Miami Dolphins (0-3) vs Atlanta Falcons (0-3)Date : 08/30/2018
Time : 7:00 pm EST
Location : Mercedes-Benz Stadium, Atlanta, Georgia
Pick, Prediction, & Preview:
Miami Dolphins vs Atlanta Falcons
The Miami Dolphins will travel to Mercedes-Benz Stadium in Atlanta, Georgia, to take on the Atlanta Falcons for a preseason week 4 matchup beginning at 7 pm EST. Both teams are currently winless for the preseason with the Dolphins being blown out by a 27-10 score by the Baltimore Raves on 8-25-2018 as the Ravens would cash in on the spread as underdogs (+2.5) while the under was the play with the total being set at 41 points for the game. The Falcons, on the other hand, would go down by a 17-6 score at the hands of the Jacksonville Jags on the road on 8-25-2018 as the Jags would cash in on the spread (-4) while the under was the play with the total being set at 38 points for the game. The last meeting between these two squads would be on 10-15-2017 as the Dolphins would pick up the 20-17 road win to where they would cash in as 14-point under dogs while the under was the play at 46 points. Prior to this, Miami would pick up the 27-23 win on 9-22-2013 as they would cover the spread (-3) while the over was the play in this contest as the total was set at 45.5 for the game.
Miami Dolphins's Latest Performance :
The Dolphins would go up 10-3 at the half against the Ravens, but, would get outscored 24-0 in the second have on their way to dropping their 3rd preseason matchup on 8-25-2018. The Dolphins only picked up 11 first downs as they would rush for 63 total yards while passing for 158 for the night. They would also go 1 for 3 inside the red zone while holding the ball for 22:30 minutes of the game. Ryan Tannihill would go 11 of 16 for the night with 115 yards along with a TD while David Falas would also receive some snaps under center as he would go 5 of 10 for 63 yards and a pick. Brock Osweiler would also go 5 of 7 for 23 yards and a pick in the loss. The rushing attack was paced by Kenyon Drake (4 rush, 32 yds) and Senorise Perry (3 rush, 27 yds) while Rashawn Scott and Kenyon Drake would each have a catch in this game for a combined 74 yards. Kenny Stills would catch 3 for 28 yards and Danny Amendola would have 2 catches for 23 yards and a TD in the loss.
The Dolphins D would allow the Ravens 24 first downs on the night on 223 yards rushing along with 203 passing yards on the night. They would, however, limit them to going 1 of 3 inside the red zone while allowing them to hold the ball for 37:30 minutes. Robert Quinn and Jordan Philips would each have a sack for Miami while Vincent Taylor and Maurice Smith would have .5 sacks for the game. Kiko Alonso would lead the team with 5 tackles while Reshad Jones and T.J. McDonald would each have 4 stops for the Dolphins.
Atlanta Falcons's Latest Performance :
Atlanta would be blanked in the second half while scoring only 6 points from 2 FG’s by Matt Bryant in the first en route to a 17-6 road loss on 8-25-2018. They were limited to 14 first downs with 191 yards passing along with only 70 yards on the ground. Kurt Benkurt would go 6 for 14 with 89 yards in the contest while Matt Shaub would go 4 of 7 for 65 yards. Matt Ryan would also go 5 of 12 for 57 yards in the loss. Tevin Coleman would pace the rushing attack with 7 carries for 48 yards while Malik Williams would have 3 carries for 12 yards for the Falcons. Eric Saubert and Dontez Bird would each have a catch for a combined 85 yards in the loss while Mohamed Sanu would have 2 catches for 36 yards on the night. The offense would go 0 for 2 inside the red zone for the night while maintaining possession for 24:48 minutes, total.
The D would give up 22 first downs to the Jags with 147 rushing yards along with 259 passing yards, total. Keanu Neal and Blidi Wreh Wilson would each have a pick in the loss for Atlanta while Justin Zimmer (1.5), Richard Jarvis (1), Jack Crawford (1), Grady Jarret (1), and Jonathan Celestine (.5) would each have a sack on the night. Ryan Neil and Demontae Kazee would each lead the defense in tackles with 5 each on the night. Finally, the Jags were only 1 of 3 inside the red zone while they would possess the ball for 35:12 minutes.
How Miami Dolphins & Atlanta Falcons Matchup.
Vegas Odds, Offshore Odds, & Odds ATS:
In-Depth Analysis of each team:
While both teams have struggled throughout the preseason, as stated, they will both be looking to end on a positive note before they head into a grueling regular season. It will be interesting to see exactly how many snaps Ryan and the rest of the starters for the Falcons will get in this game. Also, it would be worth seeing how long the Dolphins will play their starters as well with the actual goal being to get through this game without any major injuries. In all, one could expect anything from two teams looking to not end the preseason winless.
Against The Spread Selection: Pick: Atlanta -2.5
My reason for the pick :
This game could go either way, nonetheless, I will put my money on the Falcons to cover this small spread at home over the Dolphins on Thursday night. They should be able to put together some winning drives that will provide them a small cushion in which to cruise for the remainder of the game. The Dolphins will not score much on offense as they have been anemic thus far. In all, I will take the Falcons and hope they do not let me down.
Totals Selection: Pick: Under 36.5
My reason for the prediction :
I will ride the under in this contest in that both teams have not had a very productive preseason, from mainly an offensive standpoint. Atlanta does indeed have weapons for days; however, it is unknown as to how long and how often they will utilize these individuals. Also, the Dolphins also have some weapons, yet, they may also choose to rest their starters as well, thus leaving inexperienced talent on the field for much of the game. In all, I will back the under due to the unknown of how long starters will play.
Betting trends for Miami Dolphins:
- Dolphins are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 road games
- Under is 8-1-1 in Dolphins last 10 Thursday games
- Over is 4-1 in Dolphins last 5 road games.
Betting trends for Atlanta Falcons:
- Under is 7-0 in Falcons last 7 games overall
- Falcons are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 Thursday games
- Under is 6-1 in Falcons last 7 home games