Minnesota Vikings (1-0) vs Green Bay Packers (1-0)Date : 09/16/2018
Time : 1:00 pm EST
Location : Lambeau Field, Green Bay, Wisconsin
Pick, Prediction, & Preview:
Minnesota Vikings vs Green Bay Packers
The Minnesota Vikings will travel to Lambeau Field in Green Bay, Wisconsin, for an NFC Central matchup versus their rival Green Bay Packers in week two NFL action on Sunday afternoon beginning at 1 pm EST. These two teams are very familiar with each other with the Vikings winning the last two matchups by a combined score of 39-10 while covering the spread in each contest. In fact, the Vikings have covered the spread in 4 of the last 5 matchups, altogether, while the under was the play in 4 of the last 5 games, also. It would be important to add that Minnesota would win 4 of the last 5 games outright versus Green Bay. Nonetheless, the Packers will be ready for the challenge after picking up a slim 24-23 home win versus NFC North foe Chicago Bears in their opener as they would not cover the 6.5 point spread while the over of 45 points would be surpassed while the Vikings would also pick up a 24-16 win over the San Francisco 49’ers in week 1 as they would cover the spread at 6 points while the under was the play with the total being set at 46.5 points for the game.
Minnesota Vikings's Latest Performance :
The Vikings would survive a scare in the third period versus San Francisco as the road team would score 10 points while tightening the lead to 24-13 during their week 1 matchup, however, the Vikings would score 14 points in the quarter thanks to a Mike Hughes 28-yard pick six off Garoppolo along with a Kirk Cousins 11-yard TD pass to Kyle Rudolph which would put the home team up 24-6 with 4:22 left in the third. Garoppolo would make up for his mistake by hitting Dante Pettis for a 22-yard strike to bring the road team within 11 points while Robbie Gould would tack on yet another field goal with 8:09 left in the game, his second field goal of the night, to make the score 24-16. The Vikings would grind out the win, nonetheless, due to 2 touchdowns from Cousins as he would finish with 244 yards passing while Adam Thielin (5 rec, 102 yds) and Dalvin Cook (6 rec, 55 yds) would lead the receiving corps on the day. Latavius Murry and Cook would lead the rushing attack with a combined 27 rushes for 82 total yards. Minnesota will look to improve their rushing attack by taking control of the trenches on a Green Bay team that has allowed 139 rushing yards thus far, while Cousins will look to Rudolph, Thielin, and Stephon Diggs, to step up for the receiving corps in which to take advantage of a Packer pass defense that is currently ranked 7th in the league while allowing only 155 yards total for the season. There are no major injuries to report for the Vikings currently.
Green Bay Packers's Latest Performance :
The Packers would struggle for 3 quarters against the Bears defense as they would only put 3 points on the board while allowing the bears to post 20 points during this time. They would, however, come to life in the final period as Aaron Rodgers would throw three touchdown passes to Geronimo Allison, Davonte Allen, and Randall Cobb with only 2:13 minutes remaining in the game to seal the 24-23 come from behind victory in week 1. Rodgers would end with 286 yards while Cobb and Allison would lead the receiving corps with 14 catches for a combined 230 yards. The rushing attack was non existent for the Packers as Jamaal Williams would have only 47 yards on 15 carries on the day. Deshon Kizer would briefly get some time under center, due to a knee injury sustained by Rodgers, as he would end with 55 yards, yet, would throw a pick to Khalil Mack who would return it for a 27-yard score for the road team, thus putting the Bears up by a 17-0 score in the second period. Green Bay will look to improve upon their play on the offensive line as their running game would only rack up 69 yards total in the opener; However, the Vikings defense is ranked 9th in the league in allowing only 90 yards on the ground in week 1 to the 49’ers. The Packers will certainly look to continue the success that they displayed in the passing attack in the latter stages of the game versus the Bears as the Viking are allowing teams to put up an average of 237 yards per game in pass defense, good for 18th in the NFL, yet, they would have to continue their success without the central piece of the puzzle in that Rodgers is likely out for Sunday’s game.
How Minnesota Vikings & Green Bay Packers Matchup.
Vegas Odds, Offshore Odds, & Odds ATS:
Green Bay is 0-1 ATS while the O/U is 1-0
Minnesota is 1-0 ATS while the O/U is 0-1
In-Depth Analysis of each team:
The Green Bay faithful held their breaths last weekend as Rodgers would head to the sideline. They would hope that it was nothing too serious, however, it seems as if it indeed may be. Rodgers would call it a severe knee sprain that will likely cause him to miss their week 2 matchup with the Vikings at home. Kizer will now take the reigns in hopes of leading the Packers to victory over a team that has owned them in recent matchups. This will certainly be an intriguing matchup as it will be interesting to see exactly how, or if, the Packers can hold up throughout the game against a motivated Vikings squad that would like nothing better than to go into Lambeau field and get a win.
Against The Spread Selection: Pick: Green Bay Packers -1
My reason for the pick :
Minnesota has owned this series in recent matchups, however, with Kizer likely getting the nod at QB, he and his playmaking crew will pick up where Rodgers left off in week 1 versus the Bears in getting off to a much better start in this game on their way to getting the win at home versus the Vikings, who will fade late in the game due to an offense that may indeed find some success running the ball, yet, will not get the offensive production in the pass game needed to pull out a victory.
Totals Selection: Pick: Over 46.5
My reason for the prediction :
Aaron Rodgers would come alive in the fourth period versus the Bears, however, signs point towards him not being available on Sunday. Nonetheless, even with Kizer, who despite his pick six in week 1, would play well in the preseason and I expect for there to be a huge carry over effect from this game for the Pack as they will look to strike up the passing attack once against versus the Vikings. Minnesota has a middle of the road offense thus far, however, Green Bay’s defense is currently allowing 23 points per game, thus signaling the over as a strong play in this matchup.
Betting trends for Minnesota Vikings:
- Vikings are 8-1 ATS in their last 9 games in September
- Under is 15-2 in Vikings last 17 games in Week 2
- Under is 4-1 in Vikings last 5 games following an ATS win.
Betting trends for Green Bay Packers:
- Packers are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 home games vs. a team with a winning road record
- Packers are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games overall
- Packers are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 vs. NFC