Kentucky Wildcats (8-3) vs Louisville Cardinals (2-9)Date : 11/24/2018
Time : 7:00 PM
Location : Cardinal Stadium
Pick, Prediction, & Preview:
Kentucky Wildcats vs Louisville Cardinals
The Louisville Cardinals will return home to Cardinal Stadium for the regular season finale as they will welcome in their in-state rivals in the Kentucky Wildcats, the opening kickoff is slated for 7:00 PM. The Kentucky Wildcats are in contention for a New Years Six Bowl after a successful season while Louisville will be looking forward to next year as they will be led by a new head coach.
Kentucky Wildcats's Latest Performance :
The Kentucky Wildcats have been one of the best surprises in the SEC this season as they beat a good Florida and Mississippi State team as well as look like a prime contender for a New Years Six Bowl. The Wildcats are coming off a win over Middle Tennessee State at home as they were able to put up 34 points compared to the Blue Raiders putting up 23. The Wildcats have been great on the ground this season as junior RB Benny Snell Jr. has rushed for 1230 yards and 12 TDs while QB Terry Wilson has contributed 439 yards and 3 TDs. Snell was able to break a couple of long runs against Middle Tennessee State as he compiled 116 yards and 2 TDs on 26 carries. Although Terry Wilson has elevated the Wildcats level of play this season he has been extremely inconsistent through the air and this outing was another example of that. Wilson was only able to throw for 121 yards and 1 TD as Mark Stoops only let him sling it 14 times in the game. A reason for the lack of trust in Wilson can be due to him throwing 8 TDs on the season compared to 7 interceptions. The Wildcats top WR Lynn Bowden was kept in check by Middle Tennessee State as the sophomore was only able to rack up 9 yards on 1 catch. Senior TE C.J. Conrad was on the receiving end of Wilson’s lone TD pass of the game as he was able put together a 51-yard performance. The Wildcats defense has been strong all season long but they slipped up in the 2nd quarter of the game against the Blue Raiders as they gave up 10 unanswered points. Senior LB Josh Allen was unblockable in this game as he had a team-high 15 tackles with 2 sacks while senior safety Mike Edwards had 12 tackles and brought down his 2nd interception of the season which he returned for 66 yards.
Louisville Cardinals's Latest Performance :
The Louisville Cardinals have made a bowl game every single year since 2009 but things have taken a turn for the worse as they have given up 50+ points in 4 consecutive games and have lost 8 straight games. The Cardinals have put redshirt sophomore QB Jawon Pass on the field and have expected results similar to Lamar Jackson and Pass has been unable to deliver. The young QB has gone through his fair share of struggles this year as he has thrown 12 interceptions compared to only 8 TDS. The Cardinals latest game against the NC State Wolfpack was an indication that redshirt freshmen Malik Cuningham might be the QB of the future of this team as he brings a playmaking ability to the field similar to Jackson. Cunningham threw for 90 yards but he was even better on the ground as he racked up 100 yards and a TD on 14 carries. The backup QB has been the leading rusher for the Cardinals all season long as he sits on top of the stat sheet with 408 yards and 4 TDs. The ground game wasn’t perfect for the Cardinals but the RBs looked much better as Jeremy Smith had 74 yards, Colin Wilson had 44 yards, and Hassan Hall racked up 38 yards on 4 carries. The WRs have been unable to get going this season for the Cardinals which can be accredited to their inconsistent QB play but Jaylen Smith put together a nice outing with 3 catches for 56 yards. The defense has been one of the worst in college football as they have been unable to stop anyone. Redshirt sophomore DE Tabarious Peterson had the best game out of any Cardinal defender as he racked up a team-high 8 tackles which adding half a sack to his resume.
How Kentucky Wildcats & Louisville Cardinals Matchup.
Vegas Odds, Offshore Odds, & Odds ATS:
Kentucky is 4-7 ATS, 2-2 ATS on the road.
Louisville is 1-10 ATS, 1-5 ATS at home.
In-Depth Analysis of each team:
Kentucky ranks 110th in the nation in team scoring as they score an average of 22.9 PPG while Louisville ranks 118th as they score an average of 21.7 PPG.
Kentucky ranks 12th in the nation in team defense as they hold opponents to an average of 16.8 PPG while Louisville ranks 128th as they hold opponents to an average of 43 PPG.
Against The Spread Selection: Kentucky Wildcats -16.5
My reason for the pick :
The Kentucky Wildcats are rolling this season under Mark Stoops as they are sitting in the middle of the discussions for a New Years Six Bowl appearance. Louisville on the other hand looks like a pop warner team as they are letting opponents score a ton of points and they are turning the ball over in the process. Kentucky hasn’t been a big offensive unit this season but Louisville has been unable to stop any run game and with Benny Snell on the other team this could be a long day for the Louisville Cardinals. Kentucky has one of the best defenses in college football and they will be amped up to face a freshman or a turnover prone QB. Take the Wildcats to blow out Louisville on the road.
Betting trends for Kentucky Wildcats:
- Kentucky is 4-3 ATS after a win this season.
Betting trends for Louisville Cardinals:
- Louisville is 1-7 ATS as underdogs this season.