New Mexico State Aggies (3-7) vs BYU Cougars (5-5)Date : 11/17/2018
Time : 10:15 pm EST
Location : LaVell Edwards Stadium, Provo, Utah
Pick, Prediction, & Preview:
New Mexico State Aggies vs BYU Cougars
The Aggies of New Mexico State will travel to LaVell Edwards Stadium in Provo, Utah, to take on the BYU Cougars on Saturday night at 10:15 pm EST. The Cougars halted a two-game skid as they picked up a much needed 35-16 road win over the UMass Minutemen last weekend as Zach Wilson threw for 167 yards along with two TD’s while Matt Hadley collected 69 yards on the ground along with a score. Despite an awful second half to the season, the Cougars are looking to become bowl eligible with a win.
On the other hand, the Aggies are coming off a 52-42 home win over the Alcorn State Braves as they racked up 529 yards for the game yet were outgained by a Braves team by well over 100 yards. Nonetheless, the loss halted a three-game losing skid for New Mexico State as Josh Adkins threw for 396 yards and four TD’s in the much-needed win.
New Mexico State Aggies's Latest Performance :
New Mexico State put up 296 passing yards along with four TD’s in their last outing as Josh Adkins threw scores to three different receivers, with Jonathan Boone being one of them as he finished the game with 92 yards with two touchdown catches. The rushing game put up 133 yards on the ground with Christian Gibson leading he charge with 83 yards on 13 carries. Nonetheless, Jason Huntley scored two rushing touchdowns while also leading the team in passing yards with 111 for the day with a TD catch as well.
Their defense also allowed close to 400 yards passing to the Braves as well with Noah Johnson throwing touchdowns to four different receivers. Despite their success in the air, the Braves mustered 338 yards versus an Aggies team that has struggled with stopping the run all year. In all, the Aggies will certainly attempt to clean things up versus BYU on Saturday, despite the Cougars having a great night on the ground last weekend.
BYU Cougars's Latest Performance :
Despite the ups and downs experienced by the Cougars this year, they have a slight chance of making a bowl game to end a disastrous season with a win over the Aggies this weekend. In other words, thanks to wins over the Wisconsin Badgers along with the Arizona Wildcats earlier in the season, they have put themselves in a position to go bowling next month. They got back on the winning tack last week after beating up on the UMass Minutemen on the road as Zack Wilson threw two early touchdowns to wake up an offense that put up a total of 22 points in their prior two games. Their rushing attack was effective as well as the team racked up 225 yards on the ground led by Matt Hadley with a score.
The defense allowed 102 yards on the ground to the Minutemen while allowing only 5.5 yards per catch in the contest. With the Cougars back on the winning track, they will look to extend this success versus an Aggies team that, despite their above average passing attack, ranks as one of the worst teams in the nation on both sides of the ball.
How New Mexico State Aggies & BYU Cougars Matchup.
Vegas Odds, Offshore Odds, & Odds ATS:
New Mexico State is 2-8 ATS while the OU is 7-3
BYU is 6-4 ATS while the OU is 2-8
In-Depth Analysis of each team:
The Cougars certainly need a game such as this in which to become bowl eligible. Here you have a New Mexico State team that is struggling mightily on both sides of the ball versus a BYU team that is looking to end the season strong by picking up a win in a most important game. The Cougars are only 2-3 at home this year while being 2-3 ATS while the Aggies are losers of four of five road games to where they are 1-4 ATS.
Against The Spread Selection: Pick: BYU Cougars -24
My reason for the pick :
Look for the Cougars to get a much-needed win in this contest as the Aggies simply cannot stop opponents from scoring. Look for them to follow up their lackluster effort on defense versus the Alcorn State Braves with yet another dismal performance versus a physical BYU team that will pull out all the stops in which to build from the momentum of their last victory.
Totals Selection: Pick: Under 56
My reason for the prediction :
I will back the under in this contest despite New Mexico having a terrible defense. The fact is that the Cougars have struggled on offense this year. And while the Aggies will certainly give up some points to the home team, look for them to not have the overall capability of capitalizing on the majority of their opportunities due to lack of cohesion. With that being the case, the Cougar defense will have a great night as they will be the tip of the spear in ensuring the total does not surpass its set limit.
Betting trends for New Mexico State Aggies:
- Aggies are 0-4-1 ATS in their last 5 games after scoring more than 40 points in their previous game.
- Aggies are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games overall.
- Aggies are 10-1 ATS in their last 11 games on grass.
Betting trends for BYU Cougars:
- Cougars are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games in November.
- Under is 14-3 in Cougars last 17 games following an ATS win.
- Under is 22-5 in Cougars last 27 games after accumulating less than 170 yards passing in their previous game