Oregon State (2-8) vs Washington Huskies (7-3)Date : 11/17/2018
Time : 4:30 PM
Location : Husky Stadium
Pick, Prediction, & Preview:
Oregon State vs Washington Huskies
The Washington Huskies return to Husky Stadium for their final home game of the season as they will welcome in the Oregon State Beavers for a PAC-12 clash, the opening kickoff is slated for 4:30 PM. Washington is still alive in the North division but they will have to win from here on out while the Beavers are looking to remain healthy and hit the restart button next year.
Oregon State's Latest Performance :
The Oregon State Beavers need time to adjust under 1st-year coach Jonathan Smith as this program has had a rough couple of years under 3 different coaches and although they still won’t be reaching the postseason for a 5th consecutive year there is a glimmer of hope that they have improved. The Beavers have been decent on the offensive side of the ball as they have employed a 2 QB system with both guys filling in nicely. Redshirt sophomore Conor Blount has thrown for 1097 yards, 7 TDs, and 2 interceptions while senior Jake Luton has thrown for 1188 yards, 7 TDs, and 2 interceptions. In their latest game against Stanford Smith elected to stay with the hot hand for most of the game as Luton saw the majority of snaps. Luton wasn’t terrible against a good Stanford defense as he threw for 205 yards, 2 TDs, and 1 interception. Since Oregon State was playing catch-up most of the game they were unable to get one of the better RBs in the nation going as freshmen Jermar Jefferson was only able to rack up 109 yards on 19 carries. Jefferson has been stellar in his first collegiate season as he has racked up 1201 yards and 12 TDs which is good for top 5 in the nation. Luton was able to hook up with one of his favorite targets in Trevon Bradford 5 different times for 120 yards and a TD. The defense has been questionable all season long but something to take into next year is the elevated play of junior LB Shemar Smith. Smith had a solid game for the Beavers as he had a team-high 9 tackles as well as came down with his 1st interception of the season.
Washington Huskies's Latest Performance :
The Washington Huskies success has been overshadowed due to their in-state rivals having their best season of recent memory but Chris Petersen and company still find themselves in the PAC-12 North race as long as they win out. The Huskies were able to receive a big home win over the Stanford Cardinal two weeks ago as they used their defense and an effective ground game. QB Jake Browning was held in check by Stanford as he only threw for 194 yards and 1 TD. The senior has been extremely inconsistent for the Huskies this season as he currently post a stat line of 2243 yards, 13 TDs, and 8 interceptions. The ground game is where Washington has thrived this year as they have two good backs with senior Myles Gaskin leading the way with 771 yards and 6 TDs, and sophomore Salvon Ahmed falling just behind him with 413 yards and 5 TDs. Gaskin was more effective on the ground against Stanford than Ahmed was as Gaskin was able to rush for 148 yards and 1 TD on 28 carries. Browning was able to hook up with his favorite target junior Aaron Fuller 5 different times for 62 yards which pushes his stat line to 737 yards on the season. The Huskies defense was successful in forcing a veteran QB like K.J. Costello turn the ball over as they picked him off 3 times. Senior LB Ben Burr-Kirven was able to continue his amazing season by contributing a team-high 12 tackles which now has him at 134 tackles on the season. Byron Murphy, Taylor Rapp, and Greg Gaines were the 3 defenders that came down with the interceptions in this ball game.
How Oregon State & Washington Huskies Matchup.
Vegas Odds, Offshore Odds, & Odds ATS:
Oregon State is 3-7 ATS, 2-3 ATS on the road.
Washington is 2-8 ATS, 1-4 ATS at home.
In-Depth Analysis of each team:
Oregon State ranks 79th in the nation in team scoring as they score an average of 27.5 PPG while Washington ranks 87th in the nation as they score an average of 26.6 PPG.
Washington ranks 10th in the nation in team defense as they hold opponents to an average of 16 PPG while Oregon State ranks 129th in the nation as they hold opponents to an average of 45.1 PPG
Against The Spread Selection: Oregon State Beavers +32
My reason for the pick :
Oregon State is not good by any means but it is easy for Washington to start looking forward to a big matchup next week against a top 10 opponent in what could be the PAC-12 North championship game. Oregon State has shown the ability to score on teams and even though Washington has a stellar defense I think Jefferson can pick up a TD or 2 on the ground especially later in the game when Peterson pulls his starters. Oregon State has nothing to play for at this point of the season so why not play spoiler against the big bad teams in their conference. Washington has also been awful ATS this season especially at home so I can’t lay an almost 5 TD spread in their favor.
Betting trends for Oregon State:
- Oregon State is 0-4 ATS as home underdogs this season.
Betting trends for Washington Huskies:
- Washington is 1-6 ATS in PAC-12 games this season.