Denver Broncos (2-0) vs Baltimore Ravens (1-1)Date : 09/23/2018
Time : 1:00 pm EST
Location : M&T Bank Stadium, Baltimore, Maryland
Pick, Prediction, & Preview:
Denver Broncos vs Baltimore Ravens
The Denver Broncos will travel to M&T Bank Stadium in Baltimore, Maryland, to take on the Baltimore Ravens in week 3 beginning at 1 pm EST on Sunday afternoon. While the Broncos have won the last two games outright, with the last win being on September 13, 2015, the favorite in this matchup is 6-1 ATS in the last seven meetings while the Broncos are only 1-5 ATS in their last six meetings in Baltimore. And while the Broncos would pick up the 20-19 home win versus the Oakland Raiders in week two, they would not cover the spread as 5.5 home favorites while the under of 44 points was not surpassed while the Ravens would fall on the road to the Cincinnati Bengals by a 24-23 score to where the spread was a push as they were one point underdogs while the over was the play with 43 points being set for the game. Finally, the over is 4-1 in the last five meetings at M&T Bank Field.
Denver Broncos's Latest Performance :
The Oakland Raiders would dominate the Broncos for a half until the home team would wake up from their slumber to score 20 points in the second half en route to a 20-19 home win in week two. Royce Freeman would get the scoring started for Denver as he would score on a one yard run to make the score 12-7 with 9:06 remaining in the third period, however, Derek Carr would find Seth Roberts for a 20-yard touchdown pass to widen the Raider lead to 19-7. After two Brandon McMannis field goals along with a one-yard run by Case Keenum, the Broncos would take the lead with just :06 seconds remaining in the game to seal the victory. Keenum would throw for 220 yards in the win with an INT while Phillip Lindsey would collect 107 yards on the ground on 14 carries, as Denver is ranked second in the NFL with a 157-yard average per game. The receiving corps was led by Emmanuel Sanders (4 rec, 96 yds) and Jake Butt (4 rec, 48 yds). The passing attack will now look to exploit a Baltimore pass defense that is allowing 176 yards per game, good for 4th in the league
Baltimore Ravens's Latest Performance :
After being down 14 points early in the first, the Ravens would mount a comeback on the road versus the Bengals thanks to a Javoris Allen one-yard touchdown run along with two Joe Flacco touchdown passes; Yet, they would not fully recover from Andy Dalton’s four touchdown passes as they would fall by one to the Bengals on Sunday afternoon. Cincy would go up 21-0 before Allen would score on a touchdown, however, Dalton would hit Tyler Boyd for a 14-yard touchdown pass to make the score 28-7 with 2:58 minutes left in the second before Flacco would hit Mark Andrews for a one-yard pass to end the scoring for the first half at 28-14. Flacco would be responsible for the only touchdown in the second half for both teams as he would find John Brown for a 21-yard TD reception as the Ravens would tighten the lead to 28-23 thanks also to a 55-yard Justin Tucker field goal. Randy Bullock would seal the win for the Bengals as he would be perfect on 28 along with 40-yard field goals to seal the victory for the home team. Flacco would end the day with 376 yards passing with two interceptions while Alex Collins would lead the rushing attack with 35 yards while also having 55 yards receiving. Brown would have 92 yards to lead the receiving corps while Michael Crabtree would have 5 catches for 56 yards total. Baltimore hopes to improve upon their overall efficiency as the seventh ranked offense in the NFL will now go against the 19th ranked pass defense that is allowing 261 yards per game to their opponents. On the other hand, they may certainly run into problems finding holes against a sixth ranked Bronco defense that is only allowing 78 yards rushing per game.
How Denver Broncos & Baltimore Ravens Matchup.
Vegas Odds, Offshore Odds, & Odds ATS:
Denver is 0-1-1 ATS while the O/U is 1-1
Baltimore is 1-1 ATS while the O/U is 2-0
In-Depth Analysis of each team:
While the Ravens will certainly be looking to recover from their last outing versus the Bengals, the Broncos would love to take to the road for the first time in 2018 in which to pick up a solid victory on Sunday afternoon. And while the pressure will certainly be on the home team to win in week three, it seems as if the Broncos are simply playing with house money for the moment. It is for this reason that I expect them to perform in much the same way they have for the past two weeks, while the Ravens will need to ramp up the toughness in the trenches while also getting their running game back on track starting with this matchup.
Against The Spread Selection: Pick: Denver Broncos +5.5
My reason for the pick :
I happen to believe that the Broncos will keep this game close due to Keenum continuing to impress early on. Furthermore, the Broncos have prevented teams from rushing the ball effectively in 2018, thus allowing me to back the road team and the points in this contest. Of course, the favorite has been the winner in recent matchups and the Broncos have not played particularly well in Baltimore in the past; However, one must wonder the effect the loss to division rival Cincy may play on the Ravens this early in the season.
Totals Selection: Pick: Under 43
My reason for the prediction :
The once high scoring Ravens offense look very pedestrian last week versus the Bengals as they would struggled in the run game, once again, while Flacco would shine in the passing attack versus Cincy. And while he may do well versus a middle of the road passing defense for Denver, I will look to Baltimore to have a rough night on the ground in this matchup. Furthermore, being that the Ravens are known to utilize their running game in which o set up their passing attack, this may be a deep concern versus the Broncos. On the other hand, expect the Ravens to keep Keenum and company in check in the passing game while giving up very little opportunities to a Denver offense that is 4th in the league in total offense with 428 yards per outing.
Betting trends for Denver Broncos:
- Over is 7-0 in Broncos last 7 games in September
- Broncos are 1-9 ATS in their last 10 road games
- Broncos are 1-8 ATS in their last 9 games following an ATS loss.
Betting trends for Baltimore Ravens:
- Over is 5-0 in Ravens last 5 games following an ATS loss
- Ravens are 0-3-1 ATS in their last 4 games in Week 3
- Over is 6-1 in Ravens last 7 vs. a team with a winning record.