Oklahoma State Cowboys (5-3) vs Oklahoma Sooners (8-1)Date : 11/10/2018
Time : 3:30 pm EST
Location : Gaylord Family Oklahoma Memorial Stadium, Norman, Oklahoma
Pick, Prediction, & Preview:
Oklahoma State Cowboys vs Oklahoma Sooners
The Cowboys of Oklahoma State will travel to Oklahoma Memorial Stadium in Norman, Oklahoma, to face the 7th ranked Oklahoma Sooners on Saturday afternoon at 3:30 pm EST. The Cowboys have hit a rough patch recently in losing three of their last four outings with their last loss being a 35-31 road loss at Baylor as Charlie Brewer found Denzel Mims for a six-yard TD pass with only :06 second remaining in the game to seal the victory. And while the Cowboys outgained the Bears in total yardage (513-402), the Cowboys found no answers to a rushing attack from Baylor that ruled the trenches throughout.
The Sooners scored their third straight win as they picked up the 51-46 road win over an offensive minded Texas Tech squad last Saturday as Kyler Murray passed for three TD’s while Trey Sermon rushed for 203 yards along with three scores in the victory. Oklahoma came away with the 62-52 road win in last year’s meeting amongst these teams while the over is 4-1-1 in the last six games, overall. The Cowboys are 1-4 ATS in their last five games versus OU.
Oklahoma State Cowboys's Latest Performance :
Oklahoma State’s last loss resulting in them losing three of their last four games while being 1-3 ATS during this time. They have allowed at least 30 points to their opponents in their last four games while the offense continues to put points on the board. Taylor Cornelius has passed for over 2600 yards this season while 20 touchdown passes along with eight TD’s while Justice Hill leads the team in rushing (895 yds) along with total TD’s (8). In their last outing versus Baylor, Cornelius picked up 287 yards passing and a touchdown while Hill had 113 yards along with a rush TD in the loss. Tylan Wallace also led the receiving corps with 119 yards along with a score in the game, his fourth game with 100 or more receiving yards in the past five outings.
The Cowboys have certainly not played much defense this year as they allow 30 points per game to their opponents. Their 52nd ranked rush defenses allowed 244 rushing yards to Baylor and has really stunk it up lately in all areas related to defense. This will certainly be something that they will need to clean up before they take the field versus the Sooners.
Oklahoma Sooners 's Latest Performance :
Oklahoma sits atop the Big 12 conference standings after winning three straight games. During this time, their offense is averaging 50 points per game while the defense allowed 29 points. In all, Kyler Murray and company have certainly impressed as Murray has thrown for over 2600 yards on the season with 31 TD’s along with five INT’s. In fact, he threw for 360 yards, three TD’s, along with two picks in his last outing versus the Texas Tech Red Raiders, his fourth 300 or plus yardage game in his last five games, overall.
Since their loss to the Longhorns four weeks ago, Murray has thrown for ten touchdowns along with two interceptions. Running back Trey Sermon had 206 yards and three scores versus a Red Raider defense that has struggled all year. In all, they will certainly look for continued consistency when battling a shaky defense of the Cowboys.
The defense for the Sooners were middle of the road all year in allowing 28 points for the year. They have been much more effective in stopping he run as they are currently ranked 45th in the league. On the other hand, they will certainly have to contend with a dangerous passing attack for the Cowboys as they allow 247 yards per outing.
How Oklahoma State Cowboys & Oklahoma Sooners Matchup.
Vegas Odds, Offshore Odds, & Odds ATS:
Oklahoma is 4-5 ATS while the OU is 8-1
Oklahoma State is 4-5 ATS while the OU is 5-4
In-Depth Analysis of each team:
The Sooners will go into this game looking to allow Murray to get some confidence early. To do this, they will look to establish themselves in the run versus a shaky OSU defense. Once this is done, look for the passing game to flourish as Murray and company will slowly look to take control of the game. The Cowboys will certainly utilize their playmakers both in the backfield and on the outside as Hill and company will certainly be looking to test an OU pass defense that is 91st in the nation in defending the pass.
Against The Spread Selection: Pick: Oklahoma Sooners -18
My reason for the pick :
While the defense for OU has not been overly impressive, the offense for Oklahoma is so potent that they are simply outscoring their opponents despite their shortcomings on the defensive end. With that being said, with the Oklahoma State offense having many playmakers, expect for them to put some points on the board in this game; However, look for the Sooners to take control of this game early on while racking up the points over time. In all, the home team with the points are indeed the strong play in this matchup as OU will look to maintain its conference’s top ranked position.
Totals Selection: Pick: Over 76
My reason for the prediction :
Look for this to be a high scoring affair amongst teams that are known to give up points. Nonetheless, both defensive units are backed by a potent offense that can put points up rather quickly. This will certainly be the case in this matchup as the over has been the call not only in their last matchup in 2017, but, in the last five for the Sooners including three of five for the Cowboys.
Betting trends for Oklahoma State Cowboys:
- Over is 4-0 in Cowboys last 4 games after accumulating more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.
- Over is 4-0 in Cowboys last 4 games after allowing more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.
- Over is 8-1 in Cowboys last 9 games following an ATS loss.
Betting trends for Oklahoma Sooners :
- Over is 4-0 in Sooners last 4 games on grass.
- Over is 5-0 in Sooners last 5 games overall.
- Over is 8-0 in Sooners last 8 games after scoring more than 40 points in their previous game.