Navy Midshipman (3-9) vs Army Black Knights (9-2)Date : 12/08/2018
Time : 3:00 pm EST
Location : Michie Stadium, West Point, New York
Pick, Prediction, & Preview:
Navy Midshipman vs Army Black Knights
The Navy midshipmen will travel to Michie stadium in West Point, New York, to battle a solid Army Black Knights team, that will be looking to end the season on a outstanding note by winning 10 games, at 3 p.m. Eastern Standard Time. The Midshipmen have lost eight of their last nine games and could not maintain the momentum from a home win versus the Tulsa Golden Hurricane as they fell to the Tulane Green Wave on the road by a 29-28 score. Navy had to rally in the second half as they outscored the Green Wave 28- 8 in the second half after being down 18 points at halftime to take a touchdown lead with only 3:44 remaining in the game due to a touchdown by Tazh Maloy. Unfortunately, the Green Wave put a drive together to end the game as Justin McMillan found Jaetavian Toles for a 26-yard touchdown pass to seal the victory for Tulane as the two-point conversion was successful.
On the other hand, the Army Black Knights won their 7th straight contest as they picked up a 28-14 home win over the Colgate Red Raiders last weekend ss Darnell Woolfork led the Black Knights in rushing with 89 yards along with three touchdowns in the win while Kelvin Hopkins Jr also ran for a score in the game. Army picked up the 14-13 road win over Navy in last year’s matchup while the Midshipmen are winless against the spread in their last four meetings at Michie Stadium. In addition to this, the under is 8-0 in the last 8 meetings in West Point amongst these two teams.
Navy Midshipman's Latest Performance :
Navy has had a rough go of it in 2018, primarily due to their problems on the offensive end. And while they continue to average 27 points per game, the Midshipmen racked up only 117 yards on the ground versus Tulane in their last outing while it’s passing attack with Zack Abey Finished with 208 yards in the game as the passing attack average 12.8 yards per catch. Michael Perry led the receiving corps with one reception for 73 yards and a touchdown while Ryan Mitchell also added 53 yards on 2 catches for the Midshipmen. On the other hand, the rushing attack was led by Anthony Gargiulo with 44 yards on 12 carries in the deflating loss for Navy.
The defense for Navy allowed the Green Wave to put up 402 yards total in the game as McMillan threw three touchdown passes on 291 yards while also allowing 129 yards rushing to Tulane as well. In all, Navy is allowing opponents to score 35 points per game in 2018 and with their offense sputtering the way it has, it has been nearly impossible for them to win on a consistent basis this year. Nonetheless, they will certainly bring the focus in this matchup as they will look to end the season on a positive, winning note over a solid team in the Black Knights.
Army Black Knights's Latest Performance :
The Black Knights continue to be solid on both sides of the ball in 2018 and have had an outstanding college football season, thus far. They will certainly like to end the season on a winning note versus their rival, the Navy Midshipmen, on Saturday afternoon. Their defense will certainly do its part as Army’s unit is allowing teams to average a total of 18 points per game while being ranked 11th in the nation in total yards allowed per game with a tad over 300.
Darnell Woolfork work leads to team in rushing with 823 yards for the season along with 14 touchdowns and has scored at least one touchdown in his last seven games, overall. In fact, Woolfork rush for three touchdowns in his last outing versus Colgate as he finished with 89 yards on 23 carries. As stated, quarterback Kelvin Hopkins also ran for 90 yards while also scoring a touchdown in the matchup as well.
On the other hand, Army’s defense gave up 188 yards on the ground to Colgate in this matchup, a huge difference in the 106 yards that they are allowing teams to put up per game for the season. Nonetheless, they will now battle a Navy Midshipmen offense that has struggled with consistency as it relates to the triple option offense this year, yet, comes into the game ranked third in the nation in rushing yards per game with 289 / outing. In other words, Army may certainly want to shore up defensive deficiencies in which to prepare for a dangerous Navy team that will certainly be focused on not only get a win over their rival, but, also ending the season on a strong note.
How Navy Midshipman & Army Black Knights Matchup.
Vegas Odds, Offshore Odds, & Odds ATS:
Army is 6 – 4 – 1 ATS while the OU is 6 – 5
Navy is 4 – 8 ATS while the OU is 7 – 5
In-Depth Analysis of each team:
This will be yet another classic game versus these two service academies as Army will look to carry their momentum from the season as well as from a slim victory over the Midshipmen in last year’s matchup in which to pick up a victory on Saturday afternoon. As stated, the Navy offense has been inconsistent this year, thus explaining there less than stellar record in 2018; however, the Black Knights are winners of seven straight games and will certainly be looking to play in a higher tier bowl soon. With that being the case, look for both teams to come out focus as each will certainly have incentive to come out with intensity in this contest in which to pick up a victory.
Against The Spread Selection: Pick: Army Black Knights -7
My reason for the pick :
I will back the Army Black Knights in this matchup as their defense has been just as stellar as the offense in 2018 as they rank in the higher tier of teams in every major defensive category. Navy, on the other hand, continues to possess one of the most dangerous triple-option attacks in the nation, however, they simply not been able to run this type of offense with consistency throughout the year. It is for this reason that I expect Army to put some points on the board while relying on their defense to neutralize the Navy triple-option attack throughout the course of the game. This, of course, will certainly allow them to pull out a victory while also covering the spread in the meantime.
Totals Selection: Pick: Under 41.5
My reason for the prediction :
The under has been the play in the past few meetings amongst these teams and I expect these trends to continue on Saturday afternoon. As stated, Army has one of the best defenses in the nation in 2018 and will control the line of scrimmage versus a Navy team that has not been as physical as in recent years as it relates to the triple option as well as defending the rush. On the other hand, the home team will put some points up early in this matchup and while Navy will make a game of it during this time, they will fall behind late in the game while the Army defense will show and prove in getting the home victory in the end.
Betting trends for Navy Midshipman:
- Midshipmen are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 non-conference games.
Under is 5-1 in Midshipmen last 6 vs. INDEP.
Midshipmen are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games on grass.
Betting trends for Army Black Knights:
- Black Knights are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games following a bye week.
Over is 11-1 in Black Knights last 12 games after allowing less than 170 yards passing in their previous game.
Black Knights are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games in December.