Oregon Ducks (6-3) vs Utah Utes (6-3)Date : 11/10/2018
Time : 2:00 pm EST
Location : Rice-Eccles Stadium, Salt Lake City, Utah
Pick, Prediction, & Preview:
Oregon Ducks vs Utah Utes
The Oregon Ducks will travel to Rice-Eccles Stadium in Salt Lake City, Utah, for a battle with the Utah Utes on Saturday afternoon beginning at 2 pm EST. The Ducks are coming off their first win in three weeks as they beat up on the UCLA Bruins at home by a 42-21 score. On the other hand, Utah, after winning four straight games, fell on the road the Sun Devils of Arizona State as they were dominated in every way en route to a devastating 38-20 defeat. Oregon has won the last two games outright while the road team is 4-1 ATS in the last five meetings between these teams. Oregon won the last meeting at home last year as they picked up the 41-20 win in a game to the Utes were favorited by three points. Finally, the over is 5-1 in their last five games (Oregon/Utah).
Oregon Ducks's Latest Performance :
Oregon halted a two-game skid with a much-needed win in their last outing as Justin Herbert threw for 264 yards along with two touchdowns to pick up the blowout victory versus the lowly UCLA Bruins. C.J. Verdell rushed for 90-yard sand a score for an Oregon team that put up eight yards shy of 500 total yards in the game. They will certainly enter this game with confidence, particularly after beating the Utes by 21 in their outing last year. Also, they both will be playing for Bowl positioning as well, so, either team certainly cannot afford any slipups. Nonetheless, look for Herbert and the passing game attempt to attack Utah where they are weakest: Pass defense.
Utah Utes 's Latest Performance :
The Utes continue to man the top position within the Pac 12 South division, however, both the Trojans and the Arizona Wildcats are waiting in the wings. Of course, with the Buffaloes beating both teams this year, it will come down to them losing their remaining game versus the Ducks, Colorado, or BYU to prevent them from winning the crown. Recently, they have been very consistent on the offensive end in averaging 40 points per game during a recent four game winning stretch, however, came down to earth in a 38-20 road shellacking thanks to the Arizona State Sun Devils.
Tyler Huntley ended his streak of games with 100 or more yards by having only 88 yards for the game along with a TD and an INT, his fourth in four games. Nonetheless, Zack Moss continued his stellar season by picking up 128 yards on the ground along with a score. With a defense that is ranked in the top 20 in the country, the Utes offense will only need to put up a few points in this matchup before handing the keys to the defense to preserve the win. However, the Ducks are potent offensively as well and will certainly make the game interesting throughout.
How Oregon Ducks & Utah Utes Matchup.
Vegas Odds, Offshore Odds, & Odds ATS:
Oregon is 3-6 ATS while the OU is 4-5
Utah is 5-4 ATS while the OU is 5-4
In-Depth Analysis of each team:
Look for this game to be one that is very competitive as the Utes will want to get back on the winning track as soon as possible after their last loss while the Ducks will like to continue their success as they are looking to finish the season strong. With that being the case, expect this to be a close game throughout as they will be matched up up against two defenses that each allow less than 400 yards per game on average, which essentially means that they are effective in getting teams off the field on third down, but, allow too many mental errors, big plays, penalties, etc…
Against The Spread Selection: Pick: Utah Utes -4
My reason for the pick :
I will back the Utes in this contest as I not only believe that they are a much better team at home than on the road, but, they are simply an overall better defensive team than the Ducks are an offensive team. This will be the story of the game as Utah will indeed stuff what has been an off and on offense for Oregon throughout the year. Also, the Ducks are 0-2 in their last two conference road games while being winless ATS in both. Tyler Huntley has struggled throughout the season at QB and will not be missed much as he is done for the season due to injury.
Totals Selection: Pick: Under 56
My reason for the prediction :
As stated, the Utes defense will certainly come to play in this Saturday showdown. And while the Ducks will certainly have some opportunities to score and make the game interesting, the defense for Utah is serious and will certainly put the clamps down over time during this matchup. Of course, with Zack Moss and the 37th ranked rushing offense for the Utes running the pace of the game, look for the clock to tick as the Utes will pound the Ducks on the ground all night to ensure the under is indeed the play.
Betting trends for Oregon Ducks:
- Ducks are 1-10 ATS in their last 11 games following a straight up win of more than 20 points.
- Under is 7-1 in Ducks last 8 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
- Ducks are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 road games.
Betting trends for Utah Utes :
- Over is 5-0 in Utes last 5 games after accumulating less than 170 yards passing in their previous game.
- Utes are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games after allowing more than 280 yards passing in their previous game.
- Over is 6-1 in Utes last 7 vs. a team with a winning record.