Oakland Raiders (0-2) vs Miami Dolphins (2-0)Date : 09/23/2018
Time : 1:00 pm EST
Location : Hard Rock stadium, Miami, Florida
Pick, Prediction, & Preview:
Oakland Raiders vs Miami Dolphins
The Oakland Raiders will travel to Hard Rock stadium in Miami, Florida, to take on the undefeated Miami Dolphins on Sunday afternoon at 1 pm EST in hopes of picking up a much-needed win in week three NFL action. They would fall 20-19 in a heartbreaker to division rival Denver Broncos last Sunday as they would cover the spread as 5.5 road underdogs while the under would be the play as the total was set at 44 points for the game. The Dolphins would win on the road versus the NY Jets in week two as they would get the 20-12 win at MetLife Stadium to where they would cash in on the spread as 3.5-point road underdogs while the under was also the play with total points being set at 43 for the game. The last time these two teams met was on November 5, 2017, as the Raiders would pick up the 27-24 win at Hard Rock Stadium to where the spread was a push (-3) for the Raiders while the over of 44.5 was surpassed during this contest.
Oakland Raiders's Latest Performance :
The Raiders would also jump out on the Broncos in week two by taking an early 19-10 lead in the third period before Case Keenum would score on a one-yard rushing touchdown while Brandon McManus would seal the game with a 36-yard field goal to get the win for the home team over their division rival. Nonetheless, Derek Carr would throw for 288 yards and a 20-yard touchdown pass to Seth Roberts with 5:31 left in the third period to make the Raider lead 19-7. Marshawn Lynch would have 18 carries with 64 yards while Amari Cooper would lead the receiving corps with 116 yards on 10 catches in the loss for Oakland. Oakland’s passing game ranks 8th in the league this year, yet, they are averaging only 16 points per game (28th). The Dolphins have struggled stopping the pass thus far in allowing 270 yards per game while also allowing their opponents 16 points per outing. The Raiders would love to take some pressure off Carr in week three in improving upon their 21st ranked rushing attack with 94 yards per game, however, the Dolphins defense only allows 79 yards per game, good for 8th overall. This game will certainly be a game where the Raiders may be able to get some points on the board as Miami is allowing teams 349 yards per game on offense (16th).
Miami Dolphins 's Latest Performance :
The Dolphins would jump on top of the Jets on the road in week two by a 20-0 halftime score to which they would never recover despite outscoring Miami 12-0 in the second half as Ryan Tannyhill would throw two touchdown passes along with a Kenyon drake six yard run to get the 20-12 road win. Tannyhill would have had 168 yards total in the win while also having 44 yards rushing on the day. Drake would end with 53 yards on 11 carries while Albert Wilson and Danny Amendola would end with a combined seven catches for 69 yards receiving in the victory for Miami. The Dolphins would remain true to their rushing game as they would gain 135 yards on the ground in week two as they will take their seventh ranked rushing attack to this matchup versus the Raiders who allow their opponents 154 yards per outing. However, the Dolphins will also look to attack the strength of the Oakland defense in its passing unit as they are ranked 11th in pass defense while the Dolphins are putting up 172 yards per game, good for 28th in the NFL. There are no major injuries to report for the Miami offense nor for the Oakland defense as it will be interesting to see how the Dolphins, 15th ranked scoring offense with 23.5 points per game, fares versus the Oakland unit that has not fared well in any defensive category thus far aside from pass defense, which stands at 11th in the NFL.
How Oakland Raiders & Miami Dolphins Matchup.
Vegas Odds, Offshore Odds, & Odds ATS:
Miami is 2-0 ATS while the O/U is 1-1
Oakland is 0-2 ATS while the O/U is 0-2
In-Depth Analysis of each team:
The Raiders desperately need to get their running game going, as stated; However, Miami has been very stingy versus the run in 2018 while its passing attack has been dangerous. Nonetheless, the Raiders need a much better running game in which to compliment this area in which to be more effective offensively. They will look to control the trenches in this matchup in week three in which to stop the early season bleeding they are currently experiencing. Miami will also look to keep their undefeated season in tact as they seek to exploit a Raiders defense that ranks dead last in rushing defense by utilizing Drake and Frank Gore in the backfield on Sunday. Tannyhill will also look to gain some headway versus a stout Raider pass defense that ranks in the top half of the league in pass defense, yet, would give up 320 yards to Darnold and the Jets in week two.
Against The Spread Selection: Pick: Miami Dolphins -3
My reason for the pick :
I will back the Dolphins at home in this matchup as they are playing very well up front in allowing the rushing game to control the pace of the game while Tannyhill has certainly been making the necessary throws to keep the chains moving. In all, expect the Dolphins to stack the box in which to stop the run early while pressuring the Raiders into making mistakes in the passing game, thus allowing the home team to get the slim victory while covering the small spread.
Totals Selection: Pick: Under 43.5
My reason for the prediction :
I see the Raiders struggling to establish their running game, once again, this week as Miami has been aggressive in preventing teams from running early in the season. With that being said, they will try their luck on a defensive secondary for the home team that is ranked in the bottom half of the NFL in which to get some points on the board. This strategy has not worked in the past and will not work in this matchup as they will suffer without a better rush game, altogether. Miami will get after Carr for the duration of the game while he Dolphins will score just enough to get the win in this contest.
Betting trends for Oakland Raiders:
- Under is 8-0 in Raiders last 8 games overall
- Under is 8-0 in Raiders last 8 games on grass
- Under is 4-0 in Raiders last 4 games after allowing more than 350 total yards in their previous game.
Betting trends for Miami Dolphins :
- Over is 4-0 in Dolphins last 4 vs. a team with a losing record
- Dolphins are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games in Week 3
- Over is 8-1 in Dolphins last 9 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.