Texas Longhorns (9-3) vs Oklahoma Sooners (11-1)Date : 12/01/2018
Time : 12:00 pm EST
Location : AT&T Stadium, Irving, Texas
Pick, Prediction, & Preview:
Texas Longhorns vs Oklahoma Sooners
The 14th ranked Texas Longhorns will take on the 6th ranked Oklahoma Sooners in the Big 12 Championship to be held at AT&T Stadium in Irving, Texas, on Saturday afternoon at 12 p.m. Eastern Standard Time. The Longhorns come into this matchup winners of their last three games with their last being a 24-17 road win over the Kansas Jayhawks on November 23rd as the they fought off a late, 17 point rally from the Jayhawks in which to pull out the touchdown victory. Sam Ehlinger threw for two touchdowns in the win for the Longhorns while providing a spark for the road team throughout the contest, despite throwing 2 interceptions in the matchup.
On the other hand, the Oklahoma Sooners won their 6th straight game by edging the West Virginia Mountaineers on the road by a 59 – 56 final in what was a high-scoring game from the start as both teams racked up near 700 yards of total offense each while Oklahoma withstood a 500-yard passing night by Will Grier by rushing for 308 yards on the ground en route to a huge victory. The Longhorns are undefeated against the spread in the last six meetings with Oklahoma.
Texas Longhorns's Latest Performance :
The Texas Longhorns hit a rough patch earlier in the season in losing two straight to Oklahoma State as well as to West Virginia. Nonetheless, the Longhorns have rebounded nicely as they have won 3 straight games where they needed to grind out a close win in two of three of those contests. In other words, aside from a quality win at home versus a tough Iowa State Cyclones team, the Longhorns beat both Texas Tech and Kansas by 7 points as they really needed to hunker down on both sides of the ball late in which to pick up a much-needed victory. In their matchup versus the Jayhawks on Saturday, the Longhorns were up by a comfortable 21 – nothing lead when the Jayhawks scored 17 unanswered points in which to make the game interesting. However, Cameron Dicker tacked on a field goal for Texas in the fourth quarter which gave them a bit of a cushion while allowing them to seal the victory over a Kansas team attempting to become Bowl eligible with the win.
As stated, Sam Ehlinger led the Longhorns with two TD passes on the night on 154 yards, yet, also threw 2 interceptions in the matchup. The Longhorns averaged 3.9 yards rushing per carry as they were led by Tre Watson with 79 yards on 14 carries for the game. Again, Ehlinger was the reason for two huge turnovers in the matchup, however, came out of the gate in the first quarter to throw two touchdown passes which essentially allowed the Longhorns to pull out a hard-fought victory on the road. This is been Texas’s mantra for the season: Moving the football on the ground while setting up the pass in addition to playing tough, physical defense throughout the game in which to keep the contest close. This philosophy has certainly worked out for Tom Herman and the Longhorns as they will seek to exact a bit of revenge on the Oklahoma Sooners for a 48-45 loss earlier.
Oklahoma Sooners's Latest Performance :
The Oklahoma Sooners have really ripped through their competition in 2018. And while they have had some close games to begin the season with Iowa State and from the likes of Army, for example, the Sooners have righted themselves nicely despite their last loss coming versus the Longhorns in October. In other words, Oklahoma has truly dominated their opponents since their loss in the Red River Rivalry as Kyler Murray has thrown for 300 yards or more in four of his last five games with his last game versus the Mountaineers being a 364 yard night along with three touchdowns and a pick in the win. Murray also rushed for 114 yards and a score on 9 carries on the night as the rushing attack racked up 308 yards for the game with Kennedy Brooks leading the way with 182 yards on the night along with a touchdown. Marquise Brown led the receiving corps for the Sooners with 282 yards and two touchdown passes from Murray in the contest as the Sooners were able to finish a 2018 regular season on a strong note by beating a highly-ranked West Virginia squad on the road.
And while the offense for Oklahoma is ranked in the top 10 in every major offensive category in the nation, their defense allows close to 450 yards per game along with 300 yards in the air while giving up an average of 40 points to their opponents in their last five games. Nonetheless, with the way in which the offense has played for Oklahoma, the Sooners possess the talent and know how in which to outscore their opponents in 2018. They will certainly get a workout from a Texas team not only looking for revenge for their loss earlier in the season to the Sooners, but, they will also be looking to continue to show pride on the defensive end as they are allowing opponents to score only an average of 17 points per game and their last three outings leading up to this matchup.
How Texas Longhorns & Oklahoma Sooners Matchup.
Vegas Odds, Offshore Odds, & Odds ATS:
Texas is 5 – 6 – 1 ATS while the OU is 6-6
Oklahoma is 4 – 7 – 1 ATS while the OU is 11 – 1
In-Depth Analysis of each team:
This will certainly be an interesting and exciting matchup as you have Kyler Murray, who has been on fire lately, verses and up-and-coming quarterback in Sam Ehlinger, that has also been consistent under center this season, facing off for the Big 12 Championship at AT&T stadium in Irving, Texas, on Saturday afternoon. One does not need to reiterate how outstanding the Oklahoma offense is, however, the Texas defense is also just as outstanding in allowing less than 400 yards total per game to their opponents while being ranked 35th in the nation in stopping the run. Unfortunately, the Longhorns have a tendency to give up big plays in the passing game, which could certainly benefit Murray and Oklahoma. On the other hand, Oklahoma also struggled in their pass defense as well as Ehlinger and company may certainly have their fair share of opportunities to move the ball in this contest.
Against The Spread Selection: Pick: Texas Longhorns +7.5
My reason for the pick :
While the Longhorns certainly have a bit of a revenge factor going for this game, the Sooners have matured into an offensive jaggernaut this year. As stated, they had had some scares early on in the season versus teams that they should have manhandled; Yet, the Sooners have scored 50 or more points in five of their last six games to end the season and will certainly look to test a Longhorns past secondary that can indeed be shaky, at times. And while the defense for Oklahoma has not been the most effective this year, look for them to come up with critical stops at pivotal points in the game on Saturday and which to pick up yet another slim victory over a resilient Texas Squad that will continue to battle until the last second in this contest.
Totals Selection: Pick: Over
My reason for the prediction :
I will pick the over in this matchup as I see both teams pulling out all the stops in which to pick up a hard-fought victory in this matchup. As stated, look for Oklahoma to certainly test the pass defense for Texas in which to pick up some early momentum. On the other hand, the Longhorns will also look to challenge an Oklahoma defense that has certainly given up its fair share of points to its opponents as well. In all, look for the over to be the strong play in this contest as a scoreboard will light up often throughout the game due to both offenses having solid performances versus two defenses that have a tendency to give up the big play a bit too often.
Betting trends for Texas Longhorns:
- Under is 5-0 in Longhorns last 5 games in December.
Over is 4-0 in Longhorns last 4 games following a ATS loss.
Longhorns are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 neutral site games.
Betting trends for Oklahoma Sooners:
- Sooners are 0-3-1 ATS in their last 4 games following a straight up win.
Over is 4-0 in Sooners last 4 games after allowing more than 40 points in their previous game.
Sooners are 0-3-1 ATS in their last 4 games after scoring more than 40 points in their previous game.