Missouri Tigers (6-4) vs Tennessee Volunteers (5-5)Date : 11/17/2018
Time : 3:30 PM
Location : Neyland Stadium
Pick, Prediction, & Preview:
Missouri Tigers vs Tennessee Volunteers
The Tennessee Volunteers will return back to Neyland Stadium for their final home game of the season as they will welcome in fellow SEC East foe in the Missouri Tigers, the opening kickoff is slated for 3:30 PM. Missouri is coming off a big win against Vanderbilt which made them bowl eligible while the Tennessee Volunteers blew out a top 25 team in the Kentucky Wildcats.
Missouri Tigers's Latest Performance :
The Missouri Tigers made themselves bowl eligible last week in a big win against the Vanderbilt Commodores as they were able to assert their dominance on the ground. Future NFL first-round pick QB Drew Lock made some mistakes earlier in the game as he threw 2 interceptions but the senior regrouped himself and threw for 253 yards and 2 TDs. Lock has had a good season for the Tigers as he has thrown for over 2647 yards, 21 TDs, and 8 interceptions. Vanderbilt’s game plan was to stop the pass which resorted to the Tigers slashing them on the ground as RBs Damarea Crockett and Larry Roundtree combined for 214 yards and a TD. Roundtree has been the main back for the Tigers all season (758 yards, 9 TDs) but Crockett has seen his fair share of touches and has performed well (699 yards, 7 TDs). Lock’s favorite WR Emanuel Hall was shut down all game (3 catches for 24 yards) but it created chances for other WRs to have a big game. True freshmen Dominic Gicinto led all Tigers pass catchers with 81 yards which was more yards than what he came in with as he entered this outing with 44 total yards. Senior LB Terez Hall was flying all over the field in this matchup as he was able to rack up 8 tackles and extend his season total to 64. The Tigers leading tackler Cale Garrett was held to only 5 tackles but he was able to come up with a big sack.
Tennessee Volunteers's Latest Performance :
The Tennessee Volunteers aren’t a contender in the SEC East just yet but Jeremy Pruitt has this team moving in the right direction with big wins over Auburn and Kentucky in year 1. The recent slaying of the Kentucky Wildcats was rooted behind a great defensive effort as the Volunteers held the 11th ranked team to only 262 yards of offense. Redshirt sophomore QB Jarrett Guarantano played a solid game as he was able to connect on 12 of his 20 passes for 197 yards and 2 TDs. The former #1 QB in the nation has benefited under Pruitt as Guarantano has been turnover-free this season with 11 TDs and only 2 interceptions. The ground game for the Volunteers is a two-headed monster led by sophomores Ty Chandler and Tim Jordan. Chandler had the bigger game of the two backs as he was able to get loose for 89 yards which extends his season total to 460 yards. Jordan still has the team-high in yards after a 63-yard, 1 TD performance as the sophomore out of Florida sits at 477 yards and 3 TDs. The Volunteers top WR Marquez Callaway had the biggest catch of the game when the junior was able to come down with a hail mary just before halftime to extend the lead. On the defensive side of the ball Darrell Taylor the redshirt junior linebacker had a huge game as he not only had 6 tackles but a team-high 4 sacks, Taylor now leads the Volunteers in sacks as that number is coming in at 7. Junior DB Marquill Osborne came away with 2 interceptions in their previous outing which is amazing considering the lack of playing time he has seen this season (4 tackles).
How Missouri Tigers & Tennessee Volunteers Matchup.
Vegas Odds, Offshore Odds, & Odds ATS:
Missouri is 5-5 ATS, 1-3 ATS on the road.
Tennessee is 5-5 ATS, 2-4 ATS at home.
In-Depth Analysis of each team:
Missouri ranks 27th in the nation in team scoring as they score an average of 35.5 PPG while Tennessee ranks 100th in the nation as they score an average of 24.3 PPG.
Tennessee ranks 51st in the nation in team defense as they hold opponents to an average of 24.7 PPG while Missouri ranks 70th as teams score an average of 27.6 PPG.
Against The Spread Selection: Tennessee Volunteers +6
My reason for the pick :
People may feel as the Tennessee Volunteers are in a letdown type of game as they are coming off their biggest win of the season but Pruitt will have his guys focused in this game considering the number of big games he coaches at Alabama and Florida State. Tennessee is only 1 game away from bowl eligibility and what a milestone that would be for this Volunteer program as they missed out on the postseason last year. Tennessee has the type of defense that can havoc the Tigers in this matchup and keep them in the game. Missouri has been average on defense this year and with Tennessee playing well at home I expect them to keep the game close. Take Tennessee to cover the spread.
Betting trends for Missouri Tigers:
- Missouri is 3-4 ATS when they are the favorites this season.
Betting trends for Tennessee Volunteers:
- Tennessee is 4-2 ATS in SEC games this season.