Northwestern Wildcats (4-4) vs Iowa Hawkeyes (5-4)Date : 11/10/2018
Time : 3:30 pm EST
Location : Kinnick Stadium, Iowa City, Iowa
Pick, Prediction, & Preview:
Northwestern Wildcats vs Iowa Hawkeyes
The Northwestern Wildcats will travel to Kinnick Stadium in Iowa City, Iowa, to battle the Iowa Hawkeyes on Saturday afternoon Big Ten football action. The Wildcats are coming off a 31-21 home loss versus the Fighting Irish of Notre Dame as their defense allowed 24 points to the road team in the second half while the defense also allowed the Irish to outgain them by a 464 to 249 margin. The loss halted a four-game winning streak for Northwestern, however, they remain in the top spot within the Big Ten West division.
The Iowa Hawkeyes lost their second straight game as they found themselves on the losing end of a 38-36 loss at Purdue last weekend. Iowa had 275 yards from Nathan Stanley along with a TD pass, however, David Blough from Purdue was the player of the game as he threw four touchdown tosses on 333 yards for the contest. Northwestern picked up the win in last year’s battle in Evanston by a 17-10 score as they also covered as three-point favorites. In fact, the favorite is 6-1 ATS in the last seven games amongst these teams while the under is 9-4 in the last 13 meetings, overall.
Northwestern Wildcats's Latest Performance :
The Wildcats were bought back to earth in their last outing versus the Fighting Irish as they had won four straight games prior to the matchup. Nonetheless, with only 249 yards for the game total along with averaging just 2.7 yards per rush along with 4.9 yard per catch, it is fair to say that Northwestern struggled throughout the matchup. The defense allowed 464 total yards to Note Dame as Ian Book threw for a total of 343 yards along with two touchdown passes while rushing for 56 yards and a rush TD as well. Chase Claypool led the receiving corps with 130 yards for the Irish.
As stated, the Wildcats were indeed humbled in this matchup, however, continue to remain the top seed within the Big Ten East division. For this to remain the same, the Wildcats must step up on both ends as they will face an Iowa team that can be very potent due to their balanced attack.
Iowa Hawkeyes's Latest Performance :
Iowa has had a rough go of it on the road the past two weeks as they have picked up losses to both Penn State and Purdue, most recently. Their defense, which is ranked in the top ten in every major defensive category, had been stuffing offenses all season long; However, in their last two outings, the Hawkeyes are allowing over 30 points a game to their opponents while their offense has remained consistent in putting up 30 a game during this time.
The problem is that the defense has been pushed around lately by physical teams that have decent rushing attacks along with above average passing attacks (when clicking on all cylinders). Unfortunately, they happen to catch Purdue on one of those days in their last outing as the Boilermakers had 333 yards passing from David Blough as he also had four touchdown passes as Terry Wright was his main target with 146 yards on three TD catches. Look for the defenses to have a much better outing versus a team that has struggled to score all year in Northwestern.
How Northwestern Wildcats & Iowa Hawkeyes Matchup.
Vegas Odds, Offshore Odds, & Odds ATS:
Northwestern is 4-3-2 ATS while the OU is 5-4
Iowa is 6-3 ATS while the OU is 6-3
In-Depth Analysis of each team:
This will certainly be a gut check game as both teams are coming off huge conference losses yet continue to have much to play for. The Hawkeyes are 4-1 ATS this year at home while only losing to the East division’s second seeded team in the Wisconsin Badgers earlier in the season. With that being the case, a loss for the Wildcats could spell their doom in obtaining the division crown. Coincidentally, the Wildcats would like nothing better than to accomplish such a task as they are undefeated on the road this year (2-1 ATS).
Against The Spread Selection: Pick: Iowa Hawkeyes -10
My reason for the pick :
Look for Iowa to get back on track this weekend versus the Northwestern Wildcats while also pulling away late in the game. While Northwestern has been resilient all year, there are times where they are simply not a very good team on either side of the ball. With that being said, Iowa went through a rough patch lately, however, with the type of offense that they possess along with a defense that remains as one of the best in the country, look for the home team to win in style on Saturday.
Totals Selection: Pick: Under 47.5
My reason for the prediction :
Thorson and company possess the 40th ranked passing attack in the nation yet will be facing an Iowa pass defense that is allowing just under 200 yards per game, good for 36th in the country. With their passing attack neutralized, Northwestern will be relegated to utilizing their 127th ranked rushing attack versus an Iowa defense which, despite its shortcoming in its last two outings, are allowing only 86 yards per game. In all, Iowa will score around their average while allowing the up and down Wildcats well under 20 points for the game as the under will be the strong play.
Betting trends for Northwestern Wildcats:
- Wildcats are 3-0-2 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing more than 450 total yards in their previous game.
- Wildcats are 5-0-1 ATS in their last 6 games in November.
- Wildcats are 3-0-1 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
Betting trends for Iowa Hawkeyes:
- Under is 4-0 in Hawkeyes last 4 games after allowing more than 280 yards passing in their previous game.
- Hawkeyes are 0-4-1 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing more than 280 yards passing in their previous game.
- Over is 7-1 in Hawkeyes last 8 vs. a team with a winning record.