Ohio State Buckeyes (8-1) vs Michigan State Spartans (6-3)Date : 11/10/2018
Time : 12:00 pm EST
Location : Spartan Stadium, East Lansing, Michigan
Pick, Prediction, & Preview:
Ohio State Buckeyes vs Michigan State Spartans
The 8th ranked Ohio State Buckeyes will travel to Spartan Stadium in East Lansing, Michigan, to face the tough Michigan State Spartans on Saturday afternoon at noon in Big Ten football action. The Buckeyes picked up a 48-3 blowout at home versus the Spartan in their last matchup on their way to covering the 17.5 point spread to which they were the favorites. Nonetheless, they were not able to cover the 17 points in last week’s drama in Columbus as the Buckeyes needed a J.K. Dobbins 42 yard run to go up twelve points, and despite getting a late touchdown pass from Adrian Martinez for Nebraska, was able to pull off the 36-31 victory.
The Spartans won their third game in four outings as they dismantled a reeling Maryland Terrapins team on the road last Saturday by a score of 24-3 as their defense held the Terps to only 100 total yards for the game while recovering two fumbles. The underdogs are 6-1 ATS in the last seven meetings amongst these two squads while the under is 5-2 in the last seven games in East Lansing, overall.
Ohio State Buckeyes's Latest Performance :
Ohio State, despite getting the win over the Wisconsin Badgers in their last outing, has struggled a bit recently in giving up 40 points to their opponents within their last two outings. On the other hand, the offense only averaged 26 points per game during this time. Furthermore, the Buckeyes are 0-5 ATS in their last five matchups as they could not cover the 17 points as favorites versus the Badgers last week.
Also, while Dwayne Haskins passed for two touchdowns while putting up 252 yards in the game, Adrian Martinez passed for 266 yards and a TD while rushing also for 72 yards along with two scores on the ground. The fact is that the Buckeyes cannot afford to lose another game as they seek to end their season with having a chance to win the East division with a meeting at home with the Wolverines in their finale.
Michigan State Spartans 's Latest Performance :
The Spartans continue to win ball games as they are currently in third place within the Big Ten East division. On the other hand, a win versus the Buckeyes will allow them to take over the second place slot within the division. They have certainly played well defensively leading up to their matchup with Ohio State as they had allowed just 10 p0ints per outing to their opponents. In fact, in their Spartans 3-1 recent streak, the defense has been one of the biggest catalysts as they continued their dominance in allowing the Maryland Terrapins just 100 yards in their last outing while recovering two fumbles as well. They are currently ranked first in stopping the run while allowing just 19 points per game, good for 16th in the nation.
The offense has been terrible for Michigan State this year as they are ranked in the 100’s in every major offensive category expect for pass offense, including being 65th in the country in putting up 235 yards per game. Brian Lewerke passed for only 86 yards and an interception while the rushing attack was its saving grace as Conner Heyward ran for 157 yards along with two TD’s to provide a much-needed lift to their 112th ranked rushing attack. Running back LJ Scott is questionable for the Spartans in this game with a leg injury, unfortunately.
How Ohio State Buckeyes & Michigan State Spartans Matchup.
Vegas Odds, Offshore Odds, & Odds ATS:
Ohio State is 3-6 ATS wile the OU is 4-5
Michigan State is 4-5 ATS while the OU is 4-5
In-Depth Analysis of each team:
This will certainly be a hard hitting and competitive matchup as the Spartans and Buckeyes will look to bring the focus in which to pick up even more momentum moving forward. As stated, the Buckeyes will want to remain a game behind the top seeded Michigan Wolverines to set up a finale amongst the two teams with the division on the line. On the other hand, the Spartans will look to win their fourth in five game while rising to the second place slot with a win over OSU. In all, look for both teams to pull out all the stops in attempting to get a win.
Against The Spread Selection: Pick: Michigan State Spartans +3.5
My reason for the pick :
The Spartans are winners of three of five games at home this year yet going 1-4 ATS for the year. With that being said, they may be getting to face the Buckeyes at a great time as they have seemed very vulnerable for the past few weeks. It is for this reason that I will bank on the defensive unit for the Spartans to show and prove versus the Buckeyes this Saturday as they certainly have played much better recently as well. OSU is 0-3 ATS in their last three road outings.
Totals Selection: Pick: Under 54
My reason for the prediction :
The under was the play in last year’s matchup amongst these teams while also being the play in four of the last six games for the Buckeyes. Furthermore, with their top ranked defense, the under has been the result in the last four outings, overall, for Michigan State. It is for this reason that the trends will indeed continue to be the strong play in this matchup as both teams will be fighting throughout for command of the trenches.
Betting trends for Ohio State Buckeyes:
- Buckeyes are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 conference games.
- Buckeyes are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games overall.
- Buckeyes are 0-4 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
Betting trends for Michigan State Spartans :
- Under is 4-0 in Spartans last 4 vs. a team with a winning record.
- Under is 4-0 in Spartans last 4 conference games.
- Under is 4-0 in Spartans last 4 games overall.