North Texas Mean Green (9-3) vs Utah State Aggies (10-2)Date : 12/15/2018
Time : 2:00 PM
Location : Dreamstyle Stadium
Pick, Prediction, & Preview:
North Texas Mean Green vs Utah State Aggies
The Utah State Aggies and North Texas Mean Green will kickoff bowl season as they meet in the New Mexico Bowl at Dreamstyle Stadium, the opening kickoff is slated for 2:00 PM. The Aggies are playing in their 7th bowl game over the last 8 years while North Texas is playing in their 3rd consecutive bowl game.
North Texas Mean Green's Latest Performance :
The North Texas Mean Green were able to make the Conference USA championship back in 2017 but they were unable to match expectations this year as they went 5-3 in conference play. North Texas is coming into this game with a 2 game win streak with their recent win coming against UTSA on the road, 24-21. Junior QB Mason Fine had a solid outing in this game as he was able to throw for 320 yards, 2 TDs, and 1 interception, Fine ended the regular season with 3734 yards, 27 TDs, and 5 interceptions. Another huge reason for the Mean Green success this season has been their strong ground game to supplement Fine. Sophomore RB DeAndre Torrey was able to rush for 155 yards and a TD against UTSA which gives him 942 yards and 14 TDs on the season. Fine was able to connect with 11 different WRs against UTSA with redshirt junior Jalen Guyton leading the way. Guyton was able to bring down 5 catches for a total of 78 yards which gives him 702 yards on the season. Leading WR Rico Bussey only racked up 2 catches for 27 yards but there is a bigger concern as he left the game with an injury and is listed as questionable for the bowl game. The defense had enough in the tank to stop UTSA despite a late surge from an upset-minded team. Redshirt senior E.J. Ejiya led the way for the Mean Green defense as he recorded 11 tackles and 2 sacks while Kemon Hall recorded his 5th interception of the season.
Utah State Aggies 's Latest Performance :
The Utah State Aggies had their chance to make the Mountain West conference championship game with a win over Boise State to finish the season but they fell on the road 33-24. The Utah State Aggies are led by QB Jordan Love who has been one of the best QBs in the group of 5 conferences and their outing against Boise State was no different. Love was able to throw for 363 yards 3 TDs, and only 1 interception which gives the sophomore 3208 yards, 28 TDs, and 5 interceptions entering the postseason. The ground game has been strong all season but the Boise State Broncos made the emphasis to shut down that portion of the high powered offense. Darwin Thompson enters the postseason as the leading rusher with 951 yards and 14 TDs but he was unable to hit the 1000-yard mark which may be due to him being held to only 61 yards on 11 carries. Gerold Bright is another bright spot for the ground game of the Aggies as he enters the postseason with 785 yards and 8 TDs. Bright was unable to get much going on the ground for the Aggies with only 8 yards rushing but he did record a catch that went for 83 yards and a TD. The defense was unable to make the necessary stops to pull this game out on the road despite a good effort all year long. Chase Christiansen had a big outing as he was able to record 15 tackles while leading tackler David Woodward contributed 11 himself to end the regular season with 124 tackles.
How North Texas Mean Green & Utah State Aggies Matchup.
Vegas Odds, Offshore Odds, & Odds ATS:
North Texas is 4-8 ATS
Utah State is 9-3 ATS
In-Depth Analysis of each team:
Utah State ranks 3rd in the nation in team scoring as they score an average of 47.2 PPG while North Texas ranks 21st as they score an average of 36.4 PPG.
North Texas ranks 31st in the nation in team defense as they hold opponents to an average of 21.8 PPG while Utah State ranks 38th as they hold opponents to an average of 23 PPG.
Against The Spread Selection: North Texas Mean Green +9
My reason for the pick :
This should be a fun matchup to start of bowl season as we have two high-powered offenses going up against pretty solid defenses which is why I will take the points in this matchup. Both QBs are two of the better ones in the group of 5 conferences but Mason Fine has put up better numbers in his 3 years at the helm for UNT. I will be interested to see if Bussey will suit up in this matchup but with a month of preparation, the 1000-yard WR should be good to go. The defense for North Texas is slightly better and with Utah State dealing with a coaching change I don’t think their mind is completely in the game. If Bussey plays North Texas has a good chance of winning outright but even if he can’t suit up I will still back this two-score spread with a really solid Mean Green team.
Betting trends for North Texas Mean Green:
- North Texas is 3-5 ATS after a win this season.
Betting trends for Utah State Aggies :
- Utah State is 4-0 ATS against teams outside the Mountain West conference.