defense held the Jayhawks to only 332 yards total for the contest. The Cyclones beat the Bears in their last matchup by a 23-13 score on the road while also covering as 7.5-point road favorites. The Bears are 0-3-1 ATS in their last four meetings in Ames while the home team is 9-3-1 ATS in the last 13 meetings amongst the Bears and the Cyclones.
Baylor Bears's Latest Performance :
Baylor halted a two-game losing streak with a slim home victory over the reeling Oklahoma State Cowboys as Charlie Brewer was the man of the hour in throwing for only 56 yards, yet, completing the winning touchdown late in the game for a much-needed win. They are now even within the Big 12 conference at 3-3, however, will only be playing for bowl positioning as they are 5-4 overall. With a remaining schedule entailing a home game versus struggling TCU along with an up and down Texas Tech team on the road to end their 2018 campaign, Baylor will certainly look for finish up strong. The issue has been not their ability to score, but, the inability of the defense to stop anyone all season.
Baylor is currently ranking low in just about every defensive category this year as they illustrated this in their last outing versus the Cowboys in giving up over 500 yards in total offense along with 212 yards rushing for a 4.5 yards per rush average. Despite the win, the defense has given up 30 or more points in four of their last five games, overall.
Iowa State Cyclones's Latest Performance :
After a 1-3 start to the season, the Cyclones have won four straight games on the strength of their defense which has allowed just 21 points per game during their streak while the offense is averaging 38 points per game. They are currently in third place within the Big 12 just behind the West Virginia Mountaineers and the Oklahoma Sooners. Brock Purdy passed for three Touchdown passes in the last outing versus Kansas as he has thrown a combined 12 TD’s alongside only two picks during their four-game streak. Hakeem Butler had his third straight 100-yard game as he collected 164 yards and two scores. David Montgomery rushed for 64 yards on 14 attempts for an offense that put up only 394 yards for the contest.
The defense for the Cyclones was solid as usual in allowing just 332 total yards to the Jayhawks. Their 15th ranked rush defense allowed 147 yards on the ground yet giving up only 4.3 yards per catch to the Kansas passing attack.
How Baylor Bears & Iowa State Cyclones Matchup.
Vegas Odds, Offshore Odds, & Odds ATS:
Baylor is 3-5-1 ATS while the OU is 6-3
Iowa State is 6-2 ATS while the OU is 3-5
In-Depth Analysis of each team:
This will certainly be an interesting game int hat the Bears gained some confidence in their last win over the Cowboys. On the other hand, the Cyclones continue to rack up wins as they are red hot on both sides of the ball. The Cyclones had success versus Baylor last year and will certainly look to continue their balanced attack offensively in which to exploit Baylor’s inability to prevent the big play on defense. On the other hand, Baylor will lead with their passing attack as Brewer and company will certainly need to be on their A game.
Against The Spread Selection: Pick: Baylor Bears +14.5
My reason for the pick :
I will back the Bears in this matchup to cover as they have simply been playing much better on offense despite their defense being awful recently. Also, while Iowa State has been great at home this year, look for the Bears to really test this defense on Saturday as they are certainly looking to end the season on a winning note. Keeping this game close and competitive throughout versus a surging team such as the Cyclones will certainly be a highlight to their season. In all, take the Bears and the points as they will surprise many with their playmakers on the outside along with Brewer’s passing ability.
Totals Selection: Pick: Under 51
My reason for the prediction :
The under was indeed the result in last year’s matchup amongst these two teams and I certainly expect this to be the outcome in this year’s contest as well. It has been the result in five of eight games for the Cyclones this year while also being the play in two of the last three games, overall, for Baylor. With that being said, expect the defensive units to step up in this game, thus ensuring that the under will indeed be the strong pick.
Betting trends for Baylor Bears:
- Bears are 4-0-1 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.
- Bears are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games following an ATS win.
- Over is 4-1 in Bears last 5 road games.
Betting trends for Iowa State Cyclones:
- Cyclones are 4-0-1 ATS in their last 5 games in November.
- Cyclones are 8-0-1 ATS in their last 9 games after allowing less than 20 points in their previous game.
- Under is 9-1 in Cyclones last 10 games following a straight up win.