Northwestern Wildcats (8-4) vs Ohio State Buckeyes (11-1)Date : 12/01/2018
Time : 8:00 pm EST
Location : Lucas Oil Stadium, Indianapolis, Indiana
Pick, Prediction, & Preview:
Northwestern Wildcats vs Ohio State Buckeyes
The Northwestern Wildcats will travel to Lucas Oil Stadium in Indianapolis, Indiana, to face the Ohio State Buckeyes in the Big Ten Championship on Saturday night at 8 p.m. Eastern Standard Time. The Wildcats come in as winners of the Big Ten West Division after defeating the Illinois Fighting Illini in their season finale by a 24-16 score at home as they went into halftime with a 24-6 lead while cruising to victory in the second half, despite going scoreless during this time. The rushing attack for Northwestern collected 265 yards on the day led by Isaiah Bowser with 166 yards rushing in the victory. Clayton Thorson only threw for 110 yards in the game yet having two TD tosses in the matchup to two different receivers.
On the other hand, the Buckeyes not only atoned for a slim, one-point victory over the Maryland Terrapins last weekend, but, they did so in dominating fashion over their arch rival, the Michigan Wolverines, in their last outing as they picked up the huge, 62-39 home win last weekend as they limited a dangerous offensive attack for the Wolverines to only 400 total yards of offense for the night, yet Shea Patterson continued to have a decent outing with three touchdown passes on 287 yards passing on the day. These teams met on October 29, 2016, as the Buckeyes picked up the four-point home win with the Wildcats covering as 25.5 point road underdogs in the matchup. In all, the Wildcats have only covered the spread once in their last six meetings versus the Ohio State Buckeyes.
Northwestern Wildcats's Latest Performance :
This may certainly prove to be a benefit for the Northwestern Wildcats as they will certainly seek to crank up their 63rd ranked passing attack early and often versus a shaky pass defense for the Ohio State Buckeyes. And while Thorson was not overly effective in terms of total passing yards in his last outing, he did, however, threw two touchdown passes in an all-important win over the fFghting Illini last weekend. Thorson has thrown for over 2,600 yards in 2018 yet has a touchdown interception ratio of 14 – 12 for the season.
The Wildcats have not been able to get their rushing attack on track this year as well as they are ranked 115 in the nation as they will be up against an Ohio State defense that is ranked 64th in the nation in stopping the run, altogether. In all, it will not be easy for Northwestern to go into Lucas Oil Stadium in which to pick up a win versus the Buckeyes this weekend; However, if they are able to get a bit more out of their rushing attack, they may allow enough pressure to stay off Thorson in which to allow him to find some opportunities downfield versus, and stated, an inconsistent Ohio State pass secondary.
Ohio State Buckeyes's Latest Performance :
There is no telling how far the Ohio State Buckeyes can go this year, particularly after a huge win versus their rival Michigan in their season finale last weekend. Dwayne Haskins was a huge catalyst for the win as he threw for five touchdown passes on the night on 318 yards passing for the game. On the other hand, the rushing attack was also clicking on all cylinders as Ohio State finish the game with 154 yards on the ground led by Mike Weber with 78 yards along with a TD in the victory. Parris Campbell led the receiving corps with 178 yards along with the score in the match up as well as the Buckeyes were able to beat Michigan in essentially within every area.
And while they have not played the Wildcats in quite some time, the Buckeye defense will certainly look to bottle up a rushing attack for the Wildcats this weekend while allowing Clayton Thorson, who has been inconsistent for the majority of the season, to beat them with his arm. Nonetheless, Ohio State has certainly given up more than enough big plays in 2018 and are currently allowing pass offenses a bit more leeway throughout there contests this season than ever before.
How Northwestern Wildcats & Ohio State Buckeyes Matchup.
Vegas Odds, Offshore Odds, & Odds ATS:
Northwestern is 6 – 4 – 2 ATS while the OU is 5 – 7
Ohio State is 5 – 7 ATS while the OU is 6 – 6
In-Depth Analysis of each team:
This will certainly be a great match up as the Northwestern Wildcats seek to gain even more confidence by picking up a win over a solid Ohio State Buckeyes team in the Big Ten Championship game on Saturday night. As stated, look for the Wildcats to attempt to get their rushing game started as to take pressure off Thorson and the passing attack throughout the game. The only problem with that is that the Ohio State Buckeyes will also certainly want to control the trenches in which to take away the running game from Northwestern throughout the course of this game. In all, look for a very competitive matchup in this contest as both teams will go back and forth throughout the duration of this game in attempting to gain an advantage upfront.
Against The Spread Selection: Pick: Ohio State Buckeyes - 14
My reason for the pick :
I will back to the Ohio State Buckeyes in this matchup as the Wildcats have indeed won games in 2018, however, have continued to play in an inconsistent manner all season. Of course, the Buckeyes have also been a bit inconsistent this year as well, yet seem to put it all together versus a solid Michigan Wolverines team in their last outing. This, in my opinion, will do wonders for the psyche of an Ohio State team moving forward as they will certainly take control of this game early and often. I expect a blowout victory in the end as the Buckeyes will most certainly take their spot within college football’s top four teams as a result.
Totals Selection: Pick: Under
My reason for the prediction :
I will back the under in this match up as Northwestern prides himself on having a solid defense. In fact, the Wildcats have only allowed teams to average only 16 points in their last six games to end the season. With that being the case, look for them to certainly cause concerns for a Buckeyes offense that is highly ranked in the nation in 2018. On the other hand, Ohio State will already be coming in with major confidence due to their dominating win over Michigan last weekend. In all, expect them to also have a solid night defending Thorson and company of the Wildcats. The under is indeed the strong play in this matchup on Saturday.
Betting trends for Northwestern Wildcats:
- Wildcats are 4-0-1 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
Wildcats are 4-0-1 ATS in their last 5 games after accumulating less than 170 yards passing in their previous game.
Under is 5-0 in Wildcats last 5 conference games.
Betting trends for Ohio State Buckeyes:
- Buckeyes are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games following a straight up win of more than 20 points.
Buckeyes are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games after accumulating more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.
Buckeyes are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games after accumulating more than 280 yards passing in their previous game.