Mississippi State Bulldogs (7-4) vs Mississippi Rebels (5-6)Date : 11/22/2018
Time : 7:30 pm EST
Location : Vaught-Hemingway Field, Oxford, Mississippi
Pick, Prediction, & Preview:
Mississippi State Bulldogs vs Mississippi Rebels
The 21st ranked Mississippi State Bulldogs will travel to Vaught-Hemingway Field in Oxford, Mississippi, to battle the Ole Miss Rebels on Thursday night at 7:30 p.m. Eastern Standard Time. The Bulldogs have won three of their last four games with their last win coming at home in a 50-26 route of the Arkansas Razorbacks last Saturday. The defense for the Bulldogs held Arkansas in check as they were only able to garner 219 total yards for the game. On the other hand, the Bulldogs collected 475 yards in total offense with the rushing attack accounting for 287 yards in the win.
On the other hand, the Ole Miss Rebels lost their fourth straight game as they suffered a 36-29 road loss to the Vanderbilt Commodores in their last outing. Jordan Ta’amu threw for 457 yards along with two TD passes for Ole Miss, however, the quarterback would also throw two picks in the game as well. Furthermore, the defense also allowed the Commodores to rush for 197 yards on the day. The Bulldogs are 6-1 against the spread in their last seven meetings in Oxford while the under is 4-1 in their last 5 meetings, overall.
Mississippi State Bulldogs's Latest Performance :
The Bulldogs of Mississippi State have rebounded from a 1-3 start to their SEC campaign in 2018 by winning three of their last four games conference games. And while they are no longer in the conversation for winning the SEC this year, they have won seven games on the year and will certainly look to pick up yet another victory in this outing versus their rival Ole Miss in which two prove themselves deserving of a higher tier Bowl next month. As stated, they certainly did their job in ensuring that the team continues to win in their last outing as they blasted the Arkansas Razorbacks at home by rushing for 287 yards for the game with Nick Fitzgerald having 85 yards and a rushing score on the Senior Day win. On the other hand, Fitzgerald passed for 157 yards along with four TD passes to three different receivers in the win. Aeris Williams led the rushing attack with 104 yards on 15 carries for the day.
The defense for the Mississippi State Bulldogs continue to push opposing offices around as they are ranked in the top 10 in yards allowed per game, total passing yards allowed, as well as total rush yards allowed per game. Combine this with the fact that Mississippi state is only allowing 12.8 points per game in 2018, look for them to come into this game confident that they can shut down an offensive-minded team in Miss on Thursday.
Mississippi Rebels 's Latest Performance :
Ole Miss certainly comes into this match up with a built-in incentive in which to get a victory. They stand at 5-6 on the season and with a win over rival Mississippi State on Thursday, they will become Bowl eligible. Of course, after beginning the season with the record of 5-2, the Rebels have taken a step back in losing their last four games while only winning one conference game in 2018. They do, however, possess and up-and-coming offense with Ta’amu at the helm. Nonetheless, their defense has been so atrocious in 2018 that it has been hard for the offense to consistently pull out victories.
Their matchup with the Commodores was a back-and-forth affair throughout as the Rebels out-gained the Commodores in total yardage for the contest, however, were out-played late in the game as Kyle Shurmur threw two touchdown passes in the second half to lead Vanderbilt to the hard-fought victory. As stated, aside from Ta’amu throwing for 457 yards and two TD passes for Ole Miss, AJ Brown and Demarcus Lodge combined for 329 yards receiving for the day along with a touchdown each. The rushing attack for the Rebels gained 4 yards per carry on a Vanderbilt defense that has had problems defending the run all year.
How Mississippi State Bulldogs & Mississippi Rebels Matchup.
Vegas Odds, Offshore Odds, & Odds ATS:
Mississippi State is 7-4 ATS while the OU is 2-8
Mississippi is 3-8 ATS while the OU is 6-5
In-Depth Analysis of each team:
This game will certainly be an interesting one in that you have, on one hand, a Mississippi team that would like to pick up a victory in this matchup in which to become bowl-eligible. On the other hand, the Mississippi State Bulldogs will like to end the season ranked in the top 25 as well as winning eight games on the year. As stated, this type of ending to the season can certainly allow them possibly participate in a more prominent bowl game soon. Expect this to be a high scoring match up amongst these two rivals as both will be looking to end the season on a strong note.
Against The Spread Selection: Pick: Mississippi State Bulldogs +11
My reason for the pick :
Look for the Mississippi State Bulldogs to control the pace of this game from start to finish as Fitzgerald and Company will certainly provide the Ole Miss defense with a heavy dose of their punishing running attack. With that being the case, I will certainly back the upwards trending Mississippi State Bulldogs versus a Mississippi team that has no semblance of a true defense. And while the Mississippi State defense will certainly neutralize a high-scoring attack for the Rebels, look for the Bulldogs to get some timely and critical scores throughout the match up in which to seal the victory in the end.
Totals Selection: Pick: Over
My reason for the prediction :
I will back the over in this contest as the Mississippi State Bulldogs will certainly find success on the ground versus a shaky defensive front for Ole Miss during this match up. Also, look for Ta’amu and company to also find ways in which to put points on the board versus a tough Mississippi State defensive unit. With that being said, look for the over to be the strong play in this matchup versus teams with huge incentives to pull out a victory in this matchup on Thursday.
Betting trends for Mississippi State Bulldogs:
- Under is 5-0 in Bulldogs last 5 games after allowing less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.
Under is 4-0 in Bulldogs last 4 games after accumulating more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.
Under is 4-0 in Bulldogs last 4 games following a ATS win.
Betting trends for Mississippi Rebels :
- Mississippi Rebels are 0-5 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
Under is 6-1 in Rebels last 7 Thursday games.
Rebels are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games on grass.