Green Bay Packers (1-0-1) vs Washington Redskins (1-1)Date : 09/23/2018
Time : 1:00 pm EST
Location : FedEx Field, Washington, D.C.,
Pick, Prediction, & Preview:
Green Bay Packers vs Washington Redskins
The Green Bay Packers will travel to FedEx Field in Washington, D.C., to meet the Washington Redskins on Sunday afternoon at 1 pm EST for a week three NFC showdown. The Packers would get the 29-29 tie last Sunday versus the Minnesota Vikings at home as they would cover the 2-point spread as home underdogs while the over of 45 points was surpassed. On the other hand, the Redskins were whipped at home by a 21-9 score by the Indianapolis Colts as they would not cover the spread as 6-point home favorites while the under was the play with the total being set at 48 points for the game. These two teams would meet twice in 2016 with both teams getting a win. In their last meeting at FedEx,however, the packers would get the 35-18 win while covering the spread as two-point underdogs while the over of 47 was surpassed. The home team is 3-1-1 ATS in the last five meetings amongst these teams while the Packers are 5-2-1 ATS in last eight meetings. Finally, the favorite is 5-2-1 ATS in last eight meetings as well.
Green Bay Packers's Latest Performance :
The Green Bay Packers would go up 20-7 at one point in their week two tie versus the Vikings, however, would allow 22 points to their opponent in the fourth quarter thanks to three TD passes by Kirk Cousins along with a Stephon Diggs successful two-point conversion with :31 seconds left to end the game. Aaron Rodgers would have a TD pass in the game while also having 281 yards in the air while Jamaal Williams would get the bulk of the carries for the Packers as he would have 16 rushes for 59 yards while Ty Montgomery would also have 31 rushes in the game. Jimmy Graham would lead the receiving corps with 95 yards while Davonte Adams and Geronimo Allison would have 64 yards apiece. Randall Cobb would also have four receptions for 30 yards for Green Bay in the contest. They have been middle of the road as it relates to offense thus far in 2018, however, as one would expect, their strength lies in their passing game as they are ranked 11th in the league in averaging 277 yards per game while the Redskins are ranked first in the league in allowing 161 yards total to their opponents. So, while the Pack will have their work cut out for them in gaining some ground in the air, they will also have trouble find running room versus a Washington defense that is allowing 86 yards on the ground per game, good for 10th in the NFL. Furthermore, it will be interesting to see how the Packers, currently averaging 27 points per outing, will perform versus a defensive unit that is allowing only 14 points to their opponents.
Washington Redskins's Latest Performance :
The Redskins would not be able to get anything going on offense versus a stifling Colts defense last Sunday aside from three field goals from Dustin Hopkins in a 21-9 home loss, despite Alex Smith throwing for 292 yards while Chris Thompson (1 rec, 92 yds), Paul Richardson (4 rec, 63 yds), and Jordan Reed (6 rec, 55 yds) would lead the receiving corps. They will certainly need to shore up their passing attack as the Packers are giving up 284 yards per game and ranked 24th in the league. Jamison Crowder would lead the rushing attack with only 29 yards for the Skins as the squad was ranked in the top 10 in rushing with 124 yards per outing coming into the contest. Essentially, they were outplayed in the trenches as they will also look to establish a running game versus Green Bay, who is ranked 18th in the NFL in allowing 104 yards per game to their opponents. And while the Redskins are averaging 382 total yards per game, they have been miserable in putting up only 16 points per game thus far in 2018 while the Packers are allowing 26 points per game on defense. This may be a game to where the home team may be able to become more efficient on the offensive end, yet, only get much tougher in the trenches.
How Green Bay Packers & Washington Redskins Matchup.
Vegas Odds, Offshore Odds, & Odds ATS:
Green Bay is 1-1 ATS while the O/U is 2-0
Washington is 1-1 ATS while the O/U is 0-2
In-Depth Analysis of each team:
Again, the Packers running game has been dismal thus far in 2018, however, they will need to find ways in which to keep this defense for Washington honest in respecting both areas of the offense in week three. With that being said, they will certainly struggle early on in establishing themselves in the trenches, yet, with Rodgers at the helm, they will continue to move the ball throughout. Washington, on the other hand, will need to take advantage of the terrible defensive secondary for the Packers which would be scorched by Cousins and the Vikings offense in the fourth quarter last week. They will also seek to utilize their eighth ranked rushing attack on a defense that is allowing 104 yards on the ground per game, good for an 18th rank, overall.
Against The Spread Selection: Pick: Washington +3
My reason for the pick :
While the Packers have Rodgers, he will also his their work cut out for him and his offense versus an aggressive Washington defense on Sunday afternoon. Furthermore, they have had no rushing game to speak of thus far in the season which means that the Skins will be looking to step up the pressure on the passing game in which use it to their advantage. In all, I happen to believe the home team will perform well versus the shaky Pack defense in this contest while also having a chance to win outright in the end.
Totals Selection: Pick: Over 47.5
My reason for the prediction :
Again, the Packers will put some scores on the board on Sunday versus Washington, however, the Redskins will need to utilize their talent on offense much better in which to put some points on the board as well. Washington has a golden opportunity to further exploit the defense for Green Bay and I have a feeling that they will certainly accomplish this task. In all, I will back the over in this contest as Smith and the O will have a much better performance after a lackluster outing versus the Colts.
Betting trends for Green Bay Packers:
- Packers are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games overall
- Over is 4-0 in Packers last 4 games in September
- Packers are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 vs. NFC.
Betting trends for Washington Redskins:
- Under is 4-0 in Redskins last 4 games after accumulating more than 350 total yards in their previous game
- Over is 9-0 in Redskins last 9 games after allowing less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game
- Redskins are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games after allowing less than 250 total yards in their previous game.