Alabama Crimson Tide (12-0) vs Georgia Bulldogs (11-1)Date : 12/01/2018
Time : 4:00 pm EST
Location : Mercedes-Benz Stadium, Atlanta, Georgia
Pick, Prediction, & Preview:
Alabama Crimson Tide vs Georgia Bulldogs
The top-ranked Alabama Crimson Tide will travel to Mercedes-Benz Stadium in Atlanta, Georgia, for an SEC Championship meeting with the fifth-ranked Georgia Bulldogs on Saturday afternoon at 4 p.m. Eastern Standard Time. Both teams disposed of their hated rivals last weekend as the Georgia Bulldogs were 45-21 home winners over the Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets as Georgia took a 38-7 lead at halftime while cruising to victory behind 286 rushing yards for the contest.
On the other hand, the Alabama Crimson Tide where 52 – 21 home winners over the Auburn Tigers as Tua Tagovailoa threw for a five touchdown passes on 324 yards on the night. Of course, in their last meeting, Alabama took the 26-23 win to win the National Championship as an Alabama rally, led by Tagovailoa who threw for three touchdowns in the game, was completed when he threw a 41-yard touchdown pass to Devonta Smith to seal the victory in overtime for the Crimson Tide. The over has been the result in four of the last five games amongst these teams in Georgia.
Alabama Crimson Tide's Latest Performance :
The Alabama Crimson Tide have been dominant the entire season as one knows. In fact, their winning has been a total team effort as both the offense and defense have been huge catalysts in allowing the Crimson Tide to remain in the top spot throughout the season while putting them in a position in which two compete for yet another National Championship. Tua Tagovailoa continues to be very impressive under center as he threw for his second 300-yard game versus Auburn while also throwing for five touchdown passes with a 78% completion percentage for the game. As stated, this is been the norm for the young quarterback as his numbers for the year entail him passing for 36 touchdown passes to only two interceptions.
With that type of production, one could only expect that the receivers would not only benefit, but the rushing attack as well as Damien Harris has racked up 719 yards on the season along with 7 TDs. He ended the game versus Auburn with only 41 yards on seven carries, however, Harris has shown that he can be very dangerous in the open field if given space. Jerry Jeudy continues to impress as well as he put up 77 yards on five receptions versus Auburn along with a score in the match up, which added to his 1000 or more receiving yards on the season along with a total of 11 total touchdowns.
On the other hand, the Crimson Tide defense has also been just as dominant this year as they come into this matchup allowing close to 12 points per game in their last five outings. As stated, much like Georgia, the Crimson Tide come into this game ranked in the top 15 in the country in every major defensive category while being within the top 10 in points allowed per game with 13.5 along with total yards per game (in addition to pass yards allowed per outing as well).
Georgia Bulldogs's Latest Performance :
The Georgia Bulldogs have rebounded nicely from a 36-16 shellacking versus the LSU Tigers midway through this season. Since, the Bulldogs have not only won each of their last five games of the season, but, have won each of those in dominating fashion as the offense has averaged 46 points during their 5 game winning streak while the defense has relegated opponents to averaging just 21 points during this time. Of course, one could look to quarterback Jake Fromm as the catalyst in the Bulldogs ending the season on such a winning note as he has not been overly impressive as it relates to yards per game, but, maintains a 70% or better pass completion percentage during the Bulldogs’ winning streak while also having a touchdown interception ratio of 11 – 1.
Fromm certainly showed and proved versus the Yellow Jackets as he passed for four touchdown passes to three different receivers as Mecole Hardman was the recipient of one of those passes as he led the receiving corps with 44 yards receiving on only one catch. Also, the rushing combination of Elijah Holyfield along with D’Andre Swift combined for 184 yd as each player had a score in the win. The defense, on the other hand, locked down the triple-option attack for Georgia Tech in this matchup as the visitors were only allowed 128 yards on the ground while obtaining only 219 yards total for the game. In all, Georgia is certainly looking forward to this matchup in which to not only atone for their last loss versus Alabama, but, too continue to prove to the country that they wish to begin a strong legacy of their own, much like their counterparts for this weekend.
How Alabama Crimson Tide & Georgia Bulldogs Matchup.
Vegas Odds, Offshore Odds, & Odds ATS:
Alabama is 8 – 4 ATS while he OU is 8 – 4
Georgia is 7 – 5 ATS while the OU is 6 – 5
In-Depth Analysis of each team:
Of course one can only expect this to be one of the more competitive games of the weekend. On one hand, you have a Georgia team that has worked hard all season in which two allow themselves to continue to improve as a team due to a punishing rushing attack and stout defense. On the other hand, Alabama is slowly becoming a multi-dimensional team with their young quarterback under center along with a rushing attack that can also be just as punishing as Georgia’s. With that being the case, look for this to be a hard-hitting, back-and-forth affair to where both teams will battle for much of the game for control of the trenches. In other words, this may indeed be an under affair waiting to happen.
Against The Spread Selection: Pick: Georgia Bulldogs + 13
My reason for the pick :
I happen to believe that 13 points is simply too much to give to Alabama in this instance. Of course, the Crimson Tide have been dominant all season and possesses a solid unit on both sides of the football in 2018; However, the Georgia Bulldogs are outstanding in their own right and boast one of the best rushing attacks in the nation. With that being the case, look for Georgia to show and prove in this contest, once again, versus an Alabama team that could not stop them from rushing last year. In other words, backing the Georgia Bulldogs would indeed be a strong play as they will certainly dial their number once again versus Alabama while possessing the physicality in which to possibly pull off a win versus the number one Tide as well.
Totals Selection: Pick: Under
My reason for the prediction :
Expect Georgia to look to maintain possession of the ball early and often as they will certainly not want the dangerous Alabama Crimson Tide offense to take the field. With that being the case, Georgia will indeed have to take control of the trenches throughout this ball game while utilizing Swift and Holyfield as often as possible in which two have a chance at winning this game. Alabama, on the other hand, will look to neutralize the running game for Georgia and which to allow Fromm to beat them with his arm and legs. As stated, one can expect this to be a very competitive and back and forth affair. In other words, while there will indeed be some points scored in this game, look for both defenses to really answer the bill in an all-important SEC Championship game to where the playoffs will be at stake.
Betting trends for Alabama Crimson Tide:
- Crimson Tide are 4-0 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
Over is 6-0 in Crimson Tide last 6 games after allowing less than 170 yards passing in their previous game.
Crimson Tide are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 conference games.
Betting trends for Georgia Bulldogs:
- Georgia Bulldogs are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 neutral site games.
Bulldogs are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games in December.
Bulldogs are 4-0 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.