Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin Cajuns (7-5) vs Appalachian State Mountaineers (9-2)Date : 12/01/2018
Time : 12:00 pm EST
Location : Kidd Brewer Stadium, Boone, North Carolina
Pick, Prediction, & Preview:
Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin Cajuns vs Appalachian State Mountaineers
The Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin Cajuns will travel to Kidd Brewer Stadium in Boone, North Carolina, to battle the Appalachian State Mountaineers for the Sun Belt Championship on Saturday afternoon at 12 p.m. Eastern Standard Time. The Ragin Cajuns won their last three games of the season which gave them the momentum and confidence in which two finish the season strong. In their last outing on the road versus Louisiana-Monroe, the Ragin Cajuns not only outgained the War Hawks for the game by a 453 – 344 margin, but, averaged nine yards rushing on the day as their rushing attack racked up 243 yards on a horrible defensive front for Louisiana Monroe.
On the other hand, the Appalachian State Mountaineers also ended the season on a winning note in picking up wins in their last four games with the last being a huge 21-10 home win over Troy as The Mountaineers went into the half with a 21-3 lead while allowing just a touchdown in the second half en route to a victory which allowed them to play for the championship. Zac Thomas threw for two touchdown passes for the Mountaineers in the win while Darrynton Evans rushed for 108 yards in the win as well. The Mountaineers picked up the win in the last outing amongst these teams on October 20th 2018 in a 27-17 home victory yet the Raging Cajuns covered as 24.5 point underdogs for the contest. The under has been the play in four of the last 5 meetings amongst these teams while the road team is 4 – 1 ATS in the last 5 meetings as well
Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin Cajuns's Latest Performance :
The Ragin Cajuns began the season at 1-4 on the season. After winning two straight games, the Raging Cajuns regressed once again in losing two of their next three games before going on a 3 game winning streak to end the season. As one can certainly see, Louisiana-Lafayette has had to go through their fair share of ups and downs on both ends of the ball in 2018. And while they continue to have their fair share of issues on the defensive side of the ball, their offense has certainly been their saving grace as they are averaging 448 total yards per game while putting up over 230 yards on the ground per outing. Also, the passing attack for the Ragin Cajuns are also ranked 77th in the nation as Andrew Nunez has thrown for over 2000 yards this season after a three touchdown along with one interception effort versus the Warhawks of Louisiana-Monroe.
Louisiana Lafayette continues to possess a solid rushing game as they put up 230 yards on the ground while being led by Trey Ragas who finished the game with 115 yards on 23 carries. Ryheem Malone led the team with 91 yards receiving on nine catches along with a huge score in the match up for Louisiana-Lafayette as Nunez threw three touchdown passes to three different receivers on the night for a passing attack that averages 218 yards per game. The defense on the other hand, caused two turnovers on the night while holding the War Hawks to only 344 yards on the ground total for the game.
Appalachian State Mountaineers's Latest Performance :
Aside from losses to the Penn State Nittany Lions in week 1 of the season along with a loss to the Eagles of Georgia Southern towards the middle of the year, the Appalachian State Mountaineers have certainly been solid in 2018 Their offense is ranked 40th in the nation in total points per game with a tad under 450 yards, however, their running game has been their bread and butter as they are ranked 14th in the nation, overall. Darrynton Evans has posted 100 or more yards in his last two outings as he was the leading rusher for Appalachian State in their last outing versus Troy with 188 total while Zach Thomas has also been consistent under center all season as he has stepped up his game quite a bit in having a touchdown / interception ratio of 7 / 0 in his last three starts. And while Thomas only threw for 130 yards in his last outing versus the Troy Trojans, he found Corey Sutton for two touchdown passes on the night. In fact, the 21 points they scored versus the Trojans was their lowest output in their last four outings as they came into their finale with Troy averaging 35 points per game in their last three outings.
The defense for the Mountaineers have also been potent as they are ranked in the top 25 in every major defensive category, particularly in total yards allowed per game along with pass yards allowed, as they are ranked 4th in the nation in these areas. In fact, the Mountaineers defense has not allowed more than 20 points per game to either opponent aside from Georgia Southern and Penn State, both losses. They enter this matchup allowing only 13 points per game to their opponent during their current four-game winning streak. With that being the case, look for the Mountaineers to continue their solid play on both sides of the ball versus the Louisiana-Lafayette team that continues to gain confidence in themselves after beginning the season on a very shaky note.
How Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin Cajuns & Appalachian State Mountaineers Matchup.
Vegas Odds, Offshore Odds, & Odds ATS:
Louisiana-lafayette is8 – 4 ATS while the OU is 7-5
Appalachian State is8 – 3 ATS while the OU is 6 – 5
In-Depth Analysis of each team:
This will certainly be an interesting matchup between two teams that have certainly earned the right to play for the Sun Belt Championship. On one hand, The Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin Cajuns have had to battle a bevy of issues and concerns throughout the season in which to finish the Sun Belt schedule on a strong note thus allowing them to play for the championship. The Appalachian State Mountaineers are a perennial powerhouse within the Sun Belt and have powered through a grueling conference schedule in which to claim the top spot and earn an opportunity to play for yet another Championship on Saturday afternoon. Look for both teams to come out with intensity and focus throughout as the Ragin Cajuns will certainly be playing with house money.
Against The Spread Selection: Pick: Appalachian State Mountaineers -17.5
My reason for the pick :
Appalachian State has not only dominated the Cajuns in the past but, the Mountaineers are simply a better team all-around as they will illustrate this versus a motivated yet slightly undermanned Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin Cajun Squad. As stated, the Appalachian State Mountaineers possess talent and experience on both sides of the ball in 2018 and will certainly look to establish themselves within the trenches in which to either kick start their running game early on in the contest, or, prevent Louisiana-Lafayette from utilizing their dangerous rushing attack. In all, the Mountaineers will certainly begin to pull away at some point in this matchup as the Ragin Cajuns will soon find out that the defense for the Mountaineers is truly more skilled than they may have thought.
Totals Selection: Pick: Under
My reason for the prediction :
The under has been to play in three of the last four games for each of these teams. Also, combine this with the fact that both defenses have been solid during their home stretch to end the season, the under is certainly the solid play in this matchup and one that I will certainly back in the end. In all, look for the Mountaineers to put some points on the board while the Ragin Cajuns will also take advantage of a few opportunities early on; However, the score will not go above it set limit for this match up as defense will certainly be the the name of the game on this day. Expect a low-scoring and competitive contest for much of the game.
Betting trends for Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin Cajuns:
- Ragin’ Cajuns are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games after accumulating more than 450 total yards in their previous game.
Under is 6-1 in Ragin’ Cajuns last 7 games in December.
Ragin’ Cajuns are 4-1 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
Betting trends for Appalachian State Mountaineers:
- Appalachian State Mountaineers are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games after allowing less than 275 total yards in their previous game.
Mountaineers are 7-0 ATS in their last 7 games after allowing less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.
Over is 4-1 in Mountaineers last 5 games after allowing less than 275 total yards in their previous game.